The current ADP below IS for Half PPR scoring.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions – WR) | ADP – 15 | WR9

Amon-Ra St. Brown was one of the breakout stars from last season. The 2nd year WR from USC built nicely on his rookie campaign and finished with 106 receptions, 1,161 yards and 6 touchdowns. This was good enough for 214.6 fantasy points in Half PPR. There are a couple of stats that stick out for St. Brown. He had 146 targets and accounted for a 25.9% target share on a team that lacked real playmakers at the WR position.

Don’t get me wrong, I am still high on St.Brown but I don’t like him as an early second-round pick. The Lions brought back Marvin Jones Jr. and drafted Jahmyr Gibbs from Alabama to help bolster their offense. Jones will eat into some of Brown’s target share and I also like Kalif Raymond as a potential late-round sleeper. If I had to choose right now between Garrett Wilson (ADP 17) and Amon-Ra St. Brown, I am taking Wilson.

Davante Adams (Raiders – WR) | ADP – 13 | WR7

Only Justin Jefferson had more fantasy points last season than Davante Adams. In his first season with the Las Vegas Raiders, Adams put up gaudy numbers along with a whopping 32.3% target share. He led the NFL in receiving touchdowns with 14 and finished the season with 285.5 fantasy points. Adams showed no signs of slowing down at the age of 30.

If Derek Carr were still on the Raiders I would have Adams in the top-tier of wide receivers. Carr is now with the New Orleans Saints and in steps Jimmy Garoppolo. While I do like the fit, Garoppolo is not the same arm talent as Carr. Carr looks to push the ball down the field more while Garoppolo plays more of a short to intermediate game. I expect the Raiders passing game to be more balanced next season and with that Adams numbers will drop. If I had to choose right now between A.J. Brown (ADP 14) or Davante Adams, I am grabbing Brown.

DK Metcalf (Seahawks – WR) | ADP – 33 | WR15

Last season was certainly not a letdown for D.K. Metcalf. He finished with 1,048 yards, 6 touchdowns and 181.8 fantasy points, yet we expected more. Metcalf finished behind fellow teammate Tyler Lockett in total fantasy points (195.3) and touchdowns (9). New quarterback Geno Smith looked for Metcalf often in the red zone. He had 27 red zone targets but only 5 red zone touchdowns.

Looking ahead to next season, the Seattle Seahawks added to their receiving core by drafting Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Smith-Njigba was selected 20th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft and I really like his upside. This receiving group is shaping up nicely but I expect Smith-Njigba to take some of those red zone targets away from Metcalf. If I had to choose right now between Deebo Samuel (ADP 36) or D.K. Metcalf, I am taking Samuel.

Looking for more fantasy advice? Check out our fantasy football section.

The post 3 WRs Currently Overvalued in Fantasy appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

Arizona Cardinals: TE Zach Ertz [ADP: 154.6]

When healthy, Zach Ertz was one of the best TEs in football last season. He was consistently getting double-digit FPs from his looks from Kyler Murray. From Week 11 onwards, he was out for the season due to injury. Now, Arizona will not have Kyler as he tore his ACL so Colt McCoy will take the helm. Without Hopkins, there will be more opportunities for the other receivers. If Ertz can bounce back, he can have a sneaky good year for whoever picks him.

Los Angeles Rams: RB Cam Akers [ADP: 85.8]

The Los Angeles Rams had a disastrous season with multiple injuries and inconsistency hurting the team. With the team in a half-rebuild, one of the people who can lead the team is Cam Akers. He will lead the team in the backfield and end the year strong. He ran for over 100 yards in his last three games and he hopes to build on it the next season. Look for Akers to have a strong year.

San Francisco 49ers: WR Brandon Aiyuk [ADP: 89.9]

Brandon Aiyuk is often forgotten when talking about San Francisco’s offense. He led the team in catches and receiving yards. With the 49ers having a strong offense every year, Aiyuk at this ADP is a steal. He has improved his numbers every year and reached over 1000 receiving yards in 2022. The only uncertainty is the 49ers QB as we still don’t know who will be the man in charge.

Seattle Seahawks: QB Geno Smith [ADP: 52.8]

Geno Smith had a bounce-back season for the ages as he led the Seahawks above all expectations. He threw for 4282 yards and 30 TDs as he brought the team to the playoffs. The Seahawks QB ended the year fifth among all QBs and 13th overall in fantasy football. Now, his ADP is 52.8 or a fourth-round pick. With another year in Seattle and the team drafting Jaxson Smith-Njigba, he looks prime for another great year.

The post NFC West: Biggest Fantasy Sleepers appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

Denver Broncos: RB Samaje Perine (ADP: 167.7)

The Denver Broncos picked up RB Samaje Perine during the offseason in order to beef up their RB depth chart. Javonte Williams is still recovering from injury and there is some doubt that he may miss some parts of the season. Perine will take over the load at first and can be a suitable backup as he also has good pass-catching skills. The Broncos want Javonte to take his time so Perine has his reps.

Kansas City Chiefs: RB Jerick McKinnon (ADP 175.8)

It’s challenging to trust Kansas City Chiefs’ players not named Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce. Their depth and plays make it possible for anyone to stand out. For this, we will trust Jerick McKinnon. He played an integral role in Kansas City’s run to the Super Bowl. The difficult part is that the Chiefs also have Clyde Edwards-Helaire, La’Mical Perine, and Isiah Pacheco. Hopefully, McKinnon will stand out due to his pass-catching ability.

Las Vegas Raiders: TE Michael Mayer (ADP: 138.9)

The Raiders drafted who many thought is the top TE in this year’s draft. Michael Mayer, a TE from Notre Dame, was picked up by Las Vegas in the second round. He is known for his offensive skills coming out of college. He will have some competition with Austin Hooper and O.J. Howard in the depth chart. Mayer has the most upside among the three and can be a sneaky pickup in the later rounds.

Los Angeles Chargers: WR Quentin Johnston (ADP 106.7)

Quentin Johnston landed in the perfect situation with the Chargers. Even if he’s the third-best WR on the team, the top two are often injured so this will open up more opportunities for him. With the addition of Kellen Moore on the team, the Chargers are bound to throw the ball deep more often which will help Johnston as he is likely to take those reps.

The post AFC West: Biggest Fantasy Sleepers appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

Houston Texans: WR Robert Woods (ADP 223.8)

Robert Woods is on his second team in two years as he tries to revitalize his career. When he was with the Rams, he was very consistent and made life easy for Jared Goff. His mission now is to help C.J. Stroud thrive. He is currently the top WR in the Texans. Look for Stroud to focus on him especially at the start in order to get a rhythm and to get acclimated to the NFL. His ADP of 223.8 is ridiculous for someone of his talent.

Indianapolis Colts: WR Alec Pierce (ADP 188.1)

For the Indianapolis Colts, I’m looking at Alec Pierce. As a rookie last season, he had his moments such as scoring 18.6 FP against the Cowboys and 15.1 FP against the Broncos. What makes him stand out is his 15 deep targets as the other Colts WRs only had 18 total deep targets. With Anthony Richardson having a cannon of an arm, Alec Pierce could benefit from the deep throws with the rookie QB.

Jacksonville Jaguars: WR Christian Kirk (ADP 82.9)

Christian Kirk had a career year last season when he caught 84 passes for 1108 yards and eight TDs. His year helped the Jaguars have a successful season and make Jacksonville look like an elite contender for years to come. Currently, he is slated at ADP 82.9 which is a steal for what he can do. Even with Calvin Ridley coming in, Trevor Lawrence will still pass the ball around. Christian Kirk will overcome his ADP again.

Tennessee Titans: QB Will Levis (ADP 137.9)

We’ve all seen the tape that he’s throwing the ball well in camps and looks like a steal. Let’s hold our horses first. He’s still very raw and Ryan Tannehill is still the guy for the Titans. Now I expect Will Levis to get some run depending on Tennessee’s record. This makes him intriguing especially in dynasty leagues if you need a QB. The fans will be calling for him if the Titans look bad.

The post AFC South: Biggest Fantasy Sleepers appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

PRESEASON EXPECTATIONS

After a stellar sophomore season with him ranked the top player in the NFL, Jonathan Taylor became a household name for all fantasy football fans. He ran for 1811 yards and 18 TDs and caught for 360 yards and a couple of TDs. People wondered if he would be the first overall pick for the upcoming season.

DRAFT EXPECTATIONS

Jonathan Taylor was the favorite non-QB player in fantasy drafts as he and Josh Allen were usually the first picks in fantasy drafts. With the RB position so volatile, having the best RB from last season makes it an easy choice for owners with the first or second pick.

OVERALL SEASON PRODUCTION

It was a nightmare of a season for the top-ranked RB of the Colts. There was a perfect storm of chaos from an injured offensive line to a subpar QB performance and to him being hurt. Teams were just focusing on him and were able to neutralize him. JT was only able to play 11 games for the Colts and this hurt the team. He ran for just 861 yards and four TDs. It will be interesting to see if teams will target him in the first round.

CRITICAL MOMENTS DURING THE SEASON

Week 1 vs Houston Texans

It was an amazing start to the season by JT as he rushed for 161 yards and 31 carries in the season-opener. He ran in for a two-yard TD with seven minutes left in the fourth quarter. Fantasy owners were delighted as they expected the Jonathan Taylor of last year to be the same for this season. This would be his best performance of the year with 27.50 FP.

Week 10 vs Las Vegas Raiders

It had been a slow season for Taylor as the Colts went to Las Vegas in Week 10. The Raiders’ defense had no answer as JT ran for 147 yards, including a 66-yard TD run late in the third quarter. His 24.30 FP this week was more than his previous three weeks combined.

Week 12 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Before being shut down due to a high ankle sprain, Jonathan Taylor’s last good game came against the Steelers. He ran for 86 yards and scored on a two-yard run in the third. It had been a subpar season to this point and we hope JT will be healthy and ready come the 2023 season.

The post 2022-2023 Fantasy Football Review: Jonathan Taylor appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

PRESEASON EXPECTATIONS

After being drafted by the Houston Texans in the 2022 NFL Draft, many identified Dameon Pierce as a rookie running back to watch out for. With Houston most likely in a losing season, they would give Pierce touches and hopefully be their RB 1 of the future.

DRAFT EXPECTATIONS

Dameon Pierce had hype as the rookie was sensational in the preseason. He had been rising up draft boards and in the end, he reached mid-round value. He was the 35th RB taken and that’s good value. There was a logjam as the Texans had split work for three RBs. If owners stayed patient, Pierce could show off his value.

OVERALL SEASON PRODUCTION

It was a season of hope for the Texans as Dameon Pierce looks like the future RB 1. He had his moments where he looked unbelievable but sadly injuries got in the way and he missed the last four games of the season. Pierce ran for 939 yards and four TDs and caught 30 passes for 165 yards and a TD. With more offensive weapons coming next season, Dameon Pierce is due for a breakout season.

CRITICAL MOMENTS DURING THE SEASON

Week 3 vs Chicago Bears

In Week 3 against the Chicago Bears, Pierce finally recorded his first-ever career rushing TD. In the second quarter, he rushed to the left for a one-yard TD. He ended the game with 80 rushes through 20 carries. He also caught two balls for 21 yards.

Week 4 vs Los Angeles Chargers

Dameon Pierce’s best game of the season came against the Chargers in Week 4. The Texans rookie ran for 131 yards, including a 75-yard TD in the second quarter. He also caught a season-high six passes for just eight yards. This performance gave him 25.90 FP and he looked like a steal for owners who had him in the middle rounds.

Week 9 vs Philadelphia Eagles

In a game against the reigning NFC Champions, everyone was expecting Houston to just be blown out. Dameon Pierce, however, had his best-rushing game against an elite defense. The rookie ran for 139 yards and 27 carries. His longest run for the game was a 36-yard run. This shows how capable Pierce is against one of the top defenses in the NFL.

The post 2022-2023 Fantasy Football Review: Dameon Pierce appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

PRESEASON EXPECTATIONS

Isaiah Hodgins did not do much in order to get into Buffalo’s good behaviors as he barely played as a Bill. With such a deep WR core, it would be an uphill battle for him to even get reps.

DRAFT EXPECTATIONS

There were no draft expectations for Hodgins as his ADP was 999 or undrafted. I don’t blame owners as WRs are deep in fantasy football. However…

OVERALL SEASON PRODUCTION

It all changed when the Giants claimed Hodgins off waivers. Isaiah became a favorite target of Daniel Jones and he resigned for another year in New York. He ended the year with 37 catches for 392 yards and four TDs. He had those TDs in the last six games of the season Keeping Hodgins was a good move for the Giants who look at Daniel Jones as the guy at QB.

CRITICAL MOMENTS DURING THE SEASON

Week 16 vs Minnesota Vikings

Isaiah Hodgins had the best game of his career so far against the Vikings in Week 16. He connected for eight catches and 89 yards and a TD. The hype was getting louder for Hodgins as he caught his third TD in four games at the time. He had a season-high 22.90 FP, good for WR 7.

Special Edition: Wildcard vs Minnesota Vikings

There’s something about the Vikings that makes Isaiah unstoppable. In the Wild Card Round, the Giants faced the Vikings on the road. Hodgins dominated with eight catches for 105 yards and a 14-yard TD in the first quarter. He saved the best game of his career for this and it worked out for New York.

The post 2022-2023 Fantasy Football Review: Isaiah Hodgins appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

PRESEASON EXPECTATIONS

Fresh off a historic rookie season where he had 81 catches for 1455 yards and 13 TDs, Ja’Marr was eager to show that his rookie season was no fluke. He had gotten a lot of praise from teammates and opponents alike that he was an elite WR even after just one year.

DRAFT EXPECTATIONS

The jump for Ja’Marr was evident as his ADP was 13.3 or almost a sure-fire first-round pick. Being the WR 1 for Joe Burrow has a lot of benefits so people were okay with using their first pick on him.

OVERALL SEASON PRODUCTION

Ja’Marr Chase had a down year production-wise, but he was still recognized as an elite wide receiver. He was the 12th-best WR and 36th overall. He only played 13 games, but he managed to have 87 catches for 1046 yards and nine TDs. You can still put your faith in Chase next year as he’ll be one of the best WRs and players in fantasy football.

CRITICAL MOMENTS DURING THE SEASON

Week 1 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

It was a great start to the season for Ja’Marr Chase when the Bengals faced the Steelers in Week 1. He caught 10 passes for 129 yards and a TD. His TD was a six-yard catch with four seconds left, putting them an extra point away from overtime.

Week 6 vs New Orleans Saints

We move to New Orleans where Ja’Marr showcased his WR 1 week against the Saints. In 10 attempts, he caught seven passes for 132 yards and a couple of TDs. He caught a 15-yard TD pass late in the third to make it a two-point game. With two minutes left in the fourth quarter, Ja’Marr was open for a 60-yard TD that gave the Bengals the win.

Week 7 vs Atlanta Falcons

His best performance came against the Falcons where he had 33 FP. Ja’Marr was unstoppable that day when he caught eight passes for 130 yards and two TDs. In this blowout game, Chase caught a couple of TDs in the second quarter. One was for 32 yards and the other was for 41 yards. At his best, he is in the conversation for WR 1 for years to come.

The post 2022-2023 Fantasy Football Review: Ja’Marr Chase appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

PRESEASON EXPECTATIONS

Rhamondre Stevenson was slated as the Patriots’ RB 2 behind Damien Harris. New England does multiple RB packages so they are fresh. He had a decent rookie season where he ran for 606 yards and five TDs. It was hopeful that he would have better stats as he did have 22.70 FP in Week 17 in 2021.

DRAFT EXPECTATIONS

Rhamondre had an ADP of 110.1. With this ADP, he was the 37th RB taken in fantasy football. He would be taken around the 9th round which would be reserved for the bench. That would be a good value for someone who had a good rookie season.

OVERALL SEASON PRODUCTION

Congratulations to owners if you drafted Rhamondre Stevenson as he took over the starting job with Damien Harris getting injured. He blew everyone’s expectations after a season that put him as the 7th-best RB in all of football and 30th overall player. Through 17 games he ran for 1040 yards and five TDs. He caught an impressive 69 passes for 421 yards and a TD. Another great season is expected for Rhamondre.

CRITICAL MOMENTS DURING THE SEASON

Week 3 vs Baltimore Ravens

The Rhamondre Stevenson breakout season began in Week 3 against the Ravens. He rushed 12 times for 73 yards and a one-yard TD in the final quarter to make it a smaller lead for the Ravens. He also caught four passes for 28 yards. The combo of Stevenson and Harris was working at this point.

Week 6 vs Cleveland Browns

Week 6 was the first game where Damien Harris wasn’t available so Rhamondre had the keys to the offense. He ran through the Browns with 19 rushes for 76 yards and two TDs. He rushed for a 31-yard TD late in the 2nd quarter and a six-yard TD late in the 4th quarter to seal the deal. It looked like Rhamondre owned the backfield and Damien Harris owners would have to find alternatives. He had a season-high 25.10 FP.

Week 15 vs Las Vegas Raiders

The Patriots vs. Raiders game was one of the most memorable games of the season. What is forgotten is Rhamondre’s season-high rushing performance. Stevenson ran for 172 yards and a 34-yard TD that put the Pats up 24017 with four minutes left in the game. What will only be remembered is the Jakobi Meyers pass to Chandler Jones and the stiff arm to Mac Jones for the game-winning TD.

The post 2022-2023 Fantasy Football Review: Rhamondre Stevenson appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

PRESEASON EXPECTATIONS

Derrick Henry has been one of the most consistent players in fantasy. The year before, injuries bothered him for the first time as he was only available to play eight games. Even in those limited games, he was able to rush for 937 yards and 10 TDs. Owners were wondering if his health would be a factor going forward, especially after what happened in 2021.

DRAFT EXPECTATIONS

Fantasy owners were still high on him as he was the 10th player taken in fantasy. He was the fourth RB taken, which was understandable in a PPR league. Being behind JT, CMC, and Ekeler is nothing to be ashamed of as they can catch the ball also. Having Henry would keep the RB1 position in your team in good hands.

OVERALL SEASON PRODUCTION

Derrick Henry had a tremendous bounce-back year for fantasy owners as he was able to stay healthy for the season. He finished as the fourth-best RB in terms of PPR. The Titans’ RB ran for 1538 yards and 13 TDs and caught 33 passes for 398 yards. Looking ahead into next season, Henry is being shopped by the Titans as they are moving towards rebuilding possibly. If he were to stay with the Titans next season, he is still an elite RB.

CRITICAL MOMENTS DURING THE SEASON

Week 5 vs Washington Commanders

After a slow start to the season, the Titans were catching steam ahead of their Week 5 matchup vs the Commanders. In a critical road game, Henry ran for 102 yards and two TDs. The first one came with 20 seconds left in the 2nd quarter. The last one turned out to be the final score as his one-yard run TD put Tennessee up 21-17. His performance gave him 27.20 FP. Three straight weeks of 20+ FP make owners rejoice.

Week 8 vs Houston Texans

Derrick Henry’s favorite team is the Houston Texans. Whenever the two face each other, Henry always seems to bring out his best. This matchup gave him 35.80 FP, his most for the season. Henry ran for a season-high 219 yards and two TDs. The first TD came from a 29-yard run and the second was a TD from the one. Tennessee was on a hot streak as they hit their fifth straight win after starting 0-2.

Week 9 vs Kansas City Chiefs

In a game where Malik Willis started, the Titans needed everything they can from Derrick Henry to lead the offense. He did his best as Willis only got 80 yards passing. He rushed for two TDs in the 2nd quarter to give the Titans a 14-3 lead. The Chiefs sadly came from behind and won in OT.

The post 2022-2023 Fantasy Football Review: Derrick Henry appeared first on Pro Football Mania.