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Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: PFM Team Comparison

PFM rates the Jacksonville Jaguars higher than the Houston Texans overall, with a clear advantage. The main reasons are the bigger big-play threat and the stronger defense.

Current PFM Team Scores

HOU

Houston Texans

79.6PFM Team Score#16 NFL
Clear edgeJAX

Jacksonville Jaguars

83.2PFM Team Score#9 NFL
HEAD-TO-HEAD RESULTS

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Previous Meetings

Houston Texans lead the recorded series 1–0 over 1 meetings.

Houston Texans1 wins
Jacksonville Jaguars0 wins
Recorded meetings1

Recent Meetings

DateMatchupFinalWinner
Oct 18, 2026Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars34–31Houston Texans
  1. Oct 18, 20262026 season
    Houston TexansNeutral site34 – 31Jacksonville JaguarsNeutral site
    Houston Texans won

Results shown: 2026. Scores since 1999: nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Earlier meetings that have not been verified are excluded.

Swap Teams Clear Comparison
PFM JUDGMENT

Why PFM Rates the Jacksonville Jaguars Higher

The Jacksonville Jaguars bring the bigger big-play threat. Chunk gains can flip field position and create points without requiring a perfect drive. Houston's strongest counterargument is Franchise Direction. The Houston Texans have the clearer long-term football direction. The quarterback room, roster strength and coaching direction fit together more cleanly than they do for the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Jacksonville also brings the stronger defense. PFM still has the Jacksonville Jaguars in front.

TEAM DNA COMPARISON

Houston vs. Jacksonville Across the Core Pillars

The farther a team reaches, the stronger the rating. Each category also calls out which team has the edge and the exact gap. Hover on desktop or tap on mobile to isolate one team.

HOUHouston Texans
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Team DNA comparisonPFM category scores on a 0 to 100 scale. QB Stability: Houston Texans 82.1, Jacksonville Jaguars 80.7, edge HOU +1.4; Offense: Houston Texans 81.4, Jacksonville Jaguars 82.9, edge JAX +1.5; Defense: Houston Texans 79.6, Jacksonville Jaguars 82.0, edge JAX +2.4; Coaching Direction: Houston Texans 80.7, Jacksonville Jaguars 80.8, edge Even; Roster Depth: Houston Texans 78.8, Jacksonville Jaguars 79.7, edge JAX +0.9. Hover on desktop or tap on mobile to isolate one team at a time.
Hover or tap a team to focus that profile. Use Show Both to bring the overlay back.
THE COUNTERARGUMENT

Houston Texans’ Best Argument

The Houston Texans have the stronger long-term direction. The quarterback room, roster strength and coaching direction support the same competitive window. That is why the overall gap is smaller than the score first suggests. Jacksonville still answers with the bigger big-play threat and the stronger defense, which keeps the overall judgment in place.

COMPLETE COMPARISON

Where Each Team Has the Edge

PFM Team Score

HOU79.6
Houston Texans 79.6
JAX83.2
Jacksonville Jaguars 83.2
Clear Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Overall NFL Rank

HOU#16
Houston Texans #16
JAX#9
Jacksonville Jaguars #9
Jacksonville Jaguars ranks higher

QB Stability

HOU82.1
Houston Texans 82.1
JAX80.7
Jacksonville Jaguars 80.7
Slight Houston Texans edge

Roster Strength

HOU78.8
Houston Texans 78.8
JAX79.7
Jacksonville Jaguars 79.7
Slight Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Coaching Direction

HOU80.7
Houston Texans 80.7
JAX80.8
Jacksonville Jaguars 80.8
Essentially even

Recent Performance

HOU73.8
Houston Texans 73.8
JAX89.3
Jacksonville Jaguars 89.3
Major Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Offense

HOU81.4
Houston Texans 81.4
JAX82.9
Jacksonville Jaguars 82.9
Slight Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Defense

HOU79.6
Houston Texans 79.6
JAX82.0
Jacksonville Jaguars 82.0
Clear Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Franchise Direction

HOU79.9
Houston Texans 79.9
JAX76.7
Jacksonville Jaguars 76.7
Clear Houston Texans edge

Explosiveness

HOU81.2
Houston Texans 81.2
JAX85.4
Jacksonville Jaguars 85.4
Clear Jacksonville Jaguars edge

Conference Rank

HOU#9
Houston Texans #9
JAX#4
Jacksonville Jaguars #4
Jacksonville Jaguars ranks higher

Division Rank

HOU#2
Houston Texans #2
JAX#1
Jacksonville Jaguars #1
Jacksonville Jaguars ranks higher

Outlook

HOUIn the Playoff MixJAXPlayoff Contender
Stronger outlook: Jacksonville Jaguars
SCHEDULE CONTEXT

Which Team Has the Tougher Road?

Houston Texans

Remaining schedule rank: #29

Toughest stretch: Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Commanders, Jacksonville Jaguars

Strongest opponents: Jacksonville Jaguars, Green Bay Packers, Pittsburgh Steelers

Next five difficulty: 76.7

View Houston Texans Road Ahead

Jacksonville Jaguars

Remaining schedule rank: #31

Toughest stretch: Chicago Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers, Houston Texans

Strongest opponents: Chicago Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers, Houston Texans

Next five difficulty: 76.3

View Jacksonville Jaguars Road Ahead

Houston has the tougher Road Ahead at No. 29. The strongest opponents include the Jacksonville Jaguars, Green Bay Packers, and Pittsburgh Steelers. Jacksonville also has the more favorable road, which adds to the bigger big-play threat and the stronger defense.

View the complete all-32 Road Ahead

Ratings and Schedule Freshness

PFM ratings updated November 3, 2026. Schedule data updated November 9, 2026.

How to Read This Comparison

PFM Team Score determines the overall order. The Team DNA comparison puts five core pillars on the same 0–100 scale, while the full rows show every current category.

PFM compares overall team strength rather than predicting one matchup. Road Ahead adds schedule context without changing PFM Team Score.

See the complete PFM NFL Team Rankings and methodology.

PFM ratings updated
How PFM grades NFL teams