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Trevor Lawrence has enough arm talent to attack downfield, and the offense has field-flipping targets in Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers. The defense has a pass rusher opponents must slide protection toward in Josh Hines-Allen. Dropped passes and protection leaks keep breaking the timing of Liam Coen’s offense.
Jacksonville starts the regular season with a 83.1 PFM Team Score and the No. 14 spot in PFM’s NFL rankings. Movement will appear after the first published weekly ratings update.
The Jaguars do not have one dominant side. On offense, Jacksonville leans on a motion and play-action offense with Trevor Lawrence at quarterback. On defense, the team leans on a front-four scheme, with Josh Hines-Allen as the main anchor.
Liam Coen has to solve dropped passes and offensive-line consistency in a scheme that depends on timing before it becomes the part of Jacksonville's game opponents can attack every week.
Pick the winner.
Jacksonville has one of the league’s more favorable schedules at No. 24, with opponents averaging 78.9. New England Patriots, Cincinnati Bengals and Philadelphia Eagles still give the schedule a real test, but 3 games against current top-10 teams keep the full road from looking as heavy as most.
Toughest remaining opponent: 
Philadelphia Eagles at 86.3 PFM.
Jacksonville placed veteran offensive lineman Patrick Mekari on injured reserve with a designation to return.
He will be unavailable for the opening stretch, removing one of the Jaguars' experienced line players. PFM already views protection leaks as one of the ways Jacksonville's offense can lose its timing, so this injury lands directly on an existing concern rather than a surplus position.
Shared profile: Offense and Roster Strength.
Jacksonville gets matchup leverage from the offensive line, and Tampa Bay answers with downfield pressure from the offensive line. The connection in Offensive Rating and Roster Strength is a second answer when the preferred matchup or personnel package gets taken away. The separation is Coaching Direction, where the coaching staff gives Jacksonville the more settled answer after opponents force an adjustment.
Where they separate: Coaching Direction. Jaguars hold the stronger current rating.
Houston remains the AFC South obstacle because its defense can disrupt Jacksonville’s preferred rhythm. Jacksonville can stay in the race by using motion to create leverage, hitting explosive throws and letting the defense attack a team forced to pass. The remaining problem is dropped passes and offensive-line consistency in a scheme that depends on timing.
Jacksonville has yet to reach the Super Bowl.
