Denver's Offense Still Has to Work Too Hard
Denver ranks 21st in explosive-play ability. Without more chunk plays, too many drives depend on staying perfect for ten or twelve snaps.

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Sean Payton can keep Bo Nix in rhythm with quick throws and play action, while the defense leans on Patrick Surtain II and the defensive front to challenge matchups outside. The front can win a down before the coverage has to hold. Denver needs more explosive plays when the defense cannot control the game.
See how the PFM category ratings shape Denver.
Under Sean Payton, denver's identity starts with a pressure-and-coverage defense built around Patrick Surtain II and one of the league’s deepest fronts.
Big-play production is the swing factor. More chunk plays would change the ceiling. The larger issue remains proving the offense can create enough explosive plays when the defense does not control the game.
Denver ranks 21st in explosive-play ability. Without more chunk plays, too many drives depend on staying perfect for ten or twelve snaps.
Denver uses a pressure-and-coverage defense built around Patrick Surtain II and one of the league’s deepest fronts. That approach is producing the team’s cleaner answer, and the 4th rank can keep a rough offensive stretch from deciding the game early.
The Broncos win by controlling field position with the defense, keeping Nix efficient and hitting the supporting cast when the coverage tightens.
The Broncos are most exposed in shootouts where Denver cannot lean on defense or one-score execution to control the finish. Those games put a spotlight on proving the offense can create enough explosive plays when the defense does not control the game.
Denver ranks No. 9 in schedule difficulty, with an average opponent PFM Score of 81.5 and 7 games against current top-10 teams. Three of those top-10 matchups are away, while the next 5 opponents average 86.4.





Toughest remaining opponent:
Seattle Seahawks at 91.3 PFM.
These are the two closest on-field builds in the PFM ratings. The similarities matter, but so do the differences.

The Chargers are the closest match because both teams lean on coaching to turn the pieces into a complete plan. The Broncos lean on a pressure-and-coverage defense, while the Chargers lean on a physical run and play-action offense. The Chargers have the better answer at quarterback.

The Texans are another close match because both teams trust the quarterback to set the weekly ceiling. The Broncos get there through a pressure-and-coverage defense; the Texans are built around a front-four pressure defense. Coaching is where the Broncos create the separation.
Kansas City remains the division’s measuring stick when Patrick Mahomes is healthy. A quick-game and play-action plan gives Denver enough to stay in the race. The remaining problem is proving the offense can create enough explosive plays when the defense does not control the game.
Denver owns 3 Super Bowl titles from 8 trips, with the latest coming in Super Bowl L in 2016.