Sell Daniel Jones
By: CJ Krause
Normally a quarterback under the age of 25 is a hold in Superflex formats. BUT here are a few players I believe need to be sold before the bottom falls out or because their value has probably hit its peak.
It seems Drew’s days are numbered in Denver. There have been rumblings of Denver being aggressive in attempting to acquire Deshaun Watson, and lately, rumors of potentially signing Ryan Fitzpatrick. With John Elway stepping down as the GM, and George Paton taking the reins, I’m sure he will want to make his mark on the franchise. He also has the green light from the organization that if he chooses to, he may move on from Lock. Us fantasy owners were optimistic just a year ago with one of the best young group of pass catchers at Lock’s disposal, especially after coming off a hot streak to end the 2019 season … but Lock flopped, only averaging 15.10 fantasy points per game and finishing as QB 23 in 2020. Lock also had his completion percentage drop from 64% to 57% AFTER the upgrade in pass catchers.
For a return I would be aiming for a late 1st to early 2nd round rookie pick. But I would settle for a mid-round 2nd to get out before it is too late.
Unlike Lock, this is not a get out at any price. I do think Danny Dimes is the unquestioned starter in 2021. I would, however, definitely be looking to get an upgrade because I believe the bottom could fall out in 2021. Typically, what we see in our sophomore QB’s is a step forward. However, in his second season, Daniel Jones took a step back. Some of this could fall on him missing his All-Pro Running Back Saquan Barkley, but his yards per game went down from 232 to 210 (that is 30 yards per game below league average for 2020). We also saw Daniel Jones’ passing touchdowns go from 24 in 2019 to 10 in 2020. Not good. The good news is he could turn it around because he is young. BUT if the price is right, I would sell because if he doesn’t, the Giants will be looking for a new signal caller in 2022.
For a return I would be aiming for a late 1st with a 2nd round or player on top. My big goal is to try to find somebody who still believes in Daniel Jones and swap or add to him to get a slightly older safer QB like a Tannehill, Stafford, or Kirk Cousins.
One of the most enigmatic situations in the NFL is the one in Philadelphia. With the recent trade of Carson Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts, the stage is set for Jalen Hurts to be the heir apparent … or is it? The Eagles have the sixth pick in the NFL draft and this year’s draft has one of the best QB classes of the past few years. It’s not out of the question, though highly unlikely, that the Eagles decide they want to roll with a Justin Fields or Zach Wilson instead. I honestly don’t see this happening, but they will be bringing someone in. If I had to put money on it, we will see a QB like Tyrod Taylor or Jacoby Brissett type who have similar skill sets to Jalen. I believe this will be to push Hurts but not take over the job. Regardless, Jalen is an almost complete unknown. We have a small sample size of four starts and yes, for fantasy he has the Konami Code of rushing averaging 68 rushing yards per game. That gives him a great floor and ceiling for fantasy. BUT with never breaking 57% completion percentage in any of the starts for the real NFL, he may be sat or replaced sooner rather than later if he does not improve. So, it might be best to sell high now. We need to remember Jalen Hurts was not drafted in the second round of the 2020 NFL draft to be a starter, he was drafted to be the back-up to Carson Wentz and do “gadget” and “Taysom Hill” style plays.
For a return I would be looking for either an early 1st round rookie pick in 2021, a mid 1st round pick and lesser QB, or a 2022 1st round pick, because the upside is immense for Jalen but the floor is in the basement.
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