What are the Odds?

Let’s take a quick look at the 2023 NBA Draft Lottery better known as the “Victor Wembanyama” sweepstakes. Three of the leagues worst teams the Pistons, Spurs and Rockets came into the lottery with 14% odds of winning. In the end the Spurs came away victorious and now get the rights to pick Wembanyama. It’s important to note that the Pistons had the league’s worst record (17-65) but ended up with the 5th overall pick.

The NFL and Tanking

Now let’s take a closer look at the NFL draft and structure. Does the NFL have a tanking problem? Most would say it doesn’t although there are some teams that make interesting moves down the stretch. When you look back at the 2022-2023 NFL season the Houston Texans were primed to get the 1st overall pick in the draft. They just needed to lose to the Colts and they were set. Well Lovie Smith and crew were not having it as the Texans ended up winning 32-31 in dramatic fashion. It just goes to show you there a many variables to keep in mind when tanking.

NFL Draft Lottery in the Future?

There are many arguing that the NFL should implement a draft lottery and I get it. It would become another primetime showcase event for the league. It would draw millions of viewers and fans would be on the edge of their seat. I just don’t think the NFL needs it. They don’t have a tanking problem in my eyes and the league is full of parity. The worst team in the league could become a playoff team in just one year with the right draft picks. The NFL should stand pat and not mess with a good thing. Mixing up the draft structure now when it’s already one of the top events of the year is not the right move.

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Michael Mayer TE Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders stole the top TE prospect in multiple draft boards in Michael Mayer in the second round. The tight end from Notre Dame was expected to go in the first round but fell to the early part of the second rounder. With the Raiders trading away Darren Waller, they get a pass-catching TE that will be able to start right away for the Raiders. Jimmy Garoppolo will enjoy having a reliable tight end in day one.

Tank Dell WR Houston Texans

CJ Stroud’s wish came true when the Texans used their third round pick on Tank Dell. A WR out of the University of Houston, he is the perfect slot receiver who will help Stroud. He had 1254 yards and 15 TDs in his last season in college, however his size pushed him to the third round. Being in the QB of the future’s wishlist does make Dell someone worth monitoring. With no established names in the wide receiving corp, Tank Dell can surprise everyone in training camp.

Jalin Hyatt WR New York Giants

The Giants did their job off giving more help to Daniel Jones when they selected Jalin Hyatt in the third round. A lot projected him to be selected higher but this is a steal for the Giants. A deep threat, he will help stretch the field and hope to catch deep passes from Jones. If all goes well, the Giants hope to make the playoffs again next season.

The post Non 1st Round Picks To Watch Out For In Fantasy appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

Arizona Cardinals: B

Best Pick: Paris Johnson, OT – Ohio State

Questionable Pick: Jon Gaines II, G – UCLA

Atlanta Falcons: B+

Best Pick: Bijan Robinson, RB – Texas

Questionable Pick: Zach Harrison, EDGE – Ohio State

Baltimore Ravens: B

Best Pick: Trenton Simpson, LB – Clemson

Questionable Pick: Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu, OT – Oregon

Buffalo Bills: B-

Best Pick: O’Cyrus Torrence, G – Florida

Questionable Pick: Dalton Kincaid, TE – Utah

Carolina Panthers: A-

Best Pick: Jonathan Mingo, WR – Ole Miss

Questionable Pick: Chandler Zavala, G – N.C. State

Chicago Bears: C+

Best Pick: Darnell Wright, OT – Tennessee

Questionable Pick: Gervon Dexter, DT – Florida

Cincinnati Bengals: B-

Best Pick: Jordan Battle, S – Alabama

Questionable Pick: Chase Brown, RB – Illinois

Cleveland Browns: B+

Best Pick: Siaki Ika, DT – Baylor

Questionable Pick: Dorian Thompson-Robinson, QB – UCLA

Dallas Cowboys: B

Best Pick: Luke Schoonmaker, TE – Michigan

Questionable Pick: Evan Hull, RB – Northwestern

Denver Broncos: C+

Best Pick: Marvin Mims Jr., WR – Oklahoma

Questionable Pick: Riley Moss, CB – Iowa

Detroit Lions: B-

Best Pick: Brian Branch, S – Alabama

Questionable Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs, RB – Alabama

Green Bay Packers: B

Best Pick: Lukas Van Ness, EDGE – Iowa

Questionable Pick: Sean Clifford, QB – Penn State

Houston Texans: A

Best Pick: Will Anderson Jr., EDGE – Alabama

Questionable Pick: Juice Scruggs, C – Penn State

Indianapolis Colts: B+

Best Pick: Josh Downs, WR – UNC

Questionable Pick: Anthony Richardson, QB – Florida

Jacksonville Jaguars: B+

Best Pick: Antonio Johnson, S – Texas A&M

Questionable Pick: Brenton Strange, TE – Penn State

Kansas City Chiefs: B-

Best Pick: Rashee Rice, WR – SMU

Questionable Pick: Wanya Morris, OT – Oklahoma

Las Vegas Raiders: B+

Best Pick: Michael Mayer, TE – Notre Dame

Questionable Pick: Tre Tucker, WR – Cincinnati

Los Angeles Chargers: B

Best Pick: Quentin Johnston, WR – TCU

Questionable Pick: Derius Davis, WR – TCU

Los Angeles Rams: B-

Best Pick: Steve Avila, G – TCU

Questionable Pick: Kobie Turner, DT – Wake Forest

Miami Dolphins: C+

Best Pick: Devon Achane, RB – Texas A&M

Questionable Pick: Cam Smith, CB – South Carolina

Minnesota Vikings: B-

Best Pick: Jaquelin Roy, DT – LSU

Questionable Pick: Mekhi Blackmon, CB – USC

New England Patriots: B-

Best Pick: Christian Gonzalez, CB – Oregon

Questionable Pick: Bryce Baringer, P – Michigan State

New Orleans Saints: B

Best Pick: Isaiah Foskey, EDGE – Notre Dame

Questionable Pick: Kendre Miller, RB – TCU

New York Giants: B

Best Pick: Eric Gray, RB – Oklahoma

Questionable Pick: Tre Hawkins III, CB – ODU

New York Jets: B-

Best Pick: Joe Tippmann, C – Wisconsin

Questionable Pick: Will McDonald IV, EDGE – Iowa State

Philadelphia Eagles: A

Best Pick: Kelee Ringo, CB – Georgia

Questionable Pick: Tanner McKee, QB – Stanford

Pittsburgh Steelers: B+

Best Pick: Joey Porter Jr., CB – Penn State

Questionable Pick: Nick Herbig, EDGE – Wisconsin

San Francisco 49ers: C

Best Pick: Ji’Ayir Brown, S – Penn State

Questionable Pick: Jake Moody, K – Michigan

Seattle Seahawks: B+

Best Pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR – Ohio State

Questionable Pick: Zach Charbonnet, RB – UCLA

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: B

Best Pick: Cody Mauch, OT – North Dakota State

Questionable Pick: Josh Hayes, CB – Kansas State

Tennessee Titans: B+

Best Pick: Will Levis, QB – Kentucky

Questionable Pick: Tyjae Spears, RB – Tulane

Washington Commanders: B

Best Pick: Jartavius “Quan” Martin, CB – Illinois

Questionable Pick: Braeden Daniels, G – Utah

The post 2023 NFL Draft Grades for all 32 Teams appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

QUARTERBACKS

#1 Bryce Young – Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young is in Carolina after months of anticipation. He had been first overall on draft boards for the longest time when Carolina made the trade. We will see if the size concerns are legitimate as he is expected to start early on for the Panthers. Carolina did a good job bringing in pieces such as Adam Thielen and Hayden Hurst. Unless he’s a total bust, Bryce will have a strong rookie season.

#2 C.J. Stroud – Houston Texans

After all the noise in the pre-draft process, the Texans took the best QB available at number two. With all the propaganda against Stroud, his stock was falling and even the gambling lines weren’t a fan of him. Stroud goes into a rebuilding situation in Houston with few good options such as Robert Woods and Dameon Pierce. With Houston being in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL, he can make noise early on. The stats might not look as nice but I believe in C.J. Stroud.

#4 Anthony Richardson – Indianapolis Colts

The Colts shocked the draft boards when they selected Anthony Richardson with the fourth pick of the draft. Many were speculating that Will Levis would be the pick but the Colts were higher on Richardson. Richardson comes in as a project as he will need experience first. So, expect a rocky season in terms of win-loss record. His running game could give him points, like what Justin Fields did last season. I expect AR to be the starter as Gardner Minshew will serve as a good backup to him to help him grow. He’s worth stashing since he’ll most likely have a rocky start.

RUNNING BACKS

#8 Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson had been touted as the best non-QB offensive weapon in this class. With the value of RBs decreasing, his talent level was respected very much as he had top-10 pick status in mock drafts. Atlanta chose to use their eighth pick on him in the draft. Now, he would be their top RB and a nice piece for Desmond Rider. People were hoping he would go somewhere else where his talent can shine more. The Falcons drafted Tyler Allgeier last year and he just ran for over 1000 yards. I think it’s safe to assume Bijan will get the workload immediately. Allgeier could steal some snaps early on, especially if he’s doing well.

#12 Jahmyr Gibbs – Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions traded down to 12 and got two more picks for the 6th and 81st. They surprisingly took Jahmyr Gibbs out of Alabama with the 12th pick. Draft boards had Gibbs to be drafted later in the first round and running back isn’t a need for the Lions. Besides keeping D’Andre Swift, they also signed David Montgomery in the offseason. This might be a tough first season production-wise for Gibbs as he will have two established players ahead of him. Keep him on your mind in case any of the two gets injured during the season.

Update: D’Andre Swift has been traded to the Eagles so this leaves Gibbs with the potential to have a decent rookie season. It could be similar to the Swift-Williams combo last season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

#20 Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Seattle Seahawks

The first wide receiver off the board took longer than expected as the Seahawks took Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Many of the mocks had him as early as 12th to the Texans but the teams went with other options. This pick is interesting as he goes to a wide receiver room of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. In case Lockett, leaves JSN would serve as a good replacement and it gives Geno Smith an extra weapon. JSN would be worth drafting in the middle to late rounds.

#21 Quentin Johnson – Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers went for a receiver a pick after when they took Quentin Johnson. A monster of a man, he makes the Chargers receiving core even bigger and much richer. It will be hard to spread the ball around with Mike Williams, Keenan Allen, and Austin Ekeler getting passes from Justin Herbert. He’s worth stashing depending on the availability of the receivers.

#22 Zay Flowers – Baltimore Ravens

What a day for the Baltimore Ravens as they were able to secure Lamar for the future and get him help with Zay Flowers. The wide receivers in Baltimore weren’t impressive last season. Now, with OBJ, Flowers, and Andrews, Lamar will feel much more comfortable in the passing game with Baltimore. Flowers is very explosive and can go off in those long TD catch and runs.

#23 Jordan Addison – Minnesota Vikings

While losing Adam Thielen to Carolina hurt, they have found his replacement in Jordan Addison. The wide receiver prospect out of Minnesota will enjoy Kirk Cousins‘ passes and being beside Justin Jefferson. He is the perfect complement for him and can have a sneaky good year for the Vikings.

TIGHT ENDS

#25 Dalton Kincaid – Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills drafted the only tight end in the first round with Utah’s Dalton Kincaid. Dalton is more of a pass-catcher which makes it interesting as Dawson Knox still has years left in his contract. It does give Josh Allen more weapons and different looks such as possibly double tight-end plays. It may take a year or two for Dalton to be a fantasy option but he has the skills to be a good pass-catcher.

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TENNESSEE TITANS TRADE UP TO THE TOP 10

Tennessee has become a target for trade talks as there are rumors that Derrick Henry could be traded very soon. Other than that, the QB situation seems even worse. The Titans feel they are done with Ryan Tannehill and Malik Willis hasn’t developed as they hoped he would. Trading up would give them a chance with C.J. Stroud, Will Levis, and Anthony Richardson. With the AFC South as one of the weakest divisions in the NFL, a rebuild can show fruitful results very soon.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS TRADE UP FOR NUMBER 2

The Indianapolis Colts have been linked to so many quarterbacks at the number four spot. It feels like the front office is split between C.J. Stroud, Will Levis, and Anthony Richardson. Now, talks are Houston could draft a non-QB with the second pick. However, this could be used to swerve other teams and keep people guessing. With the Colts having trouble searching for that franchise QB, moving up may hurt them picks-wise, but it will make the future much clearer.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS MAKE THE CROWD ROAR

With Kansas City being the host for the NFL Draft, the city will erupt if their team trades up in the draft, instead of waiting at the end. A player that has been linked to the Chiefs is Zay Flowers, one of the best wide receivers in the draft. With the Chiefs losing JuJu Smith-Schuster to the Patriots, a wide receiver would be a good pick for them. Zay would give them production and his speed would give nightmares to opposing teams.

We’re all excited to see how the NFL Draft will fold. Get your predictions ready as this feels much more uncertain compared to past years.

The post Possible Trade Scenarios in the NFL Draft appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

CHAOS #1: HOUSTON TEXANS DON’T TAKE A QB AT PICK #2

[PLAYER AFFECTED: C.J. STROUD]

C.J. Stroud has been the talk of the town the past few days. When the Panthers traded for the top pick, the gambling lines turned to Stroud as the favorite to be the first pick of the draft. After a few weeks have gone by, not only has Bryce Young been the heavy favorite to be the top pick, Stroud might not even be the second pick.

As of this writing, Will Levis has overtaken Stroud as the favorite to be the second overall pick. This has shocked everyone as some mocked Levis for going in the middle of the first round to even late in the first round. Back to C.J., there are those that say he is “uncoachable” and those words came out of nowhere. Another reason for “worry” is his 18 on the S2 Cognition Test. Now this test focuses on a QB’s ability in decision-making. He was the worst by far in terms of scoring, and this has executives worried about him overall. Studies have shown that those who don’t do well in the S2 Cognition Test, don’t translate in the NFL.

C.J. Stroud has been touted as at least the second-best QB prospect in this draft. With this, Houston is second and they need a QB, however, they aren’t sold on it as they want to see more of Davis Mills. If they don’t draft a QB, this could be trouble as the Colts and Seahawks have their eyes on other QB prospects. Maybe another team trades up for Stroud but that remains the case.

CHAOS #2: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS TAKE ANTHONY RICHARDSON AT PICK #4

[PLAYER AFFECTED: WILL LEVIS]

For every positive of Will Levis, there is a negative that worries NFL teams. From his weird-eating habits to his IG post of him shirtless, experts are stumped on where to put him. One NFL team that seems to like him is the Indianapolis Colts. They need a QB and are intrigued by Levis as he is more polished compared to Richardson. Now, what if Richardson is the surprise pick of the Colts?

The next team that may draft a quarterback is the Titans at 11th overall. Mock drafts however see them taking another position of need. The Patriots at 14 could be a sleeper, but Will doesn’t seem to be the prototype New England likes in a quarterback. I think Will gets drafted in the first round, but the wait may be a little longer than he hoped for.

CHAOS #3: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS SKIP ON A QB AT PICK #5

[PLAYER AFFECTED: ANTHONY RICHARDSON]

Anthony Richardson to Seattle is my favorite pick for him as he is a raw prospect with great tools. The Seahawks do have Geno Smith signed to an extension, but it’s not a long-term contract. Having multiple first-round picks is a blessing for the Seahawks as they were one of the more surprising teams last season.

It’s possible that the Seahawks go for a talented defensive prospect with the fifth pick. Jalen Carter could be available after his weird past few weeks and months. The talent is there however and they rank him as one of the best defensive prospects. Anthony could be available at 20 for their second first-round pick but there’s no guarantee.

Look at last year’s Malik Willis as he had many similarities with Richardson. Both are athletes with great arms but lack experience. He was pegged as a first-round pick, but he slipped all the way to Day 2. Richardson does give that fear. The other top QB prospects held the starting job for at least multiple years while Richardson only had one. Only time will tell.

CHAOS #4: CAROLINA PANTHERS SHOCK EVERYONE WITH C.J. STROUD AND HOUSTON TAKES A NON-QB

[PLAYER AFFECTED: BRYCE YOUNG]

This outcome seems the most unlikely as Stroud is the favorite to go first. The Texans at number two have been positive that they’ll take him if he’s available. However, anything is up in the air. Bryce Young is an interesting prospect as he has all the tools to be a successful quarterback. What makes him difficult is his size, which makes him an outlier.

Quarterbacks are a big investment and seeing Young scares a lot of teams. His size makes scouts and personnel worried about his durability, especially with numerous QB injuries that happened last season. With next year’s draft class having a much more intriguing QB class, teams may also wait instead of jumping the gun on Young. Personally, I wouldn’t take Young for the size concerns, but an NFL team will take a chance on him and hope they struck gold.

The post Possible Chaos Scenarios in the NFL Draft appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

BACKGROUND

Jordan Addison is a wide receiver prospect out of Maryland. Coming out of high school, he played multiple positions for his team. Rivals listed him as a three-star wide receiver. He decided to commit to the University of Pittsburgh.

COLLEGE CAREER

As a freshman, he started eight games for the Panthers. He led the team in almost all receiving statistics. He caught 60 passes for 666 yards and four touchdowns. In his second season with Pittsburgh, he was even more phenomenal. In 14 games, he caught 100 balls for 1593 yards. He had 17 TDs, which led all of college football. The awards came pouring in that year as he was a Consensus All-American and the Fred Biletnikoff Award.

2022-2023 COLLEGE CAREER

In a surprising turn of events, Addison transferred to USC before the start of his third season. With more eyes on him, he was still his elite self. He ended the season with 59 receptions for 875 yards and eight TDs. He was named to the First-team All-Pac 12 at the end of the season.

STRENGTHS: Elite Route Running

It’s very fun to watch Addison run his routes. He can easily separate from his defender due to his crafty moves. The receptions speak for themselves as he had 100 receptions and 17 TDs in his sophomore season. He looks like a fun RAC player especially if he’s open. With his size, he can start probably at the slot.

WEAKNESSES: Drops

Drops were an issue for Jordan from his Pittsburgh days. With his talent, he should be more consistent and use his hands better. If he doesn’t solve his dropping issue, teams can lose patience easily.

PLAYER COMPARISON: DeVonta Smith

TEAMS WHO COULD DRAFT HIM

Jordan Addison is one of the most dynamic WRs in the draft and he will have a lot of love in the late first round. Minnesota and the Giants are two teams that would love to have him. The loss of Adam Thielen and the lack of an elite wide receiver in New York will make him look like a must-have.

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BACKGROUND

Zay Flowers is a wide receiver prospect out of Florida. Coming out of NSU University School, he wasn’t heavily recruited by the big schools. Multiple websites had him ranked as a three-star prospect. He decided to commit to Boston College.

COLLEGE CAREER

Zay had a steady rise in his college career. In his first season, he caught 22 passes for 341 yards and three TDs. He made the leap in his second season with 56 catches for 892 yards and nine touchdowns. This year got him his first First-team All-ACC. There was a slight decline in performance in his junior season. In year three, Flowers only caught 44 passes for 746 yards and five TDs. He was named to the Third-team All-ACC.

2022-2023 COLLEGE CAREER

Flowers saved his best season for last as he had career-high numbers across the boards. In his final season, Zay had 78 receptions for 1077 yards and 12 touchdowns. This put him back for his second First-team All-ACC. He had gotten a reputation as one of the most electrifying wide receivers in college football.

STRENGTHS: Electric In The Open Field

Few are as impactful and exciting to watch when Zay is in the open field. His speed and tempo make him a tough player to cover. His balance and route running are crisp and he can make catches down the sidelines. There is a path for him to make an impact on a contending team.

WEAKNESSES: Size

He has been listed as 5’9″ and 182 lbs, so his size will definitely be in question as he is undersized and played as a WR 1. Teams will not want an undersized WR 1 for their team. Another problem with his size is his potential as a blocker. His arms are small also which can affect his catch radius.

PLAYER COMPARISON: Tyler Lockett

TEAMS WHO COULD DRAFT HIM

Zay will have a lot of suitors in the 20s in the first round. He played super well with a QB who wasn’t that good so he can shine in a team who takes him. The Chargers at #21 and Minnesota at #23 are good places to look at as they need WR help.

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BACKGROUND

Siaki Ika is a defensive tackle prospect out of Utah. He had a dominant senior season with 89 tackles and 14 sacks. He was invited to big games such as the All-American Bowl and the Polynesian Bowl. Rivals listed him as the top player from Utah and was a four-star prospect. He committed to play for the LSU Tigers.

COLLEGE CAREER

Siaki had a fast start to his college career as he was part of LSU’s 2020 National Championship Team. In 13 games, he had 18 total tackles. In his second season, he only played for three games before he decided to transfer to the Baylor Bears. In these three games, he recorded five tackles and his first sack. His first season at Baylor was arguably his best as he had 24 total tackles and four sacks in 2021. He was announced as the Big 12 Defensive Newcomer of the Year and first-team All-Big 12.

2022-2023 COLLEGE CAREER

He returned for his senior year last season. Siaki had 23 total tackles and forced 18 total pressures. For the second year in a row, he was a first-team All-Big 12. After another steady season at Baylor, he decided to enter the NFL Draft.

STRENGTHS: Prototype Size

At 6’4″, he is the prototypical nose tackle in the NFL. He uses his size to cause chaos in the backfield. For his size, he has good agility and quickness. The use of his hands is overrated as he can use them on his opponents because of their weight and can swat balls down from the line of scrimmage.

WEAKNESSES: Plays Too High

The usual complaint is he plays too high. Because of this, he looks unbalanced at times and misses some tackles. Blockers can get under his pads and stop him from making moves. There is a concern that he wasn’t able to get any sacks in his final season.

PLAYER COMPARISON: Danny Shelton

TEAMS WHO COULD DRAFT HIM

Now many sites grade him as a Day 2 pick. However, given the lack of people in his position, teams may draft him early to fill a position of need. He could potentially be drafted in the second or maybe even the first round.

The post 2023 NFL Draft Focus: Siaki Ika appeared first on Pro Football Mania.

BACKGROUND

Devon Witherspoon is a cornerback prospect out of Florida. He had a peculiar high school career as he only played for two years. He only started football as a junior and it turned out to be the right move. In his second year of playing football, he recorded 74 tackles, seven interceptions, and a couple of TDs. Rivals didn’t list him as any star prospect, but he took the chance and committed to play for the University of Illinois.

COLLEGE CAREER

Devon was able to play in all 13 games for Illinois as he racked up 33 total tackles. His second season was even better as he collected 33 total tackles and two interceptions in seven games. After a shortened season, he put up career highs in multiple stats in his junior season. He had 52 total tackles and a sack in 10 starts.

2022-2023 COLLEGE CAREER

In his final year, Devon was one of the best defensive backs in all of college football. In 738 snaps, he had 42 total tackles and three interceptions. The best stat in my opinion is that when being targeted, the QBR was just 24.6. He earned numerous All-American awards and was praised often for his unique route to his NFL dream.

STRENGTHS: Intelligence

He has good anticipation on passes and he can read receivers’ routes very well. He also has the ability to read the quarterbacks’ eyes and can make quick decisions when the ball is thrown. Man coverage is where he shines as he believes he can handle any wide receiver that lines up against him.

WEAKNESSES: Too Aggressive At Times

The problem with his intelligence is that he often targets the big plays. By being overaggressive, he sometimes gets penalized for it a bit too much and needs to catch up for the tackle. This will be a possible problem once he faces the bigger WRs in the NFL. He needs to improve also in press coverage.

PLAYER COMPARISON: Levi Wallace

TEAMS WHO COULD DRAFT HIM

A team will be lucky to have their hands on Devon Witherspoon. He is consistently ranked as a top-three cornerback in this draft. Some have him before the top 10 while others have him in the later first half of the draft. A sneaky team could be the Raiders at seven who need to shore up on defense.

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