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PFM TEAM COMPARISON

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: PFM Team Comparison

PFM rates the Jacksonville Jaguars higher than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers overall, with a clear advantage. The main reasons are the stronger defense and the stronger coaching operation.

Current PFM Team Scores

TB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

78.4PFM Team Score#20 NFL
Clear edgeJAX

Jacksonville Jaguars

83.3PFM Team Score#14 NFL
Swap Teams Clear Comparison
PFM JUDGMENT

Why PFM Rates the Jacksonville Jaguars Higher

The Jacksonville Jaguars have the more dependable defense. It does not need the offense to answer every possession to keep control of a game. Tampa Bay's strongest counterargument is Explosiveness. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the bigger threat to change a game with one play. Jacksonville has less room for a coverage mistake or missed tackle.

Jacksonville also brings the stronger coaching operation. Jacksonville adds the steadier quarterback room. That is enough to keep the Jacksonville Jaguars ahead.

TEAM DNA COMPARISON

Tampa Bay vs. Jacksonville Across the Core Pillars

The farther a team reaches, the stronger the rating. Each category also calls out which team has the edge and the exact gap. Hover on desktop or tap on mobile to isolate one team.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Team DNA comparisonPFM category scores on a 0 to 100 scale. QB Stability: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.2, Jacksonville Jaguars 82.0, edge JAX +1.8; Offense: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.8, Jacksonville Jaguars 80.8, edge Even; Defense: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.1, Jacksonville Jaguars 82.0, edge JAX +3.9; Coaching Direction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 76.6, Jacksonville Jaguars 80.0, edge JAX +3.4; Roster Depth: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79.0, Jacksonville Jaguars 80.4, edge JAX +1.4. Hover on desktop or tap on mobile to isolate one team at a time.
Hover or tap a team to focus that profile. Use Show Both to bring the overlay back.
THE COUNTERARGUMENT

Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Best Argument

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers bring the bigger big-play threat. Chunk gains can flip field position and create points without requiring a perfect drive. The explosiveness advantage is a real point in Tampa Bay's favor, but it does not outweigh the rest of the higher-rated team’s advantages. The problem for Tampa Bay is that Jacksonville counters with the stronger defense and the stronger coaching operation.

COMPLETE COMPARISON

Where Each Team Has the Edge

PFM Team Score

TB78.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.4
JAX83.3
Jacksonville Jaguars 83.3
Clear Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Overall NFL Rank

TB#20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #20
JAX#14
Jacksonville Jaguars #14
Jacksonville Jaguars ranks higher

QB Stability

TB80.2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.2
JAX82.0
Jacksonville Jaguars 82.0
Slight Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Roster Strength

TB79.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79.0
JAX80.4
Jacksonville Jaguars 80.4
Slight Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Coaching Direction

TB76.6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 76.6
JAX80.0
Jacksonville Jaguars 80.0
Clear Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Recent Performance

TB76.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 76.7
JAX88.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 88.5
Major Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Offense

TB80.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.8
JAX80.8
Jacksonville Jaguars 80.8
Essentially even

Defense

TB78.1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.1
JAX82.0
Jacksonville Jaguars 82.0
Clear Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Franchise Direction

TB74.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 74.8
JAX76.6
Jacksonville Jaguars 76.6
Slight Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Explosiveness

TB81.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 81.5
JAX79.0
Jacksonville Jaguars 79.0
Clear Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Conference Rank

TB#10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #10
JAX#7
Jacksonville Jaguars #7
Jacksonville Jaguars ranks higher

Division Rank

TB#1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #1
JAX#2
Jacksonville Jaguars #2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks higher

Outlook

TBIn the Playoff MixJAXPlayoff Contender
Stronger outlook: Jacksonville Jaguars
TEAM CONSTRUCTION

How These Teams Are Built Differently

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Strongest Rating
Explosiveness
Category Edge
Explosiveness
Biggest Matchup Concern
Defense

Tampa Bay's clearest category edge is Explosiveness. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have more ways to create a sudden scoring chance against the Jacksonville Jaguars. That big-play ability can change field position before a defense settles in. The biggest problem in this matchup is Defense, where Jacksonville owns the clearer advantage.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Strongest Rating
QB Stability
Category Edge
Defense
Biggest Matchup Concern
Explosiveness

Jacksonville's clearest category edge is Defense. The Jaguars can lean on their defense more than the Buccaneers can. That creates a better floor when the offense stalls or field position turns against the team. The biggest problem in this matchup is Explosiveness, where Tampa Bay owns the clearer advantage.

SCHEDULE CONTEXT

Which Team Has the Tougher Road?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Full schedule rank: #26

Toughest stretch: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions

Strongest opponents: Los Angeles Rams, Detroit Lions, Los Angeles Chargers

View Tampa Bay Buccaneers Road Ahead

Jacksonville Jaguars

Full schedule rank: #23

Toughest stretch: New England Patriots, Cincinnati Bengals, Philadelphia Eagles

Strongest opponents: Philadelphia Eagles, New England Patriots, Houston Texans

View Jacksonville Jaguars Road Ahead

Jacksonville has the tougher Road Ahead at No. 23. The strongest opponents include Philadelphia Eagles, New England Patriots, and Houston Texans. Tampa Bay gains one meaningful schedule advantage, while Jacksonville still owns the stronger football advantages elsewhere.

View the complete all-32 Road Ahead

Ratings and Schedule Freshness

PFM ratings updated July 24, 2026. Schedule data updated June 29, 2026.

How to Read This Comparison

PFM Team Score determines the overall order. The Team DNA comparison puts five core pillars on the same 0–100 scale, while the full rows show every current category.

PFM compares overall team strength rather than predicting one matchup. Road Ahead adds schedule context without changing PFM Team Score.

See the complete PFM NFL Team Rankings and methodology.

PFM ratings updated
How PFM grades NFL teams