1. Mitch Trubisky
Mitch Trubisky has been a Lions killer throughout his brief NFL career. He’s never scored less than 19 fpts in last four meetings with Detroit.
Meanwhile, the 2020 version of the Lions’ defense has been awful. They give up big points in both fantasy and reality. They couldn’t rush the passer if their lives depended on it.
Since this is the first game the Lions will be playing since Matt Patricia was fired there is reason to wonder if the defensive scheme will be altered, but I still see Trubisky finding Allen Robinson for a score, running for a few yards, and putting up decent fantasy games for managers who take a chance on him.
2. Cam Akers
Last week we got a glimpse of what Cam Akers can do. He’s got burst. He can catch. He’s a home run waiting to happen.
We have to remember that in most seasons rookie running backs take some time to adjust to the NFL (see: Miles Sanders 2019). But when they do finally get in the groove they can be league winners in fantasy football.
Darrell Hendeson has been banged up and Malcolm Brown is an inferior talent to Akers. Sean McVay knows how to scheme and there’s a reason he spent a 2nd round draft pick on Akers. We’re going to get a better idea why as this season enters the stretch run.
3. J.K. Dobbins
Not sure if he’s really a “sleeper” at this point, but it’s Week 13 and I have to come up with five players that may surprise this week. J.K. Dobbins is my pick for the rookie running back with the most upside from the 2020 class. And this week I think he has sneaky RB1 upside against a weak Cowboys defense.
We last saw Dobbins in Week 11 taking more of a lead role in the Baltimore backfield. After a brief bout with COVID which held him out of the team’s Week 12 game, he’s back to save your team just in time for the fantasy playoffs.
The Ravens play a Cowboys team that gives up big time fantasy points to running backs as most recently evidenced by Antonio Gibson’s three touchdown steamroll of them on Thanksgiving day. Don’t leave J.K. on your bench this week.
4. Denzel Mims
Air yards galore for Denzel Mims. He’s seen 8 targets per week over the past three weeks. He ranks in the top 10 among all wide receivers in the NFL in YAC per reception, air yards per target, and team target percentage.
He also hasn’t scored a touchdown yet. Let me ask you something: Do you think Denzel Mims is going to go this entire season without a touchdown?
He’s gone for 62 or more yards in each of the past three weeks. If you add to that a touchdown against a pretty weak Raiders’ secondary he’s looking at a top 15 wide receiver finish in Week 13. Why not roll the dice with this guy? Especially when he seems to have a pretty sturdy floor.
5. Kyle Rudolph
And now to the most frustrating position in fantasy football.
Kyle Rudolph has had a nose for the end zone throughout his career. Counting only the seasons he’s completed as a starter, Rudolph averaged 6 touchdowns per season throughout his career. This season he only has 1.
I know that saying, “He’s due” isn’t a valid argument. So I should probably add in some statistical analysis like the fact that he’s averaging 5 targets per game over the past month. And that he’s finished as a TE1 in two of the past three weeks.
Much of that has to do with Kurt Cousins playing from behind and thus having to throw the ball more. Also, the Vikes have dealt with some injuries to fellow pass catchers so that’s opened some targets up for him. But either way, I like Rudolph this week to get some end zone work and bring his touchdown total closer to his career average. He’s a decent stream option.
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