PFM Training Camp Watch

Training camp creates a lot of noise. One great practice does not change how we see a team. A major injury, a real quarterback change or a starting job that changes the shape of a roster absolutely can.

That is why these five teams are worth watching closely. The PFM NFL Team Rankings already show where each team is strong and where the concern sits. Camp can start answering whether those weak spots are getting better, getting worse or staying exactly where they are.

Carolina has already given us a good example. The Panthers dropped after losing Nic Scourton and learning Taylor Moton will miss the start of the season. That is the kind of camp development that matters. A viral catch in one-on-ones is not.

Five teams that could move during 2026 NFL training camp

Team	PFM Rank	Current Strength	Camp Question
Chicago Bears	No. 12	Offense — 85.8	Can the protection and new pass-catcher order keep the offense rolling?
Dallas Cowboys	No. 21	Offense — 86.0	Can Christian Parker get enough out of a defense rated 73.9?
Pittsburgh Steelers	No. 18	Defense — 83.4	How much trust should PFM put in the quarterback room beyond Aaron Rodgers?
Carolina Panthers	No. 29	QB Stability — 74.9	Can the roster absorb major losses at pass rusher and offensive tackle?
Arizona Cardinals	No. 27	QB Stability — 77.9	How quickly can Mike LaFleur settle the offense around Jacoby Brissett?

Chicago Bears

Chicago Is Close Enough to the Top 10 That Camp Matters

Chicago is not trying to figure out whether Caleb Williams can play. That question was answered last season. Williams set a Bears single-season passing record, Ben Johnson’s offense helped win the NFC North and the Bears finally looked like a team that could put real pressure on a defense in more than one way.

The 2026 question is whether that offense can hold its shape after a few important changes. DJ Moore is gone. Drew Dalman retired. Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III move into bigger spots in the receiving group, while Garrett Bradbury has to settle in at center. Left tackle is another camp battle worth watching.

PFM Rank No. 12

PFM Score 84.0

Best Grade Offense 85.8

This is where camp can tell us something useful without overreacting to every rep. If the offensive line settles quickly and Williams looks comfortable with Odunze, Burden and Colston Loveland handling more of the passing game, Chicago has a real chance to push higher. If protection becomes a weekly issue, the 85.8 offensive grade starts to feel less secure.

What would actually move PFM?

A meaningful offensive-line injury, a clear starting change at left tackle or center, or another roster move that changes Williams’ protection or pass-catching support.

View the Chicago Bears Dashboard

Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Has One of the Easiest Rankings to Explain

Dallas is No. 21 because the offense and defense look like two totally different teams. Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens give the Cowboys enough firepower to score with almost anyone. PFM has the offense at 86.0. The defense however sits at 73.9.

That large gap is the whole story. The Cowboys finished last in points allowed in 2025, and now Christian Parker takes over the defense with a new staff and a revised group of players. The first thing I want to see is not an interception in a July practice. It is whether Dallas has enough pass rush to stop making the secondary cover forever.

PFM Rank No. 21

Offense 86.0

Defense 73.9

Dallas does not need the defense to become Seattle overnight. It does need enough pressure, tackling and communication to stop wasting good offensive football. If Parker gets that group into the middle of the league, No. 21 will look low in a hurry. If the same problems follow them into September, the offense will be carrying too much again.

What would actually move PFM?

A major defensive injury, a roster addition, or a starting-role change that clearly raises or lowers the talent available to Parker. One strong practice from the defense is not enough.

View the Dallas Cowboys Dashboard

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh’s Defense Is Ready. The Quarterback Timeline Is Not.

Pittsburgh is one of the stranger teams on our board. The Steelers have an 83.4 defensive grade and an 83.2 Coaching Direction grade, but QB Stability is only 75.8. That is how a team with plenty to like lands at No. 18 instead of comfortably inside the playoff-contender group.

Aaron Rodgers is back for one final season, so there is not much mystery about who should open the year at quarterback. The bigger question is what comes after him. Pittsburgh also has Mason Rudolph, Will Howard and Drew Allar in the room, and Mike McCarthy now gets a full camp to work with all four quarterbacks.

PFM Rank No. 18

Defense 83.4

QB Stability 75.8

PFM would not raise Pittsburgh because Allar throws a pretty deep ball in Latrobe. That is exactly the kind of camp trap worth avoiding. But if one of the young quarterbacks clearly becomes a trusted No. 2, or if Rodgers’ health changes the short-term outlook, the quarterback grade has a reason to move.

The Steelers do not need more proof that the defense can keep them in games. They need the quarterback picture to become less fragile. That is the part of this team that can change the ranking fastest.

What would actually move PFM?

Any verified change to Rodgers’ availability, a meaningful quarterback roster move, or enough clarity behind him to change the depth and succession outlook.

View the Pittsburgh Steelers Dashboard

Carolina Panthers

Carolina Already Showed Why Training Camp Can Change a Ranking

Carolina is the exact example that shows what can change a team ranking in training camp. The Panthers did not drop because somebody had a bad practice. They dropped because the roster changed in a real way.

Nic Scourton tore his ACL and went to injured reserve. Taylor Moton is expected to miss the start of the season. Ikem Ekwonu is also working back from a major knee injury. PFM moved Carolina down 0.31 on July 24 because those losses hit the pass rush, offensive line and roster depth at the same time.

PFM Rank No. 29

PFM Score 72.3

Roster Strength 70.1

There is still upside here. Bryce Young gets another year with Dave Canales, Tetairoa McMillan is coming off a strong rookie season, and the defense added Jaelan Phillips and Devin Lloyd. But Carolina is already asking younger linemen and new defenders to take on more than expected.

That is why the Panthers can still move in either direction before Week 1. Good health news at tackle would help. Another major loss at a thin position would hurt. The roster does not have much room left for bad injury luck.

What would actually move PFM?

More verified injury news, a meaningful return timetable for the offensive line, or a roster addition that changes the depth at tackle or edge rusher.

View the Carolina Panthers Dashboard

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Has More Questions Than One Quarterback Contract Can Fix

Arizona settled one issue Sunday when Jacoby Brissett received a reworked deal and moved back toward the starting job. That matters. It removes some immediate uncertainty for a new offense that already has enough to install under Mike LaFleur.

It does not solve the whole quarterback question. Brissett is still scheduled to become a free agent after the season, Gardner Minshew is behind him and rookie Carson Beck is part of the longer-term conversation. That helps explain why PFM can give Arizona a respectable 77.9 QB Stability grade and still keep the Cardinals at No. 27 overall.

PFM Rank No. 27

PFM Score 73.0

Coaching Direction 71.9

The more interesting camp question is what LaFleur can build around Brissett, Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride and first-round running back Jeremiyah Love. Arizona’s offense is rated 73.6 and the defense 72.2. There is room to climb, but there is no single strength carrying this team yet.

If the quarterback order settles and the offense comes out of camp healthy with clear roles, Arizona can start closing the gap on the middle of the league. If the new offense still looks unsettled or the defense loses more depth, No. 27 may be exactly where the Cardinals belong.

What would actually move PFM?

A verified quarterback-status change, a major injury, a roster move, or a starting-role decision that changes the way LaFleur’s offense or Nick Rallis’ defense should be graded.

View the Arizona Cardinals Dashboard

What Actually Changes a PFM Rating During Training Camp?

This is the part that matters most. Training camp is useful, but it is also where one good rep can become a week of headlines. PFM will not chase that.

What can move a rating

• Significant injuries or verified return timelines
• A starting-quarterback change
• A meaningful roster addition or release
• A confirmed starting-role change that affects team strength
• Health or availability news that changes depth at an important position

What will not move it by itself

• One great practice
• One interception or one dropped pass
• A viral one-on-one clip
• Generic praise from a coach
• An unofficial depth chart before the competition is settled

The point: PFM is not trying to rank who won practice. The ratings will move when the football situation changes enough that we would see the team differently on Sunday.

Keep checking the board: The 2026 NFL Team Rankings are updated when injuries, quarterback changes, roster moves and other verified developments change the way a team should be graded.

PFM ratings referenced in this article were updated July 24, 2026. Training-camp news and roster context were reviewed July 27, 2026.

Sources reviewed for current training-camp context

PFM reviewed current team and NFL reporting for the roster, injury and quarterback details used above. The PFM rankings remain the source for the ratings and ranks.

• PFM — 2026 NFL Team Rankings
• NFL.com — 2026 Training Camp Hub and team storylines
• NFL.com — July 24 league news and injury updates

The post 2026 NFL Training Camp: 5 Teams That Could Move Most in the PFM Rankings appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

The best quarterback is not always part of the most stable quarterback room.

QB Stability is PFM’s grade for the entire quarterback situation. Half of the score comes from quarterback play. The other half comes from availability, job security, age and the depth behind the starter. The goal is not only to identify the most talented passer. It is to show which teams can trust the position through the pressure, injuries and uncertainty of an NFL season.

A standard quarterback ranking starts with one player. How accurate is he? How much can he create after the first read disappears? Can he carry an offense when protection breaks down?

Those questions matter, and they drive half of the QB Stability grade. They still leave out too much. A team can have an elite starter and a fragile quarterback situation. Another team can have a less exciting passer but far fewer ways for the position to fall apart.

How PFM Calculates QB Stability

50%QB Play

20%Availability

15%Job Security

10%Age

5%QB Depth

Let’s take an in-depth look at QB Play. We will dive into the other sub formulas in another post.

QB Play — 50%

PFM separates a quarterback’s current statistical performance from the overall stability of his team’s quarterback room.

The QB Play metric measures how the quarterback performed on the field. It uses nflverse and nflfastR regular-season play-by-play data through the selected week. Playoff statistics are not included.

Only legitimate quarterback dropbacks are counted. Special-teams plays, kneel-downs and spikes are removed. A play qualifies as a dropback when it is identified as a quarterback dropback, pass attempt or sack.

A quarterback must have at least 150 dropbacks to receive a QB Play rating.

The QB Play Formula

QB Play =
35% EPA per Dropback
20% Success Rate
20% Touchdown Rate
15% Interception Avoidance
10% Sack Avoidance

EPA per Dropback: 35%

EPA stands for Expected Points Added. It estimates how much each dropback improved or hurt the offense’s expected scoring position.

Positive EPA is good. Negative EPA is bad. Because sacks are included as dropbacks, quarterbacks are held responsible for the effect those plays have on the offense.

This receives the most weight because it captures overall efficiency better than passing yards or completion percentage alone.

Success Rate: 20%

Success Rate measures how often the quarterback’s dropbacks are classified as successful by the nflverse play-by-play model.

EPA can be influenced by a few enormous plays. Success Rate helps us determine whether the quarterback consistently keeps the offense moving.

Touchdown Rate: 20%

PFM calculates touchdown rate as:

Passing touchdowns + 55% of rushing touchdowns
------------------------------------------------
Total quarterback dropbacks

Rushing touchdowns receive partial credit. This recognizes the value of a quarterback’s rushing ability while keeping QB Play centered primarily on passing and dropback performance.

Interception Avoidance: 15%

Interception rate is calculated as:

Interceptions
-------------
Pass attempts

Lower is better. The quarterback with the lowest interception rate receives one of the highest Interception Avoidance ratings.

Sack Avoidance: 10%

Sack rate is calculated as:

Sacks
-----
Quarterback dropbacks

Lower is better. This does not assume every sack is entirely the quarterback’s fault, but avoiding unnecessary pressure and getting the ball out remain important parts of quarterback play.

Converting Statistics Into PFM Ratings

PFM does not multiply raw statistics directly into a 0–100 score.

Each of the five statistics is ranked against the other qualifying quarterbacks. That percentile is then converted to the PFM football-rating scale:

PFM rating = 60 + (percentile ÷ 100 × 35)

That produces a fan-readable scale:

90–95: Elite
85–89: Very strong
80–84: Good
75–79: Average to above average
70–74: Below average
60–69: Poor

For EPA, Success Rate and Touchdown Rate, higher is better. Interception Rate and Sack Rate are reversed so that lower rates receive higher scores.

The five converted ratings are then combined using the QB Play weights.

QB Stability Is Not the Same as traditional QB Rating

Most QB Ratings focus on the starter’s performance. QB Stability steps back and grades the complete setup. Reading the two together gives a much clearer answer than either number can provide alone.

QB Rating vs. QB Stability

Question	QB Rating	QB Stability
Who is being judged?	The starting quarterback	The entire quarterback room
What matters most?	Current quarterback performance	Play, availability, job security, age and depth
What does a high grade mean?	The starter gives the offense high-level play	The team can trust the position across more situations
Can an elite quarterback rank lower?	His talent still grades highly	Yes, when the full room carries more risk

Five Examples That Show Why the Difference Matters

The cleanest way to understand QB Stability is to look at situations where the starter’s reputation and the full-room grade do not say the same thing.

CIN

Elite Talent, Reliable Backup

Joe Burrow Is the Star, Flacco is the Security Blanket

Burrow’s place among the NFL’s best quarterbacks is not the debate. His timing, ball placement and control of Cincinnati’s passing game give the Bengals a real advantage. QB Stability asks what happens if he gets injured again?

Even at his age, Joe Flacco is still one of the best backups in the NFL. Sure he lacks explosive abilities but Flacco still can make every throw on the field. Add journeyman Josh Johnson to the mix as a 3rd string QB and you have one of the best quarterback rooms in the league. See Cincinnati’s full team outlook.

KC

The Starter Is Great. The Summer Is Uncertain.

Patrick Mahomes Shows Why Availability Cannot Be Ignored

Mahomes can solve late downs in ways almost no quarterback can match. Kansas City’s current question is not whether he is talented enough. It is how much normal movement and off-script creation he has while working back from the ACL injury that has shaped Kansas City’s summer.

That is exactly where QB Stability differs from a quarterback talent list. Mahomes can remain one of the league’s best players while availability creates a separate question for the full room. Bringing in Justin Fields this offseason was not talked about enough. KC is the perfect scenario for Fields. If he has to start, the pressure will be off him for the first time in his career. See Kansas City’s full team outlook.

PIT

Age Changes the Floor

Aaron Rodgers Can Still Make Throws But His Limitations Can’t be Ignored

Rodgers’ experience and arm talent can take Pittsburgh to the playoffs as we saw last season but his age and mobility are concerns. The Steelers are also changing offensive systems around an older quarterback and the backup situation isn’t clear yet.

QB Stability does not say age makes Rodgers ineffective. It says Pittsburgh’s floor is tied closely to him staying healthy and decisive. That is a different claim, and it is the one a season-long stability grade needs to make. See Pittsburgh’s full team outlook.

CLE

Job Clarity Matters

Cleveland’s Quarterback Competition Changes the Grade Before Week 1

Cleveland can like traits in more than one quarterback and still have an unstable room. An unsettled starting job affects practice reps, the offensive game plan and how quickly the team can build around one player. Is Deshaun Watson the starter or will Shedeur Sanders continue to build on last seasons promise.

The grade is not predicting who wins the competition. It is recognizing that a team with no clear starter carries more uncertainty than a team that already knows who will run the offense. See Cleveland’s full team outlook.

SEA

More Stability Than Star Power

Sam Darnold and Seattle Show the Other Side of the Formula

Darnold does not need to rank with Mahomes, Allen or Burrow for Seattle’s quarterback room to be stable. A confirmed starter, a defined play-action role and an offense designed to keep him out of constant rescue football can give the Seahawks a dependable base.

That does not mean Darnold is the better individual quarterback. It means a room can have fewer immediate questions than the starter’s national reputation suggests. Stability and star power are not interchangeable. See Seattle’s full team outlook.

What the Rankings Are Really Telling You

A high QB Stability grade means the team has fewer reasons to panic at the most important position. The starter can play, the job is clear and the room has enough support to keep one bad stretch from turning into a season-long crisis.

A lower grade can point to several different problems. One team may have an open competition. Another may have a great starter with real availability concerns. A third may trust the starter but have almost no answer behind him. The number matters, but the reason behind it matters more.

QB Stability is not a prediction of the next injury, a guarantee of team success or a disguised quarterback ranking. It is a current grade of how much trust a team can place in the entire position.

The post What Is QB Stability? A Deep Dive Into Our Quarterback Metric appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

The post 2025 PFM Team Score Accuracy: What We Got Right and Wrong appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

Not every NFL coach under pressure is one bad loss away from being fired. Some are trying to save their job. Some are trying to prove a new staff can handle expectations right away. Others have a quarterback, roster, or fan base that needs to see results.

That is why this list is not just a firing watch. It is a pressure ranking. The PFM Coaching Direction rankings look at the full coaching setup: head coach resume, current staff performance, coordinator stability, player development, culture, and game management.

With training camp approaching, these are the NFL coaching situations that feel the most important entering the 2026 season.

How PFM Ranked the 2026 NFL Coaching Pressure Index

Pressure is not the same thing for every coach. A second-year coach with a bottom-tier grade is in a different spot than a first-year coach taking over a messy roster. A coach with a franchise quarterback has a different standard than one still trying to build the offense.

For this ranking, PFM looked at several factors together instead of treating every coach like they are facing the same job-security question.

The goal is simple: identify which NFL coaches enter camp with the most to prove.

2026 NFL Hot Seat Rankings

No. 1: Dave Canales, Carolina Panthers

• PFM Coaching Direction: 70.8
• PFM Coaching Rank: No. 32
• Pressure type: Job-security pressure

Carolina has the lowest Coaching Direction grade in the PFM system, and that makes Canales the clearest choice for the top spot. This is no longer just about installing a program or asking for patience. The Panthers need the staff’s weekly fundamentals and player development to show up from camp into the regular season.

The pressure is not just about wins and losses. It is about whether Carolina looks more organized, more competitive, and more stable than it has in recent years. A young team can still be rebuilding while showing signs of improvement.

What changes the story: Carolina needs a clearer offensive identity, better week-to-week competitiveness, and signs that the staff is helping the roster grow instead of just surviving another season.

PFM read: The grade says the staff still has a lot of work to do to earn the fans’ trust moving forward.

No. 2: Aaron Glenn, New York Jets

• PFM Coaching Direction: 72.8
• PFM Coaching Rank: No. 26
• Pressure type: Rebound pressure

New York does not need another year that feels chaotic by October. The pressure on Glenn is about changing the feel of the entire operation. New York has had enough talent in recent seasons to be more competitive than its results have shown, and that puts immediate pressure on the coaching staff. For instance, the Jets failed to record a single interception last season. For a defensive coach, that is hard to ignore.

For Glenn, the first test is not whether the Jets look perfect. It is whether they look more disciplined, more connected, and less trapped in the same cycle. The defense must set the tone this season and show it can be the identity of this team.

What changes the story: The Jets need to look like a team with solid offensive improvement, fewer self-inflicted mistakes, and a defense that can turn the ball over.

PFM read: Glenn is not being judged like a long-tenured coach, but the Jets’ history makes patience harder to sell.

No. 3: Zac Taylor, Cincinnati Bengals

• PFM Coaching Direction: 73.8
• PFM Coaching Rank: No. 21
• Pressure type: Expectations pressure

Taylor is the biggest name on this list because Cincinnati has the kind of quarterback situation that coaches crave. When a team has a real championship window, the coaching grade cannot sit in the prove-it range forever.

The Bengals likely need a deep run for the temperature around Taylor to cool. That makes his pressure different from the coaches above him. It is less about proving basic competence and more about proving Cincinnati can maximize the window it has.

What changes the story: Cincinnati needs to show big defensive improvements, protect its quarterback better, and avoid another season where talent feels ahead of results.

PFM read: The Bengals have enough offensive upside to carry the team. The coaching staff has to turn that into a cleaner, more complete contender.

No. 4: Brian Schottenheimer, Dallas Cowboys

• PFM Coaching Direction: 73.7
• PFM Coaching Rank: No. 22
• Pressure type: Dallas pressure

The Dallas pressure index is on a different level. The Cowboys are rarely treated like a patient development story, and Schottenheimer does not get the benefit of the doubt here. Every uneven offensive stretch, every clock-management issue, and every big-game miss will get magnified.

That does not mean Schottenheimer’s hot seat is on fire before camp even starts. It means the runway is shorter than it would be in most places. Dallas has enough talent, brand heat, and expectation that the coaching staff has to show quickly that the team has a clear identity.

What changes the story: Dallas needs big defensive improvements, better late-game management, and a regular season that does not feel like another setup for January frustration.

PFM read: The grade puts Dallas in the prove-it range, and the pressure from the front office will intensify if early results do not look good.

No. 5: Kellen Moore, New Orleans Saints

• PFM Coaching Direction: 72.0
• PFM Coaching Rank: No. 29
• Pressure type: Identity pressure

Moore’s pressure is about leadership and direction. New Orleans needs to show that the offense can be trusted long term. Fan confidence is down after a rocky first season. A bottom-five coaching grade does not mean the decision is already made. It means the staff has work to do before people buy in.

The Saints have spent too much time feeling stuck between eras. Moore can change that if the offense looks modern, organized, and built around the players New Orleans actually has. Tyler Shough gives the Saints something to develop, and Jordyn Tyson gives the offense a young target worth watching. Now Moore has to turn that into a productive, more dangerous offense instead of another year of stalled drives.

What changes the story: New Orleans needs a clear offensive identity, better development from young players, and enough early-season progress to prove the staff is moving the team forward.

PFM read: Moore needs to show early improvement next season. If the Saints start out flat, the second-year coach will be under intense pressure.

Other NFL Coaching Situations With Pressure

Some coaches do not belong in a true hot-seat conversation, but they still enter 2026 with plenty to prove. This section focuses on coaching situations that are right on the edge of our hot seat rankings. If any of these head coaches start slowly, the pressure will be on.

The difference matters. A coach can be under pressure without being one bad month away from losing the job. For several of these teams, the real question is whether the staff can create sustainable results before the season starts slipping away.

Which NFL Coaches Have the Safest Seats?

The other side of the pressure ranking is the group of coaches who enter 2026 with the most fan trust. These coaches have either earned it through championships, strong roster development, high-level culture, or consistent team identity.

The difference between the top and bottom of the coaching table is not just job security. It is trust, stability, and how much belief the current staff has already earned.

Final Takeaway: NFL Coaching Pressure Is Not One-Size-Fits-All

The mistake is treating every coach under pressure the same way. Dave Canales and Zac Taylor are not facing the same kind of pressure. Neither are Aaron Glenn and Kellen Moore. Each situation is unique and multi-layered. For Glenn the defense must create takeaways early and often. For Moore the offense has to take the next step forward.

That is what makes the 2026 coaching picture interesting. Some teams need wins. Some need identity. Some need development. Some just need proof that the staff is not wasting the roster in front of it.

PFM’s Coaching Direction grade helps separate those situations. It does not predict who gets fired first. It shows which coaching staffs enter the season with the most to prove.

The post 2026 NFL Hot Seat Rankings: Coaches Under Pressure appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

PFM NFL POWER MAP

A quarterback can raise the ceiling. The roster decides how much load he has to carry.

The strongest NFL franchises combine a dependable quarterback situation with enough roster talent to win in different ways. The latest PFM Power Map reveals which teams have both, which quarterbacks are covering too many holes and which talented rosters are still waiting for the position to catch up.

THE LEAGUE-WIDE VIEW

2026 QB Stability vs. Roster Strength Power Map

As you can see in our map preview below the red vertical line marks the fixed 80.0 QB Stability benchmark. The gold horizontal line marks the current league midpoint in Roster Strength.

QB Stability benchmark: 80.0 Roster Strength league midpoint

Explore the Interactive Power Map Compare Any Two Teams

HOW TO READ THE MAP

Four quarterback-and-roster combinations

Each part of the map describes a different relationship between the quarterback situation and the supporting roster.

QB AND ROSTER IN PLACE

Ready to Make Noise

QB Stability reaches 80.0 and Roster Strength clears the league midpoint. These teams have a strong enough quarterback situation and roster to support a playoff run.

ROSTER AHEAD OF THE QB

A Quarterback Away

Roster Strength clears the midpoint, but QB Stability remains below 80.0. The roster can compete, but the quarterback situation limits how far they can go.

QB CARRYING THE LOAD

QB on an Island

QB Stability reaches 80.0, but Roster Strength remains below the midpoint. The quarterback has far too much on his shoulders, as the rest of the roster asks him to cover too many holes.

BOTH SIDES NEED HELP

No Answers

QB Stability is below 80.0 and Roster Strength trails the league midpoint. These teams need a better quarterback answer, more help across the roster or both.

FIVE DEFINING TEAMS

The top takeaways from the QB stability/roster power map

Let’s zero in on some teams that stand out in this NFL power map. Each spotlight represents a different way quarterback stability and roster talent can impact the upcoming season.

1

QB AND ROSTER IN PLACE

Seattle Seahawks

QB Stability Above 80.0 Roster Strength Well above midpoint Map Group Ready to Make Noise

The reigning champs own the strongest quarterback-and-roster combination on the current map. Sam Darnold gives the offense a dependable quarterback who can manage a game, while the roster does not need him to carry every game by himself.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba gives Seattle a clear No. 1 weapon. Devon Witherspoon, Leonard Williams and the defense give Mike Macdonald one of the best defenses in the league. The run game and offensive line still matter, but the Seahawks have fewer major holes than almost anyone else on the chart.

Seattle sits above the 80.0 benchmark in QB Stability and well above the league midpoint in Roster Strength. The Seahawks have a strong enough quarterback situation and roster to support a playoff run.

View the complete Seattle Seahawks dashboard →

2

ROSTER AHEAD OF THE QB

Pittsburgh Steelers

QB Stability Below 80.0 Roster Strength Above midpoint Map Group A Quarterback Away

Pittsburgh has enough around the quarterback to make things interesting. T.J. Watt and the pass rush give the defense a real identity, while newly acquired Michael Pittman Jr. strengthens a receiving group that needed another dependable target.

The question is how much Aaron Rodgers has left and whether he can stay healthy through a full season. The Steelers upgraded their short-term passing options, but the entire offense still depends on an older quarterback with limited mobility.

Pittsburgh clears the roster midpoint, but QB Stability remains below the 80.0 benchmark. The Steelers have a roster that can compete. The quarterback situation still decides how far they can go.

View the complete Pittsburgh Steelers dashboard →

3

QB CARRYING THE LOAD

Washington Commanders

QB Stability Above 80.0 Roster Strength Below midpoint Map Group QB on an Island

Jayden Daniels gives Washington the kind of quarterback advantage that can change an entire season. His mobility, deep-ball ability and connection with Terry McLaurin make the Commanders dangerous whenever the game turns into a shootout.

The roster still puts too much pressure on him though. Washington added several defensive additions in the offseason. They need to deliver as Daniels needs a more dependable defense. Keeping Daniels healthy becomes even more important when the team cannot control a game defensively.

Washington clears the QB Stability benchmark but remains below the roster midpoint. The Commanders have their answer at quarterback. Now they need the rest of the team to give him a larger margin for error.

View the complete Washington Commanders dashboard →

4

AT THE QB-ROSTER CROSSROADS

Jacksonville Jaguars

QB Stability Near benchmark Roster Strength Near midpoint Swing Factor Offensive execution

Jacksonville is one of the most important teams near the middle lines because they have the pieces to contend. Trevor Lawrence has Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers around him, while Liam Coen has enough offensive talent to create favorable matchups.

Now the Jaguars have to finish plays. Dropped passes and offensive-line inconsistency can ruin an offense that depends on timing. Josh Hines-Allen gives the defense a proven difference-maker, but the offense has to become more dependable from one week to the next.

Jacksonville is close enough to both dividing lines that a real step forward from Lawrence and the offense could move the entire team into a much stronger position.

View the complete Jacksonville Jaguars dashboard →

5

NO ANSWERS YET

Tennessee Titans

QB Stability Below 80.0 Roster Strength Below midpoint Map Group No Answers

Cam Ward is a young quarterback worth building around. The problem is how much still has to be built.

Offensive-line and receiver depth leave Ward with a smaller margin for error. The hope is that the 4th overall pick, Carnell Tate becomes the weapon they envision. Jeffery Simmons is an all-pro, but one defensive star cannot cover every weakness across the roster.

Tennessee remains below both dividing lines. The Titans need Ward to develop, but they also need enough help around him to make that development possible.

View the complete Tennessee Titans dashboard →

HOW PFM MEASURES THE FOUNDATION

What goes into the two ratings

QB

QUARTERBACK MEASURE

QB Stability

The quality of quarterback play, job security, availability and the strength of the full quarterback room.

RS

FULL-TEAM MEASURE

Roster Strength

The quality and depth of the full roster rather than a collection of separate position-group ratings.

PFM

KEEP EXPLORING

See the complete PFM picture

The Power Map shows the relationship between quarterback stability and the roster. The full rankings and team dashboards explain where each rating comes from.

Open the Full Power Map QB Stability Rankings Roster Strength Rankings

The post 2026 NFL QB Stability vs. Roster Strength: Five Teams That Define the Map appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

That is why we created the PFM Team Score.

PFM grades all 32 teams across seven areas: quarterback stability, roster strength, coaching direction, recent performance, offense, defense and franchise direction.

The goal is not to predict one game. It is to show where every team stands, what each team can trust and what could hold it back.

Now, let’s get to the rankings and the teams that stand out most.

The Complete Rankings

Here are the first complete PFM rankings for all 32 NFL teams. The overall score matters, but the grades underneath it tell the better story.

View the Pre-Training Camp PFM Rankings

The Biggest Surprise: Dallas Cowboys at No. 21

Dallas at No. 21 will look too low to plenty of fans. The Cowboys own a top-five offense with an 86.0 grade. QB Stability sits at 81.6, while Roster Strength comes in at 79.3.

Those are useful pieces, but they are not enough to cover the rest of the team. Defense is the biggest problem at 73.9. Coaching Direction is 73.7, and Recent Performance sits at 73.0. That leaves Dallas with too many areas working against its biggest strength.

Franchise Direction at 74.1 creates another long-term question, but it is not the main reason Dallas ranks outside the top 20 entering the season.

PFM is not saying the Cowboys are guaranteed to miss the playoffs. It is saying the current team is weaker than its reputation.

The Most Complete Team in the Rankings

Seattle earns the top spot because it has the strongest two-way profile in the rankings. The Seahawks grade at 86.6 on offense, while the defense is even better at 89.6.

There is no obvious weakness in Seattle’s current-season grades. The clearest uncertainty is in the backfield after Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III left for Kansas City.

Zach Charbonnet is working his way back from a torn ACL, while first-round rookie Jadarian Price still has to prove he can handle an NFL role. That does not erase the rest of Seattle’s profile, but it is the position worth watching as the season approaches.

The Quarterback Doing the Most Work

Justin Herbert gives the Los Angeles Chargers an 86.1 QB Stability grade. He also lands in the Quarterback on an Island section of the PFM Power Map.

The roster grade of 78.3 is not a major weakness, but it is well behind the quarterback situation. The bigger concern is an Explosiveness grade of 75.3. Los Angeles needs more consistent big-play production so Herbert does not have to create nearly everything himself.

The NFL’s No-Excuses Team

San Francisco has the pieces.

Roster Strength sits at 85.3, QB Stability is 85.7 and the defense checks in at 81.9. The 49ers are built to win now, and this roster should be judged by what it does in the current window.

Franchise Direction tells a different story. San Francisco grades at only 75.5 because several of the team’s most important players are closer to the end of their careers than the beginning.

The pressure is on. Trent Williams is not getting any younger, and the same is true for George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey. This core still has enough talent to make a serious run, but the window will not stay open forever.

Explore the Complete PFM System

The overall rankings are only the starting point. Every team has a full dashboard showing its PFM Team Score, NFL rank, strongest grade, biggest concern, Team DNA and season outlook.

Explore all 32 NFL team dashboards, compare any two NFL teams or view the league through the PFM Power Map.

You can also view the complete rankings for QB Stability, Roster Strength, Coaching Direction, Explosiveness and Franchise Direction.

These rankings will change.

Injuries will happen. Quarterback situations will move. Coaches will prove us right or wrong. Some teams will outperform the talent on paper, and others will waste it.

PFM will keep every update and every receipt.

The post Introducing the PFM NFL Ratings: Where All 32 Teams Really Stand appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

5 Buckeyes go in the first round – Even though Ohio State failed to go back-to-back you can’t ignore the sheer talent on that roster. The Buckeyes will once again be the talk of the draft with several high upside prospects going in the top ten. Caleb Downs is the best overall prospect in this draft in my opinion and the Browns will have a cornerstone on their defense for many years to come.

The Love sweepstakes – Star Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love was already getting plenty of buzz pre-combine and the hype reached another level post-combine. Love displayed the speed and quickness that has scouts drooling. How high will he go? I don’t think he will get past the Titans at 4. Is that too high to pick a running back? That’s debatable but Love is a special weapon that can carry an offense wherever he goes.

Commanders grab WR1 – I’ve been impressed thus far on how Washington is handling this free agency period. As many know, the Commanders had the oldest roster in the league last year and they set out to get younger across the board. They added Odafe Oweh who flashed with the Chargers last year finishing with 7.5 sacks. They also added several weapons for Jayden Daniels including TE Chig Okonkwo. The youth movement will continue as the select WR Carnell Tate with the 7th pick. Tate is the best overall receiver in this draft and could be the next Terry McLaurin.

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This is a very interesting matchup when we dive into the X’s and O’s. It’s very easy to say Seattle will run away with this one. They have a very good balanced offense with Kenneth Walker and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. They have two great blocking tight-ends who provide a huge impact in the running game. On defense they don’t blitz much, but they seem to get the quarterback with ease. On paper, their the better team. But wait a minute, does the better team always win? It’s about execution, it’s about timely plays at timely moments. It’s about field goals in pressure moments. All of these things play a factor in the outcome of the biggest game of the year. For the Patriots, they’ve been winning all year with smart QB play, a solid run game and tough hard nosed defense. There defense is a reflection of their tough hard nosed coach and Mike Vrabel. He has these guys believing, and why not the Patriots this year, why not?

What do the underdog (-4.5) Patriots have to do to win this game? I think first and foremost they must keep Seattle’s offense off the field. Seattle is way too dangerous, and they can score points very quickly. A couple mid-range passes to JSN and before you know it there on the 10 yard line. They should and will have a plan for JSN, because as he goes the rest of the team goes. He’s there #1 target and if they can shut him down They need to run the ball and control the clock as much as they can. They need to mix in some play action and throw short to intermediate throws. But most important be smart with the ball. Their margin for error in this game is very slim. They need to take advantage of certain opportunities and score touchdowns, not field goals when they have a chance. Also, they will need one if not two turnovers and create a short field for themselves. It’s important to remember, Sam Darnold has had his issues, and has made his mistakes in big games. I don’t think he just forgets about that, and maybe even thinks about it during this game. There is a lot of pressure in the biggest game of the season. But if he stays mistake free and lights it up, it could be a long game for the Patriots.

What do the favorites Seattle have to do? Well, that’s fairly simple. They need to play their game with a balanced offensive attack, play good defense and minimize turnovers. They cannot give the Patriots a short field. They need to “run up the score” and just keep the pedal on the gas. If they get up by 14 or 21 I think the game is over. They cannot let the Pats linger in this game and stay close. On the defensive side of the ball, they need to come after Maye early and often. He has been sacked 15 times in the 3 playoff games he’s played. If this continues, they will have no chance in this game. With all that said, my prediction is soley on the fact that whoever the critics thought would win and whatever they thought the score would be, either the opposite would happen or most of them were clearly wrong. Everybody is on that Seattle Train as they should be, there the better team, but slow your role!! I like the Patriots in a game where they frustrate Seattle with their potent D and create turnovers. In this game, Darnold may struggle, so how does he overcome that adversity. Everybody sit back on your couch and watch this, as it may be a different game then we all think it might be.

Patriots 21 Seattle 20

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Jayden Daniels (vs. LV) – Daniels and the Commanders were pretty beat up following the Thursday night beatdown in Green Bay. Daniels is dealing with a knee sprain he picked up late in the 4th quarter that currently has him day-to-day. If he were to miss Sunday’s matchup vs. the Raiders, Marcus Mariota would be next in line to start.

Aaron Jones (vs. CIN) – It’s been an injury plagued career for Jones and it’s unfortunate because he has so much talent. This time it’s a hamstring injury that he picked up Sunday night against the Falcons. The news doesn’t look good for Jones as the Vikings just placed him on IR. Jordan Mason should now get the majority of the carries and is a top waiver priority if available.

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Unfortunately there were plenty of injuries last week that could shape the fantasy season. Let’s take a look at some we are monitoring this week.

Xavier Worthy (vs PHI) – I had high hopes for Worthy this season but he was knocked out early on Friday night due to some friendly fire. It’s a separated shoulder for the 2nd year wideout but the good news is he is considered day-to-day and might play on a brace. Still, I would be surprised if he suited up this week.

Brock Purdy (@ NO) – Purdy is dealing with a shoulder and toe injury that may see him miss Sunday’s matchup with the Saints. It’s unfortunate as the matchup couldn’t be any better for him and the passing game. If Purdy can’t go, Mac Jones would be in line for the start.

Brock Bowers (vs. LAC) – Bowers picked up a knee injury in Sunday’s game vs. the Patriots. As of now, it doesn’t look serious but owners will want to monitor his practice schedule this week.

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