Defense Is the Best Unit
Pittsburgh's identity starts with a pressure defense built around T.J. Watt and a front.

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The defense can create pressure without giving away coverage numbers because it has T.J. Watt. Mike McCarthy can protect Aaron Rodgers with heavy personnel and play action, but the offense does not have enough big-play juice to scare defenses out of crowding the line. Age at quarterback and another system change make the floor less secure than the defense suggests.
Pittsburgh's identity starts with a pressure defense built around T.J. Watt and a front.
Aaron Rodgers is the swing factor because the offense changes with his level of play. The pressure point is age and durability at quarterback behind an offense changing systems again.
T.J. Watt and the pass rush give Pittsburgh the slightly more trustworthy side. The 5.8-point difference is almost nothing, which puts even more weight on Aaron Rodgers staying healthy and efficient in a new system.
Pittsburgh sits 25th in explosive-play ability. Aaron Rodgers with Michael Pittman Jr. and the receiving group still need more gains that change the field in one snap.
Pittsburgh has one of the league’s more favorable schedules at No. 27, with opponents averaging 78.5. Philadelphia Eagles, Denver Broncos and Houston Texans still give the schedule a real test, but 4 games against current top-10 teams keep the full road from looking as heavy as most.



Toughest remaining opponent:
Philadelphia Eagles at 86.2 PFM.
Rogers has already stated this will be his final year playing. Does he have another playoff run in him?
Newly acquired Michael Pittman Jr. Should help free up DK Metcalf for more explosive plays.
By PFM Staff

Shared profile: Roster Strength and QB Stability.
Pittsburgh gets answers across the field from the offensive line, while Minnesota gets answers across the field from the offensive line. QB Stability and Roster Strength line up because the quarterback has usable protection, route answers and a second option when the preferred matchup disappears. Explosiveness is the main separator because Minnesota gets more drive-changing chances from the offensive line.
Where they separate: Explosiveness. Vikings hold the stronger current rating.
Pittsburgh is 6–2 in the Super Bowl and last won in Super Bowl XLIII in 2009.