By: Kyle Williams (Twitter: @betonthegame)
Arguably the hardest position to peg on who to start on a weekly basis. Wide receiver and cornerback matchups are insanely important. Identifying the best matchups for wide receivers is important for fantasy, DFS, and gambling. It helps you determine which should produce big and which are in extremely rough spots in which you should fade. It’s not as simple as a bad corner, good wideout, you have to identify several mitigating factors. In this article, I’ll be breaking down the 5 best matchups for WR’s in week 10.
Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Football Team
Squaring up against the Detroit Lions this week, McLaurin gets to go 1 on 1 with Desmond Trufant. After facing off against James Bradberry a plus-defender last week he gets a mouth-watering matchup this week.
According to Pro Football Focus, McLaurin holds a 47% edge this week versus Trufant. Juicy to say the least for owners. Per PFF’s numbers, McLaurin ranks as the 12th best WR on the slate while Trufant ranks as the 9th worst CB.
Trufant struggled all season so far, opposing teams have singled out Trufant and targeting his side of the field over 19% of the time, the 9th most on the slate. McLaurin this season has garnered a 24% target share on the season, which is also 9th most on the slate.
Trufant has been out of this world awful on the season, he’s giving up the 13th most Fantasy Points per route run at .36 per route. With McLaurin playing 95% of the snaps and garnering a .39 fantasy points per route run he should be in line for heavy volume on Sunday.
Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams
The Seahawks have a defense, right? No, not really, after having a daunting defense for years they’ve dwindled down to a corpse of themselves. With Sherman, Chancellor, and Thomas all departing in recent years they have yet to rebuild. Hoping Jamal Adams would fix it, those hopes have been thrown out the window.
This week won’t get any easier for the Seahawks as the Rams and star-wideout Cooper Kupp come to town. For a defense allowing 30+ points per game so far on the season, it won’t get any lighter either. Things also will be tough for Kupp’s matchup this weekend in D.J. Reed Jr.
The Seahawks have been getting torched all over the defense and especially in the slot where Reed plays. They are giving up the most points to slot receivers so far on the season and Kupp is one of the leagues best in the slot.
Kupp comes in with a 38% matchup advantage per Pro Football Focus. Reed Jr is in for a rough day, he’s giving up a catch rate of 86% which ranks him as 3rd worst in the entire league. Reed also is giving up an embarrassing .43 fantasy points per route run. That ranks 4th most among players on this slate. Kupp should feast this weekend versus the leagues worst secondary and leagues worst slot corner.
Nelson Agholor, WR, Las Vegas Raiders
The leagues worst, and no I’m not talking about Agholor. As sad it sounds, Agholor has been playing great on the season and now squares off against the league’s lowest-rated corner this week in Davontae Harris of the Denver Broncos. Here is a clip of Harris getting toasted in coverage last season by the Bills.
Harris holds a league-low PFF grade of 31.3. According to the metrics of PFF, Agholor holds a 29% matchup advantage over Harris ahead of Sunday’s showdown. Harris not only has the worst PFF grade, but he’s also giving up the most fantasy point per route run so far at .76 per. It’s not only the worst, it’s the worst by a significant margin. .21 points above any other cornerback on the entire slate.
Agholor isn’t the best wideout but has played excellent so far on the season, he’s had 4 straight games with a touchdown and all have been multiple reception games. With Agholor adding a 12% target share and a great catch rate of 68% he should feast this weekend versus the Broncos. I’m expecting 3 receptions, 60 yards, 1 touchdown type of performance on Sunday.