QB Stability
Quarterback play, job security and the strength of the plan behind the starter.
PFM ratings are built to answer a simple football question: how good is each NFL team right now, and how much should we trust it going forward?
The overall score combines quarterback stability, roster strength, coaching, recent results, offense, defense and franchise direction. The formula gives the most weight to the parts of a team that are hardest to overcome.
Quarterback play, job security and the strength of the plan behind the starter.
The quality and depth of the full roster, not just the biggest names.
An imported pipeline grade that balances head coach resume with what the current staff is doing now.
What the team has actually put on the field in the most recent sample.
How much the offense can consistently create and finish drives.
How well the defense can limit points, pressure offenses and hold up across a full game.
The long-term health of the roster, quarterback plan, draft capital and competitive window.
Head Coach Resume 25%, Current Staff Performance 25%, Coordinator Stability 20%, Player Development 15%, Culture / Buy-In 10% and Game Management 5%.
PFM uses clear outlook tiers on team pages. A real playoff probability would need its own schedule, injury, opponent and tiebreaker model.
PFM ratings are updated regularly throughout the year.
PFM is not just a standings table. A team can have a good record and still carry real warning signs. Another team can be better than its record if the quarterback, roster and football strengths point in the right direction.
PFM Team Score is not a betting line, a game prediction or a precise playoff probability. Those questions need a separate model that accounts for schedule, injuries, opponents and playoff tiebreakers.
Ratings are updated regularly throughout the year when the data changes. Quarterback movement, roster changes, coaching results and what happens on the field can all move a team up or down.