Offense Leads the Way
Cincinnati is a Joe Burrow team: the offense wins through his timing, route recognition and the depth of the receiving group. The defense has to create pressure with its rebuilt front without leaving the secondary exposed.
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Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase can force any defense to cover the entire field, which keeps Cincinnati dangerous in every matchup. The Bengals rank No. 16 because that offensive edge is still carrying a defense rebuilt around Dexter Lawrence and a changed secondary. The front must create pressure without exposing the coverage if Cincinnati wants to move back toward the top tier.
Cincinnati starts the regular season with a 79.5 PFM Team Score and the No. 16 spot in PFM’s NFL rankings. Movement will appear after the first published weekly ratings update.
Cincinnati is a Joe Burrow team: the offense wins through his timing, route recognition and the depth of the receiving group. The defense has to create pressure with its rebuilt front without leaving the secondary exposed.
Dexter Lawrence and the rebuilt front have to end possessions, not merely create pressure. Every third down that survives becomes another must-score assignment for Joe Burrow.
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Cincinnati has one of the league’s more favorable schedules at No. 30, with opponents averaging 77.5. Houston Texans, Pittsburgh Steelers and Jacksonville Jaguars still give the schedule a real test, but one game against a current top-10 team keep the full road from looking as heavy as most.



Toughest remaining opponent:
Kansas City Chiefs at 87.8 PFM.
Shemar Stewart is expected to miss several weeks after hyperextending his knee, but testing showed no ligament damage.
The injury temporarily weakens Cincinnati's defensive-front depth without changing the longer-term evaluation. It's safe to say this defense can't afford him missing any time.
By Justin Fuhr

Shared profile: Defense and Roster Strength.
Cincinnati finds coverage time for the rush through coverage and the defensive front, while Washington finds pressure without heavy blitzing through coverage and the defensive front. Defensive Rating and Roster Strength line up because the front has help behind it and the lineup can survive when the preferred matchup disappears. The separation is Coaching Direction, where the coaching staff gives Washington the more settled answer after opponents force an adjustment.
Where they separate: Coaching Direction. Commanders hold the stronger current rating.
Baltimore has the AFC North's deeper roster, but Joe Burrow keeps the divisional gap smaller than the overall grades suggest. Cincinnati has to win first down with its rebuilt front; otherwise Lamar Jackson controls the pace while Burrow waits for another must-score possession.
Cincinnati has made 3 trips to the Super Bowl without a championship.