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PFM ROAD AHEAD

2026 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings

The Arizona Cardinals have the NFL’s toughest 2026 schedule in the current PFM rankings. Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs are the main reasons why. There are manageable weeks on the schedule, but not enough to offset the strength of that group.

Last season’s records are a useful starting point, but they can hide what changed after the season ended. A stronger quarterback situation can make an opponent more dangerous. A thinner roster or a coaching change can pull the other way. PFM ranks every schedule by where those opponents stand now, then updates the order as team strength changes. It does not predict individual games. It is a direct answer to which teams face the toughest road.

32NFL TeamsCurrent opponent strength, one league-wide order
League View

All 32 Teams

Schedules are ranked from the highest opponent PFM average to the lowest.

2026 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings for all 32 NFL teams
RankTeamGamesOpponent Avg.Top 10Bottom 10Toughest OpponentBreakdown
1Arizona Cardinals1782.9104Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
2Los Angeles Chargers1782.0105Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
3Los Angeles Rams1781.984Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
4Miami Dolphins1781.884Kansas City Chiefs · 87.1View
5Las Vegas Raiders1781.496Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
6Seattle Seahawks1781.485Los Angeles Rams · 90.7View
7Buffalo Bills1781.475Los Angeles Rams · 90.7View
8San Francisco 49ers1781.475Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
9New England Patriots1781.365Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
10Denver Broncos1781.276Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
11Kansas City Chiefs1780.976Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
12Chicago Bears1780.864Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
13Dallas Cowboys1780.865Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
14New York Giants1780.575Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
15New York Jets1780.476Kansas City Chiefs · 87.1View
16Green Bay Packers1780.364Los Angeles Rams · 90.7View
17Minnesota Vikings1780.255Detroit Lions · 86.4View
18Washington Commanders1780.265Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
19Carolina Panthers1779.743Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
20Philadelphia Eagles1779.346Seattle Seahawks · 91.2View
21Tennessee Titans1779.146Detroit Lions · 86.4View
22Indianapolis Colts1779.045Kansas City Chiefs · 87.1View
23Jacksonville Jaguars1778.956Philadelphia Eagles · 86.2View
24Houston Texans1778.726Philadelphia Eagles · 86.2View
25Atlanta Falcons1778.535Kansas City Chiefs · 87.1View
26Pittsburgh Steelers1778.346Philadelphia Eagles · 86.2View
27Tampa Bay Buccaneers1778.325Los Angeles Rams · 90.7View
28Detroit Lions1777.927New England Patriots · 85.6View
29Baltimore Ravens1777.526Buffalo Bills · 85.6View
30Cincinnati Bengals1777.327Kansas City Chiefs · 87.1View
31New Orleans Saints1777.316Detroit Lions · 86.4View
32Cleveland Browns1777.017Houston Texans · 84.2View
Current Strength vs. Old Records

What PFM Sees Differently

Traditional strength-of-schedule lists lean on last season’s records. That is a useful starting point, but it can miss how much a quarterback, roster or coaching situation has changed. These are the schedules where current team strength changes the answer the most.

San Francisco 49ersPFM Says Tougher
PFM RankNo. 8
Traditional RankNo. 18
Difference10 spots

San Francisco's schedule is tougher than 2025 records make it look. Seattle Seahawks (No. 1), Los Angeles Rams (No. 2) and Kansas City Chiefs (No. 3) form the strongest part of the road. San Francisco also sees Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams twice. Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams both look stronger now than their 2025 records suggest. The traditional order has San Francisco No. 18; PFM has it No. 8. A 10-spot gap is too large to dismiss.

Los Angeles RamsPFM Says Tougher
PFM RankNo. 3
Traditional RankNo. 13
Difference10 spots

Seattle Seahawks (No. 1), Kansas City Chiefs (No. 3) and San Francisco 49ers (No. 5) give Los Angeles one of the strongest opponent groups in the current PFM rankings. Los Angeles also sees Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers twice. Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers both look stronger now than their 2025 records suggest. The record-based list puts the schedule No. 13, but PFM moves it to No. 3. That is a 10-spot difference. PFM sees the tougher road.

Seattle SeahawksPFM Says Tougher
PFM RankNo. 6
Traditional RankNo. 14
Difference8 spots

Seattle has to deal with Los Angeles Rams (No. 2), Kansas City Chiefs (No. 3) and San Francisco 49ers (No. 5), and that is the part of the schedule the traditional rank undersells. Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams both look stronger now than their 2025 records suggest. Seattle also sees Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers twice. PFM moves the road from No. 14 to No. 6. There are manageable games, but not enough to erase a 8-spot difference. PFM sees the tougher road.

Green Bay PackersPFM Says More Favorable
PFM RankNo. 16
Traditional RankNo. 4
Difference12 spots

Green Bay's schedule looks more favorable than 2025 records suggest. New Orleans Saints (No. 32), Carolina Panthers (No. 29) and Minnesota Vikings (No. 18) sit lower in the current PFM ratings. Green Bay also sees Minnesota Vikings twice. Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints do not look as strong now as their 2025 records suggest. The traditional order has Green Bay No. 4; PFM has it No. 16. That 12-spot drop is justified.

Chicago BearsPFM Says More Favorable
PFM RankNo. 12
Traditional RankNo. 1
Difference11 spots

New Orleans Saints (No. 32), Carolina Panthers (No. 29) and Minnesota Vikings (No. 18) pull Chicago's schedule in a more favorable direction. Chicago also sees Minnesota Vikings twice. Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints do not look as strong now as their 2025 records suggest. The record-based list ranks the road No. 1; PFM has it No. 12. That is a 11-spot difference. Last season matters, but PFM sees the more favorable road now.

Carolina PanthersPFM Says More Favorable
PFM RankNo. 19
Traditional RankNo. 10
Difference9 spots

Carolina falls from No. 10 in the record-based order to No. 19 in PFM. New Orleans Saints (No. 32), Cleveland Browns (No. 30) and Atlanta Falcons (No. 22) are the main reason. Carolina also sees New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons twice. New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons do not look as strong now as their 2025 records suggest. There are still difficult games, but not enough to support the old ranking. PFM sees the road as 9 spots more favorable.

PFM Methodology

How PFM Measures Strength of Schedule

Road Ahead averages the current PFM Team Scores of every opponent on the regular-season schedule. Home, away and neutral-site games are tracked for context, but venue does not change the opponent average. PFM is measuring schedule strength, not predicting individual games.

Ratings updated: September 1, 2026 Schedule updated: June 29, 2026

PFM ratings updated
How PFM grades NFL teams