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Indianapolis keeps finding a way to stay in games and finish them. The Colts beat Houston 19-17 and held their PFM rank, but the narrow margin also explains why the overall score barely moved. Indianapolis is competitive enough to stay in the AFC South race, but the offense still needs more explosive production to create separation.
Indianapolis gained slightly after a 19-17 win over Houston. Recent Performance and Defense Strength improved, while declines in the offensive and quarterback grades kept the increase modest.
Indianapolis wants Jonathan Taylor to set the terms, then let the passing game work off run action and manageable downs. The 19-17 win over Houston fit that identity, with the Colts staying patient and winning a game that never required the offense to become a high-volume passing attack.
Indianapolis has to replace the space Pierce creates even if no single receiver replaces his production. Without that vertical pull, defenses can crowd Taylor and squeeze the intermediate windows Jones needs to keep the offense on schedule.
Pick the winner.
Indianapolis has one of the league’s more favorable remaining roads at No. 28, with opponents averaging 77.6. Minnesota Vikings, Jacksonville Jaguars and Dallas Cowboys still give the schedule a real test, but 3 games against current top-10 teams keep the full road from looking as heavy as most.
Toughest remaining opponent: 
Philadelphia Eagles at 84.7 PFM.
Shared profile: Offense and QB Stability.
Indianapolis supports the quarterback with a power run game and RPOs, while Atlanta gets there with the run game and play action. That means Indianapolis can stress the run fit before the throw, while Atlanta can pull linebackers toward the run before throwing behind them. The defensive gap favors Atlanta, with the stronger mix of rush and coverage built around pressure packages that change the protection.
Indianapolis Colts sits 3rd in the division, 8.7 PFM points from Jacksonville.
See the current Indianapolis Colts depth chart across offense, defense and special teams.
Indianapolis has won 2 Super Bowls in 4 appearances, most recently Super Bowl XLI in 2007.
