Week 12: 5 Stars to Fade

Josh Allen

The Chargers find a way to lose, but I still think they have an underrated defense.  Especially in the secondary.  They don’t allow gigantic games to opposing quarterbacks as they limit deep completions and force the ball underneath. 

The Bills don’t like to run the ball so I imagine Josh Allen will still get plenty of pass attempts, but I see his final fantasy line being closer to the guy that put up 18.3 fpts against the Titans in Week 5 rather than the guy that has blown the doors off the place in his past two games against the Cards and Hawks.

Josh Jacobs

Only one team has allowed less fantasy points to running backs than the Falcons.  They have been slightly susceptible through the air to the position, but as we all know at this point, Jacobs is not really utilized in the passing game by the Raiders. 

Unless that changes, I don’t see Jacobs having a big day outside of getting lucky with a couple goal line carries. 

Justin Jefferson

You’d think with Adam Theilen out due to COVID it would be time for Justin Jefferson to “eat” as the kids and former has-been Cowboys running backs like to say. 

But in an offense that moves at a snail’s pace and may only throw the ball 23 times, Jefferson may be hard up for opportunities.  He’s also never had to deal with an opposing team zeroing in on him, as Theilen has taken most of the attention throughout the season.  

How he deals with possible double teams and the Carolina secondary scheming to take him out of the game will help us find out exactly how good this rookie phenom is. 

If you think he’s going to have an easy WR1 day, there’s a good chance he will let you down. 

Aaron Jones and Aaron Rodgers 

The Chicago defense has been a force this year.  (I mean, it’s not like this team has won five games because of their offense.) 

In Week 12, the Green Bay Packers may be a tough place to find serious fantasy production.

Rodgers has shown us that good defenses can stifle his high-end production.  While I still see the Packers winning this game, I don’t see it being anything close to a smash spot for AR12.  Temper your expectations.

Things are working against a big week from Aaron Jones as well.  On one hand he’s found himself in more of a timeshare than fantasy owners would like him to have. Since his return from injury he’s been in a 65/35 backfield share with Jamal Williams.  That’s strike one against him in Week 12.

The other “strike” that may depress Jones’ ceiling is his match up.  Only one running back has finished better than RB15 against the Bears.  They’ve allowed only 2 rushing touchdowns and zero touchdown receptions to the running back position in all of 2020.   

I know that’s only two strikes, but shit… this ain’t baseball. Two strikes is enough for me to fade Mr. Jones this week.

Leave a Reply

Powered by WordPress.com.

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: