Three Second Year Players To Trade Away In Fantasy

Tade away these second year players!

By: Andy Davies

Fantasy Football has become an integral part of many fans’ NFL Sunday experience. Whether you use ESPN, NFL.com or Sleeper, you are often watching Redzone and thinking about the points that your player is scoring for your team. Even when your team plays, if you have one particular wide receiver, you are often wanting your quarterback to throw to the player in question. The great Albert Einstein once said,

“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe”.

This quote has a lot of relevance to fantasy football. How often will you pick a player when they are in form, only for them to hardly score any points when you add them via waivers? How often do you take a player out or leave them on your bench, only to see them recover 30 receptions, 150 yards and 3 touchdown receptions? There are plenty of players who impress in year one that you either keep in a dynasty league or take in the fantasy draft, only for them to perform well below expectations in year two.

Here are three second-year players that you should look to trade away in fantasy football, if you haven’t already.

Darnell Mooney (Wide Receiver- Chicago Bears)

Mooney impressed in year one, with 631 receiving yards from 98 targets in his rookie year along with four touchdowns. This was Mooney catching balls from Mitch Trubisky and Nick Foles, two quarterbacks that didn’t exactly light up Soldier Field during their time as Chicago Bears. He now has two much more solid QB’s on paper in Andy Dalton and rookie Justin Fields but has so far recorded less than satisfying numbers despite leading the team in receptions (12). He has 101 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns. This has him 95th in the league for receiving yards, tied for 60th in receptions and 47th for targets. This is an average of 34 yards a game.

He hasn’t been helped by poor quarterback play. Dalton was the Week One starter and has thrown for 262 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception before injury meant he lost his starting role in Week Three to Fields, who less than impressed in his first NFL start. He had 0 touchdowns, 1 interception and just 138 passing yards. One of his specialities is on the ground but has just 46 yards from 14 carries. Of course, he is young and needs time to develop but he is not exactly someone you want throwing the ball to one of your fantasy receiver options.

Despite this, I would choose to bench him if you are in a dynasty league but remove completely from your team if you are in a keeper or redraft league. The value is there for the future but this season there will be plenty of growing pains in this Bears offense.

Jalen Reagor (Wide Receiver- Philadelphia Eagles)

Mooney may be one for the future both on the field and on your fantasy team. Reagor however, is someone you should immediately remove as he is looking more and more like an NFL bust.

Quarterback Jalen Hurts has largely impressed this season, with 5 passing touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 1 rushing touchdown along with 780 passing yards and 179 rushing yards. This has him 16th in the league for passing yards, with only Lamar Jackson (251) having more rushing yards than Hurts for a quarterback. Reagor does not have the same excuse as Mooney when it comes to which QB is throwing him the ball. He cannot even blame it on a lack of throws his way, with the second-most targets and the most receptions on the team this season. Yards is where he has really struggled, with his 107 ranking fourth amongst his teammates. This shows a lack of productivity when receiving the ball, as can be further demonstrated in his yards per reception total of 8.2. Not only is this less than tight end Dallas Goedert, who also has more yards, but this also is less than fellow tight end Zach Ertz and running back Miles Sanders. When a running back has more yards per reception than you, then there is a real problem.

Reagor was taken 21st overall by the Eagles in the 2020 NFL Draft and this was seen by many to be a reach. So far, the predictions are turning out to be true. Even in the eleven games he played in his rookie year last season, he was fifth in targets (54), receptions (31) and touchdown receptions (1) as well as ranking fourth in yards (396). With head coach Doug Pederson fired and replaced with Nick Sirianni, Reagor would have hoped for the chance to stake his claim as the number one wideout. When Philly traded up two spots to take Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith tenth overall, the writing appeared on the wall for Reagor to become the number one wideout. The way Smith and fellow second year receiver Quez Watkins have played so far, Reagor will find it hard to be anything more than a third or fourth choice wideout.

This is why you need to get rid of Reagor instantly from your fantasy teams and look for a replacement instantly. Two wide receivers that could easily be available and that are trending up are the Tennessee Titans’ wide receiver Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and Buffalo Bills receiver Emmanuel Sanders. Westbrook-Ikhine had 53 yards, 4 receptions and 1 touchdown in their win over the Indianapolis Colts. Many had Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley as the Bills’ two receivers to take in their fantasy teams, with Sanders often a forgotten man. He has excelled so far, with 194 yards and 2 touchdowns from 11 receptions despite being third on the team for both targets and receptions.

Tua Tagovailoa (Quarterback- Miami Dolphins)

It is likely that you are reading this having had Tua in your fantasy teams, that he is now out of your teams due to his rib injury suffered in the 35-0 loss to the Bills in Week Two. However, there are more reasons why you should get rid of the second-year quarterback altogether. His average start to the season was halted with the aforementioned injury. The heath of Tua was brought into question pre-draft last year, with a season-ending injury whilst playing in college with Alabama. People such as myself compared this situation to the one that was seen with Saints quarterback Drew Brees, when he suffered many injuries with the San Diego Chargers.

Miami didn’t take Brees in 2006 thanks to these injury concerns and everyone knows how successful he was after joining the Saints and head coach Sean Payton. Miami took the risk and so far, it is not looking like one that paid off. Tua will always be hindered by how well Justin Herbert has performed since being taken just one pick after Tagovailoa. With the past incident involving Brees in 2006, it is ironic that the Chargers took Herbert, who has been a revelation in Los Angeles and is arguably the best QB to be taken out of last year’s draft, with 5,292 yards, 37 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in his young NFL career.

With the Houston Texans reportedly softening their stance on Deshaun Watson, who is 99% likely never to play for the franchise again. Miami have repeatedly been linked with Watson and with the combination of Tua’s injury, backup Jacoby Brissett being nothing more than mediocre as well as this Dolphins team being excellent on defense and only a good o-line and running back away from being a Super Bowl contender, Watson would immediately see an upturn in Miami’s fortunes.

Thanks to his college tape and his position in the draft last year, he is likely to find a starting job elsewhere, but he is yet to prove to anyone that he is a genuine franchise QB and someone who is good at the pro level. Therefore you should look to remove Tua from your fantasy team as soon as you can. If you have a dynasty league, perhaps you could keep him on your bench if he moves elsewhere judging by how well Ryan Tannehill has played since leaving the Miami franchise. Otherwise, you should look to see what other quarterbacks are available to have as your backup.

Fantasy football players, you are likely to make many more waiver claims until the trade deadline. Just remember to avoid these three players.

Fantasy: 3 WRs to avoid

Davante Adams should be avoided

By Zach Attack @FFChalupaBatman

You should draft any player if they fall far enough because when you draft at a value you minimize opportunity cost. Opportunity cost is the loss of potential gain from other alternatives when one alternative is chosen. Therefore, when you select a player in the draft the opportunity cost is not selecting a different available player. As the draft goes ones the opportunity cost typically lowers because the chances of missing out on a player that scores a lot of points also decrease. Below are three wide receivers I am avoiding in redraft because the opportunity cost is too high at their draft capital.

*ranks come from lastest ECR on FantasyPros

Davante Adams – Rank 1:

Davante Adams may be the best WR in the NFL right now for fantasy football. He finished last year as the WR1 by 29.5 points (3.7 ppg) compared to the Tyreek Hill, the WR2! However, there is significant uncertainty around Aaron Rodgers playing QB for the Green Bay Packers in 2021. Adams is a great WR, but without Rodgers, there is no way to expect Adams to finish as the WR1 in 2021. In the first round, I would rather select a top RB, Tyreek Hill, or Stefon Diggs instead of drafting Adams. If you are not drafting until right before the season starts then you should have a better chance knowing if Rodgers will play for Green Bay. If you know with one hundred percent certainty that Rodgers is now happy will play for Green Bay then I would be more comfortable drafting Adams as the WR1. If you do not have that assurance then there is no way Davante Adams should be the first wide receiver selected. The odds are Adams will not score 18 TDs again this season, but the Packers did not add any significant talent to their WR group. Adams can easily 100+ receptions again if Rodgers is playing, and be a top 5 WR. I will avoid the risk with Davante Adams with a first-round pick.

Michael Thomas – Rank 7:

Michael Thomas was the WR1 in 2019 and set the record for most receptions in a season with 149. A lot has changed since the 2019 season. Thomas hurt his ankle at the end of the game in Week 1, and we never the same all season. Also, Drew Brees retired and we do not know who will be the starting quarterback for the New Orleans Saints for 2021. Presumably, Thomas will be healthy going into the 2021 season, but will the Saints still be a high-caliber offense without Brees as the QB. There are too many great WRs in the NFL right now to draft Thomas as the seventh one. Thomas makes his biggest impact in fantasy football with high-volume receptions. I am not confident that Taysom Hill or Jameis Winston can sustain a high-volume passing attack. The Saints and Thomas have to prove it to me first before I have any confidence in Thomas this high. I will let someone else in my league deal with that stress this season.

Kenny Golladay – Rank 23:

Kenny Golladay was the big WR free agent signing this offseason, and he is now with the New York Giants. The theme on this list is uncertainty. I do not feel confident that Daniel Jones can support a top wide receiver, and I expect the Giants to make Saquon Barkley the focal point of the offense. Golladay has never been a high-volume wide receiver, so if he is not scoring touchdowns then he is a risky boom/bust WR. Golladay has plenty of talent, but we do not know how much focus will be put on him in the Giants’ offense. According to FantasyData, the targets were spread around between Evan Engram with 109 targets (6.8 per game), Darius Slayton with 97 targets (6.1 per game), and Sterling Shepard with 90 targets (7.5 per game). In Golladay’s two seasons playing at least 15 games (2018 and 2019), he averaged 7.5 targets per game with the Detroit Lions. Golladay had an average of 11.9 yards before catch per reception from 2018 to 2019, and Daniel Jones has averaged 6.1 completed air yards per completion for the first two seasons of his career. That is almost half of the depth of receptions Golladay had in Detroit, and that is what concerns me with Golladay at his current rank.

At a certain point in the draft, every player has value.  However, based on these current ranks, as Mark Cuban would say on Shark Tank, “I’m out.”

Fantasy: 3 WRs to Trade Away

By: Zach Owen

The NFL draft has officially come and gone. As usual, it has shaken up the Fantasy landscape for pretty much every team. There’s some obvious risers and fallers and plenty of rookies to evaluate and take gambles on. Today though I’m going to be looking at some WRs that I would be looking to trade away as I could see their value falling soon.

Seahawks WRs (DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett)

So Seattle had three picks in this year’s draft: a 2nd round, 4th round, and 6th round. That’s really not a lot to work with so you would think they want to address what they think their most pressing need is early. So who did they use their 2nd round pick on? D’Wayne Eskridge, a WR out of Western Michigan. Now Eskridge isn’t an insane prospect, he definitely has his question marks, but Seattle using their only early pick on a WR should definitely throw up some warning flags. That coupled with the addition of Gerald Everett at TE and the Seahawks failed attempt to “Let Russ Cook” last year has me questioning how many targets everyone will be getting next year. Maybe Eskridge is just a depth piece though as the WR room behind Lockett and Metcalf was pretty bare. Still, there’s enough question marks there to make me want to shop these two around and see what I can get. Don’t go selling them for peanuts, they both will still produce, but if you can move them for someone with less question marks in the same range then I’d strongly consider it. For Metcalf I’d be looking for someone like Tyreek Hill, Ceedee Lamb plus something, Russell Wilson in SF, or get a bundle back with your favorite rookie plus some. Plenty of options there with someone as valuable as Metcalf. For Lockett, I’d aim for guys like Michael Pittman, Dallas Goedert, Kareem Hunt, or a 2021 late 1st round draft pick.

Davante Adams

In Adams’ case, I’m not very worried about how the draft went for Green Bay. They only used a 3rd round pick on a WR and there really wasn’t much competition in Green Bay to start with so Adams should still get plenty of targets. My issue is with the current state of the QB position in Green Bay. If you weren’t aware, Aaron Rodgers has had some issues with the Green Bay front office and now there’s questions about whether or not he will play again in Green Bay. Now whether or not that will happen is another story but again, I’d be looking to move Adams to try to mitigate risk. Nobody knows for certain what’s going to happen and I do still expect Adams to perform really well regardless of who he has at QB. Selling Adams now is strictly a move to try and maximize his value just in case the worst should happen. Plus he is 28 so while he’s currently in his prime, his value will likely start to fall off within the next couple years anyways. I value Adams and Metcalf similarly so I’d be looking to make the same types of trades. Adams might be harder to move though because most people have probably heard about the Rodgers story by now and will have similar concerns. Still, throw him up on the trade block and see what you can do. 

Summary

Long story short, I like all three of these players and I’m not desperate to trade them, but there are some question marks for each of them. It’s all about risk/value management. Managing the risk of whether or not any player’s value will go up, down, or stay the same is a big factor for being successful in Fantasy Football. Could any of these player’s values go up? Sure, but I think it’s more likely for it to go down which is why I’d be selling them if I could.

Three Second Year Players to Buy in Fantasy Football

By: Dave Barkowski

Here are MY three second-year players to buy in fantasy football. Whether you’re a dynasty fantasy football player or a redraft player you’ve certainly heard of these guys.

J.K Dobbins – Running Back – Baltimore Ravens

The hype surrounding Dobbins draft location quickly faded in the early 2020 season as his usage was not where fans of Dobbins wanted it to be. However, if you have seen a Ravens stat line in the last 3 years you are well aware of the fact that they LOVE to run the ball. This will escalate his value much like CEH’s value was astronomically high going into the 2020 season largely because of his landing spot. The difference between CEH and Dobbins is that Dobbins is not exclusively relying on his landing spot to make him a legitimate fantasy star. Dobbins’s talent is as real as it gets. He ended the season as the Ravens’ number 1 running back and all while compiling the NFL’s most yards per carry at just over 6 yards along with the Ravens’ rookie record with nine rushing touchdowns. He finished with 805 rushing yards and finished with a franchise-record seven consecutive games with a rushing touchdown. As you can see he finished the season very strong and hopefully those lines can be a sign of things to come for him out of the gates in the 2021 season. The Ravens offensive line was the dictionary definition of “mediocre” as they ranked 16th in the NFL. If the Ravens are to add some strong pieces to this line it would bolster this heavy rush offense significantly. Don’t forget that this same O-Line was a large reason for the Ravens’ early exit in the postseason. All this to say BUY DOBBINS. This could be the cheapest he will be for a couple of seasons. He is one of the many obvious buys for the coming season. Fun fact. J.K. Dobbins was chosen with the 55th pick of the draft which was involved in a trade FROM Atlanta, but the pick originated from New England when they gave this pick to Atlanta for M. Sanu.

Secondly La’Mical Perine – Running Back – New York Jets

Let’s get right to the fun facts. Yes, he is related to Samaje Perine. Yes, he is also a cousin to Myles Jack. Now that that is out of the way let’s get back to it. This NYJ backfield is …. how shall we say it? WIDE OPEN and Perine has everything to prove and nothing to lose. The Jets are sitting at the #2 pick in the NFL draft and many are anticipating they take a QB at this spot. However, it does not matter if it is Sam Darnold or Justin Fields (who worked a bit with Trey Sermon who shares similar attributes to La’Mical Perine) the Jets still need to legitimize their running game ASAP. He was selected with the 120th pick of the draft so they aren’t inclined to “dedicate” too much time to him as their feature back. But if you’re looking to air it out for Mims and Davis on the outside we all know the run game is a giant step in that direction to be able to begin thinking of getting it downfield. The Jets still have money to spend and that could be spent on James Conner or other veteran’s RBs BUT if this does not happen you can afford to grab yourself some Perine. Send a 2nd round rookie picks for him or draft him somewhere after the 15th round because that’s where he seems to be going. He averaged 5 yards a carry in college and had 40 receptions over 13 games. He is a big back and a big brut. His upside is there but be warned he could downward spiral to a backup if the Jets decided to spend that money on a free agent running back.

Lastly Chase Claypool – Wide Receiver – Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a big boy. 6ft 4in and 240lbs it is clear by those numbers alone that he is a beast to cover. Throw in his reach for the catchability and you’re in trouble. He crashed into the fantasy scene with a total of 11 touchdowns. 9 receiving and 2 rushings. He is a force downfield and as previously mentioned he can reach out and get it. He was targeted 109 times and hauled in 62 receptions. If you ask me there is nothing but upside for this guy. Everything I see and read is all about Dionte Johnson and JuJu SS coming back but Claypool seems to be the forgotten stud here in Steel City. That is totally fine with me because I’ll take this guy 10/10 over the previously mention guys. What may be Big Ben’s last season for the Steelers one can speculate that he may be in a “win at all cost” mode. If this is the case it could be a very fun year for Claypool owners.

Fantasy: 3 WRs Over 30 to Buy

Why You Should Buy Adam Thielen

By Darren Smith

Wide Receiver is regarded as one of the positions of smaller importance to most Dynasty managers as Quarterback and Running Back positions usually take priority. RBs and QBs tend to score more points, but a consistent one is hard to come by. However, there are an abundance of solid fantasy-producing WRs throughout the league.

In three WR leagues and multiple flex position leagues, WR is just as important of a position if not more. While the top WR’s come at a steep price, you can get an older, middle-tier WR for a cheaper price, especially if that WR is over the age of 30. Dynasty isn’t always about having every young talent in the league and building for the next coming years – it’s about winning the current season as well.

“Julio Jones” by Thomson20192 is licensed under CC BY 2.0

Older WR can come at a low price while still scoring consistently and help your team win a championship, without costing you your future. Even if you get only a year or two of real production out of these players, they can be worth the small price to pay. Here are three WR’s over the age of 30, that you should buy in your Dynasty leagues to help you win the 2021 Championship.

1.)  Julio JonesWR, Atlanta Falcons, 32 Years Old

Julio Jones used to be the stud of all studs at the WR position in fantasy football. Before the 2020 season, Julio has finished inside the top seven in the PPR leagues since 2014. He posted an average of 1,565 yards per season in that time frame, on 162 targets with 104 receptions.

This consistency is rare in fantasy making Julio a coveted piece to any Dynasty team. Julio only missed four games over those six years giving managers confidence that he had the durability to maintain his greatness. Then 2020 happened, and a switch was flipped.

Julio only played in nine games due to a hamstring injury where he battled reaggravation all season. This made his owners drop him far down their lists of top WRs claiming the 32-year-old was done playing at the elite level. But, when you look at the games Jones was feeling healthy, he still produced elite numbers.

In Week 1, he put up 9 catches for 157 yards, with a YPC of 17.4. In the stretch between Week 6 and Week 9 for the Falcons, Julio had an average of seven receptions for 106 yards a game while scoring three times. In Week 13, Julio was targeted ten times for 94 yards.

When Jones was on the field and played his usual 80-90% snap count, he was back to his top-scoring ways. There are at least two years of this kind of production left if he manages to stay healthy as he is signed with the Falcons until 2023. The price is worth the gamble to add Julio Jones to your win-now Dynasty rosters.

Comparable Value

  •  Late 2021 1st
  • Two 2021 2nd
  • 2022 1st

2.)  Adam Thielen WR, Minnesota Vikings, 30 Years Old

Adam Thielen could possibly be the biggest touchdown threat of all WRs in the NFL. In 2020, Adam managed to catch 14 touchdowns, boosting his value for Dynasty owners.  His yardage totaled 925 yards in 2020 on 74 receptions, which are fairly average numbers – but his TD’s managed to make him the 10th overall receiver in PPR leagues.

What makes him a buy is that Thielen has never been a big name in the Dynasty community like Julio Jones mentioned above. Managers are not nearly as attached to him, but he is an unsung hero when it comes to winning on a weekly basis.

Thielen turns 31 this summer, and with the spectacular season he had last year, most owners are looking to trade him away. What those managers are forgetting is that Adam is signed up to 2024 with the Vikings earning an average of $13 million per year. It’s likely that Thielen will continue to produce these numbers with Minnesota.

Kirk Cousins is still there, he will remain in the same high-scoring offense and will have less talented defenders covering him – as most of the attention now goes to stopping Justin Jefferson. The Vikings don’t really have another Red Zone threat like Thielen.

They don’t target TE Irv Smith (five TD’s in 2020) or Jefferson (seven TDs in 2020) nearly as much, so look for him to continue those numbers in 2021 and on. Dynasty start-ups are taking Adam Thielen in the 10th round or later, so he could be going for a cheaper price than you are expecting and could help you win in the next three years.

Comparable Value

  •  Late 2021 1st
  • Two 2021 2nd
  • 2022 1st

3.)  Cole BeasleyWR, Buffalo Bills, 31 Years Old

If you are looking for a cheaper option than the above two and still are desperate for a WR in deep leagues or for a flex play, look no further than Cole Beasley. Cole was the WR 27 in PPR leagues in 2020 and had his best season yet since he entered the league in 2012.

Beasley caught 82 passes for 967 yards and scored four times. This is largely due to the Bills offense, and none other than Josh Allen’s rocket arm. With only an 11.79 YPC, Beasley is a quick route runner in the slot making him a PPR machine.

Twice in 2020, Beasley had 11 catches in one game – that’s 11 points in PPR without adding in any yardage totals. His value to your team largely outweighs his cheap price making him a buy-in all PPR formatted Dynasty leagues.

Being 31, most owners don’t pay him much attention. However, Beasley is signed up until 2023 with the high-powered passing game of the Bills offense, and it doesn’t look like Josh Allen is going anywhere for a long time. Cole Beasley is a must-buy for owners struggling to find a flex piece to win the championship in 2021.

Comparable Value

  • Early 2021 3rd
  • Late 2022 2nd
  • Mid/Late 2021 3rd and 4th

Follow me on Twitter @FFBirdGang and comment your thoughts

Buy Or Sell Henry Ruggs In Fantasy Football?

Should you buy or sell Henry Ruggs in fantasy?

By: Dave Browne

The Las Vegas Raiders surprised the football world by selecting Henry Ruggs III with the twelth overall selection in the 2020 NFL Draft. It is no shock that Ruggs was selected in the first round of the draft. He is an elite talent from the Alabama football factory.

The consensus going into the draft was that his Alabama teammate Jerry Jeudy or CeeDee Lamb would be the first wide receiver taken. If there was any team that would take Ruggs over Jeudy or Lamb it would be the Raiders. This was a throwback Raiders pick. A draft pick that would make late owner Al Davis proud. If you could hurl a pigskin 75 yards or run a 4.30 40 time, you’d be on the Raiders’ radar. Ruggs ran a 4.27 40 time in Indianapolis last year.

Ruggs’ struggles in his first year in the NFL are not unusual. It usually takes wide receivers up to three seasons to take their game to the next level. Many will point to the success of fellow rookie wide receivers in Minnesota rookie Justin Jefferson and Dallas’s CeeDee Lamb. However, more often than not their success are usually outliers.

Ruggs had only 26 receptions on 43 targets for 452 yards as a rookie. He had a catch percentage of 60.5 which is very pedestrian. The big plays he advertised at Alabama didn’t translate in his first year as a pro.

So how does this affect Henry Ruggs in the fantasy football community? For starters we need to dive into who Ruggs is. Here’s what we know about Ruggs thus far if we followed him in college and his rookie season.

  • He is fast. Very fast. Fantasy football players love speed and playmaking ability.
  • In college he only had 90 receptions in 40 career games.
  • He had 24 touchdown receptions
  • He is not a polished route runner.
  • His smaller frame of 5-11, 188 pounds may limit his catch radius or ability to win one-one battles.

It’s safe to assume that Ruggs will never be an alpha wide receiver like other wide receivers in the league. He will in all likelihood not get enough targets to garner the alpha status. As you look at what he did at Alabama, he scored 24 times on just 98 receptions. Ruggs will make his NFL living on the big plays.

Rookie season aside, what is Ruggs’ long term projection look to be? Here are a few players who have the same type of profile as Ruggs.

  • DeSean Jackson- The speedster (4.35 40) out of Cal has made a living off of big plays both as a wide receiver and punt returner. He is a five-time 1,000 yard receiver with 64 career touchdowns. His career has been plagued by injuries but he is an electrifying talent. He had an impressive rookie campaign with 62 receptions for 912 and two touchdowns.
  • John Ross- Ross holds the combine 40 yard dash record with a blazing 4.22 time. Cincinnati raced as fast to the podium to select Ross in the 2017 Draft with the 9th overall pick. Injuries, poor play and healthy inactives have many labeling the speedster as a ‘bust’ since entering the league. Ross has flashed big play ability with 10 touchdowns in 27 career games. However, he only has a 51 receptions for 733 yards in those games. He will look to revive his career elsewhere as a free agent this off-season. As a rookie he played 3 games with no receptions.
  • Darrius Heyward-Bey- Heyward-Bey ironically enough was drafted by the Raiders as the number seven overall pick in 2009. He came out of Maryland as a game breaker with his 4.30 speed. Unfortunately, his skill-set did not translate to NFL success. He had a career year of 64 receptions for 975 yards in 2011 but was never able to capitalize off of that successful season. He managed to be in the NFL for 10 years in spite of his inefficiency as an NFL wide receiver. He had 9 receptions for 124 yards as a rookie.
  • Tyreek Hill- The ‘Cheetah’ is like a cheat code in Madden, except he is the real deal. The 4.29 speedster is unlike any wide receiver we’ve seen in a long time. He’s already amassed 5,391 yards and 47 touchdowns in one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. At just 27 years of age by the start of the 2021 season, he has a lot of productive years left. He had 61 receptions for 593 yards and 6 touchdowns as a rookie.
  • Tedd Ginn Jr- Ginn is a 5’11, 180 pound veteran receiver. He ran a 4.28 40 time. Ginn has had a solid, albeit unspectacular career. He’s managed to play 14 years in the NFL on 6 different teams while never eclipsing 800 yards in a season. He did however catch 10 touchdown passes in 2015 with Carolina. Those 10 touchdowns alone are 30.3% of his career touchdowns. He finished with 34 receptions and 420 yards his rookie campaign with the Dolphins.

So let’s get down to what matters. What is his fantasy football outlook look like in 2021?

In spite of the sluggish start to his career we should give him the benefit of the doubt. He plays in an exciting offense with targets to go around, especially if wide receiver Nelson Agholor (82 targets) prices himself out of Las Vegas. We saw Raiders QB Derek Carr take more chances down field in 2020. If Carr continues to sling it, and Ruggs progresses he could be an exciting player in the 2021 season.

Ruggs should benefit from a more normal off-season as the 2020 off-season was one of the most bizarre that we’ve ever seen. Those on-field repetitions will be more rewarding than those zoom meetings. He also dealt with nagging hamstring and knee injuries which plagued his success during his rookie campaign.

This list of comparables to Ruggs have had a variance of success in the league. These are the classic boom or bust wide receivers that fantasy football players salivate over. He in all likelihood will not have the same success as a guy like Tyreek Hill. People love the narrative that teams need to find the next Tyreek Hill. There is only one Tyreek Hill. Expecting a guy to have that type success is unfounded.

We will celebrate his career if it ends up being anything like Jackson’s career. If he has a career like Heyward-Bey or John Ross, fantasy football players will not be happy.

We should be looking to buy Ruggs as a WR 3/4 for the 2021 fantasy football season. The absolute best case scenario is that he falls in the WR 25-36 range. He will in all likelihood fall into the WR 4 category in the 37-48 range. Worst case scenario he falls out of the Top 50 entirely. This is the type of mixed results you get with a guy like Ruggs. If you go into your draft with modified expectations, you could reap the benefits of drafting a speedster such as Ruggs in the 9th or 10th round. If the lottery ticket hits, he could be a league winner for a lot of fantasy football fanatics.

Three Wide Receivers Over 30 Years Old to Target

Can Julio Jones Return to WR1 Status?

By: Jesse Moeller (Twitter: @JMoeller05)

Did I read that correctly? Did you say over 30? Don’t worry, your eyes are not playing tricks on you. This article is for teams that are bonified contenders looking to make one last title run. I’m going to highlight 3 aging veteran wide receivers for you to target at an age discount. These players are much more important to a true contending team. If you have to ask yourself if you’re a contender, this article is not for you. Lets jump into these “over the hill” vets.

Julio Jones

The single most confounding player in Dynasty football going into the 2021 season. There is no getting around the red flags with Julio. He is a 32-year-old receiver entering his 11th season in the NFL, coming off a season where he consistently fought through injury to play nine games. You have to accept those things about Julio going forward. If you take a step back and look at the efficiency there is still so much to love about Julio Jones.

In 2020, Julio Jones put up 2.70 Yard Per Route Run. Ranking him third in the NFL behind only DaVante Adams (2.97) and A.J. Brown (2.76). Julio had 11.3 Yards Per Target, putting him third in the NFL behind Will Fuller (11.7) and Rashad Higgins (11.5). Julio Jones also finished eight in Fantasy Points Per Route Run at 0.51. Meaning for every two routes run, Julio was generating 1 Point for your fantasy team.

Let’s take a look at Julio’s 16 game pace. Julio would have finished with 90 Receptions (11th) on 120 Targets (18th) for 1,371 Yards (6th). Julio played at a remarkable high-level in 2020, all the while fighting through a severe hamstring strain from Week 1 which he reaggravated on Week 13, thereby ending his season.

Scott’s tweet above sums up how dominant Julio was, as he battled through a severe injury the entire year. What the stats show you is Julio Jones is still one of the best Wide Receivers in the NFL.

Pay the second to third-round pick and acquire Julio Jones. The window has not closed on Julio yet. Take advantage of the injury discount for the next two years. If your team does not live up to the expectation of being a contender, you can flip Julio for a late 1st-early 2nd round pick to a team making a title run.

Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen will be 31 Years old this upcoming season. Thielen has a top 5 Dynasty wide receiver opposite of him in Minnesota. Adam Thielen has Kirk Cousins as his quarterback. Adam Thielen is in a run first offense. People will have those complaints about Thielen. Go ahead and fade the noise, and grab a wide receiver that can win you another title.

Thielen was overshadowed by rookie Justin Jefferson, the new kid of the block in Minnesota. Thielen did manage to finish as a top 10 wide receiver with 254 fantasy points in full PPR. He was 11th in fantasy pts per game at 16.9, also .7 per game better than the headliner of this article Mr. Julio Jones. Did you know it is the third time in his career Thielen has accomplished this? As I certainly did not.

Thielen produced some impressive statistics this year. He had a QB rating of 119.0 when targeted (15th). 2.33 Fantasy Points Per Target (5th). Had 21 deep targets (19th), and 20 Redzone targets (3rd). His end of year numbers were 108 targets for 925 Yards on 74 Receptions. Thielen also finished with a career-high 14 touchdowns this year. The fact he was undrafted coming into the league shows you how badly the NFL missed on Thielen.

Thielen’s value is extremely low for a player who has finished inside the top 10 at his position 3 of the last 4 years. Thielen is not a sexy name, but he’ll instantly make your team better for the 2021 season. Pay the price of a mid 2nd round pick to add this veteran receiver on your team, and you can thank me later.

Antonio Brown

Antonio Brown is the oldest WR of the three mentioned in this piece. He missed almost the entire 2019 season with off-field issues that lead to him being suspended for the first eight games of the 2020 season. Antonio Brown went almost 14 months without playing an NFL game, came back, and produced a HOG Rate of 20.1%, and a 26.2% Target Share in the eight games Brown played this year. for those of you unfamiliar, HOG Rate measures targets per snaps played. Having a number above 20% shows heavy involvement from a player when they are on the field.

The PFF grade caught my attention. Brown finished the season rated above superstar wide receivers such as DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley, D.K. Metcalf, and all the rookies with the exception of Justin Jefferson. PFF liked what they saw this year, and so should you.

Brown was brought into Tampa Bay because of Tom Brady, and while Brown is a free agent. Brady is the reason Brown will be back in Tampa Bay in 2021. With Godwin set to be a free agent, a team will pay handsomely for his services. Opening up the door for both Evans and Brown, who are set to have great seasons in 2021.

Pay a 3rd round pick for Brown and reap the rewards of him solidifying your roster for another championship run.

Dynasty is about winning titles, and these three over the hill veterans will help you achieve that goal.

Fantasy Football: Three WRs to Sell in 2021

Fantasy: 3 Star WRs to Sell

By: Ravi Krishnan (Twitter: @MaslaESPN)

2020 was the year of Wide Receivers (WR) in fantasy football. Top-tier players from prior years established themselves as Top-10 overall picks — Davante Adams, DeAndre Hopkins, Tyreek Hill, Calvin Ridley, for example. More significantly, rookie WRs emerged real strong throughout 2020, with several first-year draftees attaining fantasy asset status. Justin Jefferson was the standout in this context, but Jerry Jeudy, Laviska Shenault, CeeDee Lamb, Chase Claypool, and Tee Higgins all having their days in the sun a few times.

My piece for today is focused on the other end of the spectrum — WRs who showed signs of waning in 2020 and might be candidates to jump off the bandwagon from in 2021. Two of these are erstwhile studs who, sadly, have seen better days; the third one is a touted young player whose hype, unfortunately, appears to be far beyond his actual production. Here is my list of three WRs who ready to sell/fade in 2021.

Julian Edelman

2020: 315 yards in 6 games; 0 TDs; 7.5 Half-PPR points per game

The biggest impact of Tom Brady’s departure from the Patriots was undoubtedly felt by the Buccaneers who welcomed him with open arms for a trip to next weekend’s Super Bowl. The second biggest impact arguably was experienced by Julian Edelman, Brady’s pass-catcher-in-chief for the past several seasons. Edelman had one great game all season — the 170+ yard explosion versus the Seahawks in Week 2. This was followed by a few mediocre performances, largely due to the wildly inaccurate Cam Newton. As the year progressed along, it got from bad to worse, and injuries finally took a toll on him during the second half of the season. All in all, Edelman was the unfortunate recipient of the ghastly trio of doom — bad quarterbacking, deteriorating skills, and injuries — and this is why he is one to fade moving forward. The Patriots are unlikely to see a huge upgrade at QB, so even if he can avoid any further injuries, Edelman is best left as waiver wire fodder on a wait-and-see basis during draft season next year.

Christian Kirk

2020: 621 yards in 16 games; 6 TDs; 8.1 Half-PPR points per game

The Arizona Cardinals had high hopes from Kirk as a solid complement to DeAndre Hopkins, their unquestioned #1 WR. Their expectation from Kirk was as a guy to exploit defenses focusing on D-Hop as well as to be the deep threat on a creative offense. Well, hardly any of that actually materialized. Kirk averaged less than 40-yards a game, and while he scored six times, his good games were few and far between. More than the stats though, it was unsettling to see Kirk not creating the separation he was known for and was also unable to make much of the flat- and screen passes that are a Kiliff Kingsbury staple. The Cards will most definitely add a second WR via draft or free agency, and when that happens, Kirk will, at best, be third in the pecking order. As such, he is best left undrafted in fantasy, or, sold in dynasty.

JuJu Smith-Schuster

2020: 831 yards in 16 games; 9 TDs; 11.1 Half-PPR points per game At the beginning of the 2020 season JuJu was seen as the lead WR for a potent passing offense in Pittsburgh and was a consensus 2nd/3rd-round draftee in fantasy drafts. Further, he was owned in 94% of leagues at the end of the season, even though his production was far below those lofty expectations. In fact, he did not get to the 1000-yard threshold — the baseline for a startable receiver, and this, despite the fact that he played all 16 games. You couple this with the emergence of Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool as more explosive options, and, most importantly, the definitive vacuum left at the QB position in the likely event of a Big Ben retirement. Oh, and one last thing — JuJu is a free agent, so there is a good chance he is on a new team next year. With all these uncertainties in the offing, it will be prudent to fade/sell JuJu in dynasty; in redraft leagues, he might be worth a flier in the 6th-round or later, but nothing higher.

Dynasty Fantasy Football: 3 WR Sleepers to Target

Top 3 dynasty sleepers at WR

By: Ravi Krishnan (Twitter: @masalaESPN)

Over the past five weeks, I have written about WR sleepers as viable fillers for your fantasy lineups. Some of them have panned out — Gabriel Davis, Curtis Samuel, even Russell Gage, to name a few. There are others who have had fleeting moments — Denzel Mims, Jalen Reagor, Laviska Shenault — but have not had sustained viability, even as spot starters.

Given that we are approaching the final weekend of fantasy football, it makes little sense in assessing sleeper WRs for Week 16-17 of 2020. Instead, we figured to look at WRs with massive diamond-in-the-rough potential in 2021. Speaking of WRs, a particularly significant aspect of the 2020 season has been the immediate success of rookie receivers. Several first-year WRs have shone bright – Justin Jefferson has been an absolute stud; CeeDee Lamb, Tee Higgins, and Chase Claypool have consistently flashed WR2/WR3 potential; and even the aforementioned Davis and Shenault have won a week or two for their fantasy owners.

But we will not be looking at any of these certified studs-in-the-making. Instead, I am listing four under-the-radar rookie receivers who have displayed prowess and performance in the latter part of the 2020 season. Each of them has the ability and the opportunity to lead their teams in receiving yards next season, hence making them potential starters for your fantasy team.

Please note that this list does not include any of the players drafted in the first round of the 2020 NFL draft, and only includes one player drafted in the second round.

  1. Laviska Shenault Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars (Drafted in the 2nd Round, Pick #42)

The 2020 season has been a disaster for the Jaguars. From the hyper-frequent musical chairs at the QB position, to the lack of quality skill players on both sides of the ball, the Jags have had almost nothing to cherish and much to lament as they hurtle towards a 1-15 finish. The emergence of Laviska Shenault is the only positive aberration. The muti-faceted WR has 577 all-purpose yards — 484 receiving and 93 rushing — to go along with two TDs. He is a threat coming out of the backfield and in this regard, is an apt example of the new-age WR profile with versatility. Looking ahead, the Jags will most likely have ace-QB Trevor Lawrence at the helm, and a changed offensive coaching regime. With the potency possessed by the rushing attack in the form of rookie sensation James Robinson, this is an offense that should look a lot better in 2021. And for that to happen, Shenault must be a key cog in the wheel. He is the perfect complement to DJ Chark’s deep threat value and Keelan Cole’s chain-moving role.

Current Status in Fantasy season 2020: #69 among WRs in Points-Per-Game

Projected ranking for 2021: Top 35 WR

  • Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills (Drafted in the 4th Round, Pick #128)

I have devoted voluminous space in this column in the past few weeks on Gabriel Davis. Playing in a pass-happy offense, with breakout QB Josh Allen at the helm, and with WR2 John Brown missing significant chunks of the season with injuries, Davis has shown ample glimpses of his value — 459 receiving yards in a semi-regular role and six TDS. One would expect the Bills to stay with a similar offensive scheme next year as well, and while Stefon Diggs is the receiving numero uno there, the WR2 role is Davis’ to lose. And yes, I know Cole Beasley has been a pleasant surprise this season, but he is more of a classic under-sized slot receiver manning the middle. Gabriel Davis is the one likely to step into a major role next season, and if that were to happen, we might be looking at a 1000-yard, 9-10 TD stat-sheet by the end of 2021.

Current Status in Fantasy season 2020: #82 among WRs

Projected ranking for 2021: Top 30 WR

  • Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears (Drafted in the 5th Round, Pick #173)

Allen Robinson is NOT going to be a Chicago Bear in 2021 – that is almost guaranteed. So, who takes on the mantle of the primary receiving threat for the Mitch Trubisky-led (or Matthey Stafford) Bears next season? Well, if early signs are any indication, it should be rookie wideout Darnell Mooney. He has 500 receiving yards thus far in 2020 to go along with four TDS, and this has been in an extremely boring/unimaginative offense that Matt Nagy hides under the guise of creativity. Hopefully, the Bears’ game-plan for 2021 calls for safer throws, higher rate of catchable passes, and a stronger offensive line. The realization of these key factors should enhance Chicago’s offense, and Darnell Mooney the primary receiving benefactor. His only competition for the role will be perennially under-achieving Anthony Miller; Mooney should have no problems usurping Miller for the WR1 role there.

Current Status in Fantasy season 2020: #79 among WRs

Projected ranking for 2021: Top 30 WR

  • Donovan Peoples-Jones, Cleveland Browns (Drafted in the 6th Round, Pick #187)

The Cleveland Browns have been a revelation in 2020. While their core strength on offense is their studly rushing attack led by Nick Chubb, it must be said that the passing offense managed by Baker Mayfield has climbed a few notches as well. Odell Beckham’s season-ending injury was rather unfortunate, though; on an even more somber note, that injury possibly spells the end of the OBJ-era in Cleveland. In his potential absence, Jarvis Landry will take over the chain-moving WR role, as that has been his core competence for the past several years. That will then open-up the deep threat role in a high-level offense — and that is where rookie Donovan Peoples-Jones fits in perfectly.  On a mere 17 targets thus far in 2020, the rookie has amassed 293 yards and two TDS, for a ridiculous 27-yards-per-catch average! He leads the top twenty rookie WRs in catch-rate and he is doing this with targets that have higher degree of difficulty (deep throws). This, my friends, is my game-changing sleeper WR for 2021. In a starting role for a good offense, he will prove to be more than a reasonable replacement for Odell Beckham in 2021.

Current Status in Fantasy season 2020: #89 among WRs

Projected ranking for 2021: Top 25 WR

If you like this, make sure to check out other recent content!

Proudly powered by WordPress | Theme: Baskerville 2 by Anders Noren.

Up ↑