By: Kyle Williams (Twitter: @betonthegame)
Sundays are starting to pile up in the book and we are now moving onto week 6 of the NFL season. Injuries and dull performances are being put on center stage as fantasy stocks are dwindling. With fantasy owners starting to lose grip of their team and with hopes playoffs hope dwindling, now is the time to make a move on some buy low trade candidates. In this article, I’ll be touching on some buy-low candidates that present great value after struggling for the past week[s].
Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
Finally, Falcons fired head coach Dan Quinn. Just like Deshaun Watson, I expect this to help Matt Ryan regain fantasy stardom. Not to mention that Julio Jones having the week off to heal up and having him back next game is huge.
Here’s a look at Watson’s stats from Sunday in his first game since the firing of head coach Bill O’Brien.
- 71% Completion Percentage – 359 Yards Passing – 3 Touchdowns -2 Rushes – 25 Yards
All of these numbers were season highs for Watson except for rushing yards, which he was 2 yards short of his season-high. I expect the same jolt of energy to occur in Matt Ryan this week. With that bolt of energy, paired with a healthier Julio Jones, and the Falcons traveling to play one of the worst secondaries in the league I expect a bounce-back performance.
Ryan also has a great schedule up ahead, here are some notable defenses that Ryan and the Falcons go up against.
@MIN – vsDEN – vsLV – vsDET
All of these according to my numbers are below average defenses at stopping the pass and should result in big numbers for Ryan. Buying low on Ryan is perfect right now as the stock has bottomed out, he’s scored less than 12 fantasy points for 3 consecutive weeks. Buy low on Matt Ryan and hope he bounces back as mid-tier QB1 in all formats.
JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
Welcome to the league, Chase Claypool. After an awe-inspiring week 5 performance that put Claypool center stage people are forgetting about just how great Smith-Schuster is. Claypool’s emergence isn’t the only factor that is keeping Schuster in the shadows. The bye week and reshuffling of games due to covid-19 has kept the Steelers players in the shadows of fantasy.
Looking at the targets for Schuster, he’s averaging 6 per game, not horrible but could be better. What he’s doing with those targets is exciting though, he’s averaging 9.4 yards per catch. If Schuster was to catch all 6 of his targets per game with his average YPC he would have 56 yards and would score 11.6 points. Those aren’t flashy numbers but they are a solid baseline.
Buying low on a player like Schuster is smart. He’s quietly scoring an average of 14.95 points per game this season even with 2 dud weeks. He’s also topped out at 24.9 points for a ceiling. JuJu leads the team in routes and targets on the season and with Claypool coming back down to earth this week should mean big things for Schuster. He’s a fantastic buy low with owners not knowing what they have and his teammate being the hot commodity he is currently.
Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team
A lot of folks still don’t know what they have with this guy. In my opinion, I believe that Gibson possesses’ rare elite-level skills at the position. His snap counts and on-field touches have risen each week. The football team is seeing it and he’s showing it. I continue to pound the door down and here’s why.
Gibson has seen a steady rise in snap count and targets every single week. He’s been getting the carries as well. It’s clear that Gibson is the best RB on the team.
The schedule for Gibson clears up ahead as well. They play the Giants this upcoming week which means big points for Gibson. Great time to buy low especially against a defense that’s allowing an average of:
- 29.8 Carries per game
- 110.6 Yards per game
- 1.2 Touchdowns per game
Players like Benny Snell put up 110 yards rushing on the Giants to put that into perspective. It’s clear the Giants cant stop the run as last week Ezekiel Elliott ran for 91 yards, 2 touchdowns, and caught 14 receiving yards. If Gibson can even come remotely close to these stats he’s immediately in RB2 territory.
With the Washington Football Team turning to Alex Smith at QB is a good thing in my mind. He checks down a lot especially with the injury he got a few years back. With practice time and him knowing the system better, they should play better this week. Pairing a better QB, high-end matchup, decent schedule, and clear high potential, I’m grabbing all shares of Gibson I can. I believe he’s got a high-end RB2 upside in PPR.
Dalton Schultz, TE, Dallas Cowboys
I just want to start this by saying lets all hope for a speedy recovery for Dak Prescott after that gruesome injury on Sunday. Now with Prescott being done for the season, the Cowboys turn to Andy Dalton at QB. Everyone in the league with Cowboys not named Zeke Elliott is freaking out. I’m against the trend with Schultz and here’s why.
Dalton in his own right isn’t a bad quarterback, he’s been a starter and even made the playoffs a few times. He is what he is let’s be honest, a check-down king whos great for RBs and TEs. And that’s the reason I love Schultz so much even with the injuries.
In Dalton’s prime, he was passing to his favorite target Tyler Eifert who was the Bengals TE at the time. Here are Eiferts stats and Schultz stats this season.
Buying low on.a tight end in a run-heavy offense is great. Schultz should constantly be on the field whether it’s for screens, blocking, or check down from Dalton. After a stinker of a game people could be dropping him or trading him for almost nothing. Buying low is a great time right now.
Look for Schultz to get right with a great matchup this week versus the Cardinals. They are giving up an average of 6.9 points per game which is 11.3% more than the league average. The schedule is clearing up for Schultz in the meantime, he plays 3 of the worst-rated defense versus the tight end in the next 3 weeks. He also goes up against the Eagles and Football team again later in the season. Both of which are bottom 8 teams versus the TE.
Buy low on Schultz now before he bounces back. Tight end is extremely thin in fantasy this year and to have one with upside is a great thing. Consider Schultz a high-end TE2 in fantasy in the meantime.