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Jacksonville won in Cincinnati without playing a clean game, which is the strongest argument yet for the Jaguars' jump. Liam Coen's team committed 10 first-half penalties, but the defense generated 20 pressures on Joe Burrow, forced two interceptions and survived a 428-yard passing day without breaking. Trevor Lawrence does not have to be spectacular every week if Jacksonville can create that much disruption around him.
The Jaguars' score moved up after a 22-17 Week 4 win, as gains in Recent Performance outweighed declines in Defense Strength.
Jacksonville is becoming a pressure-and-balance team rather than one that needs Trevor Lawrence to carry every Sunday. The Jaguars generated 20 pressures and two interceptions against Joe Burrow, surviving 428 passing yards because the defense kept creating negative plays. Lawrence still gives the offense its ceiling, but Liam Coen now has a team that can win when the quarterback is merely solid.
Week 1 removed some of the preseason pressure around drops and protection. Lawrence threw four touchdowns, completed 18 of 23 passes and took one sack in a 34-10 win. Jacksonville's pressure point is doing it again when the opponent can force longer drives and tighter throwing windows.
Pick the winner.
Jacksonville has one of the league’s more favorable remaining roads at No. 28, with opponents averaging 77.2. Chicago Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers and Houston Texans still give the schedule a real test, but one game against a current top-10 team keep the full road from looking as heavy as most.
Toughest remaining opponent: 
Chicago Bears at 84.4 PFM.
Shared profile: Coaching Direction and Defense.
Jacksonville builds its defense around front-four pressure, while Houston gets to a similar place through front-four pressure. That means Jacksonville can rush four and still force the quarterback off schedule, while Houston can rush four and still force the quarterback off schedule. QB Stability favors Jacksonville because motion and formation stress gives the quarterback a cleaner answer when the offense falls behind schedule.
Jacksonville Jaguars sits 1st in the division, 5.2 PFM points from Houston.
See the current Jacksonville Jaguars depth chart across offense, defense and special teams.
Jacksonville's outside corner depth is thin behind Travis Hunter and Montaric Brown, with only seven corners listed in the live roster. Another starting-caliber corner would protect the defense if Hunter's two-way workload shifts.
Anton Harrison starts on the left and Cole Van Lanen on the right, with Walker Little providing veteran depth. Jacksonville needs another tackle who can raise the protection ceiling around Trevor Lawrence.
Antonio Johnson and Eric Murray headline the current safety alignment, but the group lacks a clear long-term centerpiece. A versatile safety would strengthen coverage and give the secondary more flexibility.
5,282 F-S value
R1 No. 23 · R2 No. 54 · R3 No. 93 · R4 No. 130 · R5 No. 164 · …
Jacksonville has yet to reach the Super Bowl.
