By Zach Attack @FFChalupaBatman

Every season there are plenty of players drafted in the double-digit rounds that exceed expectations and lead your fantasy football team to the playoffs and maybe win the championship. Players drafted late or picked up off waivers may not help all season, but can help you win a week or two. Remember, fantasy football is a week-to-week game so adding a player at a low cost to your roster that helps you win a week is a great value. Below are 10 “sleeper” players that you can draft in the double-digit rounds or will go undrafted. They all have concerns which are why their ADP is lower, but I will highlight the potential of each player.

QB Tua Tagovailoa

Tua did not blow the world away in his rookie season, why is why his ADP is so low. However, he is now fully recovered and healthy from his serious hip injury in 2019. He has two new offensive coordinators that will now create an offense around Tua’s skillset. The Miami Dolphins added a lot of speed to the WR group too with Will Fuller and Jaylen Waddle. Tua’s rookie stats won’t get you excited, but his second season is going to be completely different. He has a full offseason with his team and there is more talent on the offense. Tua has the potential to finish as a top-12 QB, and he could go undrafted in your league.

QB Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold escaped from New York. He is now the starting quarterback of the Carolina Panthers. Darnold has not had a good career so far, but his teams were void of talent. The Panthers’ offense is full of talent. Darnold will now be passing to D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson, and both are dynamic WRs. He also has the ultimate fantasy weapon, Christian McCaffery. Darnold could just dump the off to CMC several times a game and get lots of easy fantasy points. If Darnold is as good a QB as the scouts projected him coming out of college then he will thrive in this offense, and he will be a steal in your draft!

RB Rashaad Penny

Rashaad Penny has had trouble staying healthy for the first 3 seasons of his career. However, when he is on the field he has looked dynamic with the ball in his hands. Seattle has been a run-heavy team, despite what Russell Wilson wants them to do, so if Penny can stay healthy he could get 10 touches a game. Also, if Carson gets hurt during the season then Penny would see a much larger workload.  Yards per carry can be a misleading stat but Penny had an average of 5.3 YPC from 2018 to 2019 (23 games) and an average yards per reception of 9.4 YPR.

WR Antonio Brown

Antonio Brown played the last 8 games of 2020 after serving his 8 game suspension and is part of a three-headed WR corps monster with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Tom Brady threw 40 TDs last season, and now he has another offseason to better understand Arians’ offensive scheme. Brown averaged 20.1 PPR per game for the last four weeks of the season (after the bye week) with 4 total touchdowns. Once Brown got back into “football shape,” he still looked great running routes. In the Bucs high-octane offense, Brown is capable of scoring like a WR2 and is a great draft value.

WR Mike Williams

Mike Williams has had a 1,000-yard season and a 10+ TD season before, but just not at the same time. Williams has never exceeded more than 49 receptions before, but there is a new offensive coordinator this season.  Justin Herbert had a record-breaking rookie season, so it will help Williams if Herbert continues to develop in his second season. Williams has a career yards per reception of 15.1 yards, so if he maintains that average and finally gets to 70 receptions then he will exceed 1,000 yards. Williams’s best chance of adding value is being a TD machine at 6′ 4″ with great leaping and high-pointing abilities.

WR Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup is another wide receiver in a crowded group on a high-performing passing offense. In the last two seasons, Gallup had 100+ targets both seasons, and Dak Prescott only played in 4 full games in 2020. He was 10^th in contested catch rate at 66.7% in 2020. Gallup has speed and great hands to make big plays. Gallup may be the third option in the passing offense, but the Cowboys could set a record for passing attempts this season so there are plenty of targets to go around. 

WR Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney had a quiet rookie season statistically, but you could see the potential on the field that did not translate to the stat sheet. Mooney did not have an adequate QB throwing him the ball, and Trubisky missed Mooney on a lot of open deep routes. Mooney was the 39^th WR in air yards per game with 72.3 yards and 24^th in air yards per reception with 19 yards. He also tied for 26^th with 8 endzone targets. The Chicago Bears now have Andy Dalton and Justin Fields on their QB depth chart. Both QBs should play better than Trubisky and help Mooney leap in his second season.

WR Russell Gage

If you didn’t know, Julio Jones was traded to the Tennessee Titans. Honestly, Gage was on the sleeper list before Jones was traded. The Atlanta Falcons have a high-volume passing offense, and Gage will still see a lot of targets even as the third option. He had 110 targets in 16 games but only started 8 games in 2020. After the bye week (Week 10), Gage averaged 14.7 PPR per game for the last 7 games of the season. That would have made him WR23 for PPR per game if he did that for the whole season. Gage is capable of being a WR3 with an upside of being a WR2 any given week.

WR Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell has not been able to stay healthy through the first two seasons of his career. He hasn’t played enough games (started 5 games) yet to glean much from his stats. Before his injuries, he was an explosive, fast player, and hopefully, he hasn’t lost that ability. There is not a clear WR1 on the Colts right now. Hilton took a huge step back last season and Pittman didn’t step up, so it may be unlikely but Campbell could be the top WR on the team. You should not expect that but, it is in the realm of possibilities. Campbell is going undrafted in most drafts, but he is a great dart throw with your last pick. If he doesn’t look like he had a solid role in the offense within the first two weeks of the season then you can drop him without hurting your team.

TE Blake Jarwin

There was optimism about Blake Jarwin being a TE1 in 2020, but he tore his ACL in Week 1 and his season was over before it started. Jarwin’s ADP is so late in drafts because people are still concerned about his health and think Dalton Schultz with taking away snaps or targets. Jarwin is expected to be back to start the season, and he is a better tight end than Schultz. In Jarwin’s two full seasons (2018-2019) he has averaged 11.6 yards per reception. If Schultz was able to finish as the TE11 last year without Dak Prescott after 4 full games played, then I expect Jarwin to exceed that and at the worst match that finish. Honorable Mentions: QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, WR KJ Hamler, WR Jalen Reagor, TE Gerald Everett, TE Dawson Knox

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Whether you had a bad year, or years, in your fantasy league, the future is bright. Every year there will be a group of players, that fall to the back end of the draft, and end up producing with the league’s best. Here is a list of five players, who you can get late in your drafts, that have a giant upside.

Cam Akers (Finished as RB45)

After an already wild start to the offseason, the Los Angeles Rams are in for an exciting 2021. While Matt Stafford may be the focal point of the Rams right now, anyone who has watched Akers at Florida State or in his rookie season knows his upside is through the roof. Akers was only able to get over 10 carries one time prior to week 10, this was because he was sharing a backfield with Darell Henderson and Malcolm Brown. And when Akers did get touches it was mostly as a change of pace back. Akers potential flashed in weeks 12-14. Where he totaled 14.4 points, 16.4 points, and 21.4 points. While these are above average numbers, Akers did so without being the primary receiving back and while splitting carries with Brown and Henderson. With Malcolm Brown set to hit free agency, and Henderson ending the season on an injury, Akers Production is about to go through the roof. The Addition of Matt Stafford will boost his catches out of the backfield as well as keeping the defense honest in the passing game. Akers Likely won’t be picked up as the first RB for any team but his potential is at the minimum an RB2 or starting flex. Akers is the projected as the RB19, and after his strong finish to 2020, i expect him to eclipse that mark.

Robby Anderson (Finished as WR19)

In his time in the NFL, Anderson has shown flashes of his ability on the deep ball. Anderson is very similar to Desean Jackson, a skinny, fast, receiver who at any point, can torch you for an 80-yard touchdown. The only problem is Robby Andersons best QBs have been Sam Darnold and Teddy Bridgewater, who doesn’t throw the deep ball. Everyone knows Teddy Bridgewater was never going to be the future for the Panthers at QB but would fill the void for the time being. The Panthers could very well have a New QB in 2021, with many mock drafts having them acquire a QB with the 8th overall pick. In terms of Andersons production, through weeks 1-5, he was on fire, with four games over 100 yards. But he was never able to eclipse the 100-yard mark for the rest of the season. Anderson, despite finishing the year with three touchdowns, finished as the WR19 in PPR leagues. Three touchdowns to go along with a 1000 yard season does not make much sense. With WR Curtis Samuel being a free agent, Anderson’s production will likely increase even more. Anderson’s lack of touchdowns drives down his demand to the point where you can get him in the later parts of your draft. Anderson will have a very strong 2021, but his skillset and value are greatly underrated, making him a phenomenal late-round pickup.

Hunter Henry (Finished as TE12)

In the NFL, there is no bigger production gap than at the TE position. There were only seven TEs who averaged over 10pgg (PPR) in 2020. So a Tight end who consistently produces is of high value. Los Angeles Chargers TE Hunter Henry showed flashes of his fantasy value in 2019 where he had 55 receptions and 5 touchdowns in only 12 games. In 2021 Henry put up similar numbers in 14 games. With Henry now being a Free Agent, his talents could be put to use elsewhere. Henry has always shown value as a receiver, averaging 12 YPC in his career. And at age 26, he is just getting started. If a pass-heavy team picks him up, Henry’s production could go through the roof. He has been very consistent and at 6’6 poses a great red zone threat. A somewhat down year for Henry is likely due to the fact that the Chargers started rookie QB Justin Herbert for most of the year. Herbert being new to the system was not very familiar with Henry and his abilities which could result in a decreased production. If The Chargers resign Henry, I expect his totals to skyrocket as he develops comfort with Justin Herbert. You should be able to get Henry very late in your draft, his risk-reward is very positive, and I believe his 2021 will be beneficial for fantasy owners. Anderson is projected to be the the WR42 in 2020, a position I guarantee he will eclipse.

Sam Darnold (Finished as QB33)

If any QB is built for a comeback, it is Sam Darnold. In his 3 years in New York, he has flashed potential but ultimately has been limited by poor weapons and worse coaching. With rumors swirling that the Jets are ready to move on from Darnold and trade him for draft capital, it might be time he shows out. Darnold is only 23 years old, which is insanely young for a QB with 3 NFL seasons under his belt. For Dynasty owners, he could provide lasting success for little to nothing. Darnold was only rostered on 1.7% of teams at the end of 2020, making his risk extremely low. Stats do any favors to Darnold, but if he remains in New York, new Head Coach Robert Saleh is likely going to be a better fit for Darnold than “QB Guru” Adam Gase. Look at how Ryan Tannehill’s career changed after leaving Adam Gase’s Dolphins. If Darnold does have a new home, I expect his production to be top 15 at least, making him a valuable QB2 that you could get very late in the draft or off waivers. Darnold is projected to be the QB29 in 2021, a great underestimate.

Ronald Jones (Finished as RB20)

Despite being the most productive back in Tampa, Leonard Fournette gets more attention than Ronald Jones. The lack of attention around Jones is a large reason why he will fall in many drafts. But make no mistake, Ronald Jones will be a top seven RB in 2021. With the Bucs being well over the cap for 2021, and Leonard Fournette set to be a free agent, Jones will be the clear cut RB1 as well as absorbing Fournettes goal line role. In 14 games Jones had 978 yards and Seven TDs, (compared to Fournette’s 367 and Six), making him the RB 20. Jones Rushed for over 100 yards in 4 of 14 games, but if he gets goal-line carries in 2021, his touchdown total will increase greatly. Another positive to Jones is his pairing with Tom Brady. Brady is notorious for check-downs to RBs. Receptions were split between Jones and Fournette in 2020, meaning the loss of Fournette will raise Jones value in PPR leagues tremendously. Ronald Jones has shown flashes of what he can be even rushing for 100 yards in three straight games. Increased touches will put Ronald Jones as an RB1 on any team yet he will likely be available much later in drafts. Ronald Jones is Projected to be the RB25 in 2021, which gives him a great draft value.

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