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Buffalo Bills 2026 Team Rankings and Ratings

PFM Archetype Scoreboard Bully

85.6PFM Team Score

PFM Verdict

Why PFM Ranks the Bills Here

Josh Allen gives Buffalo an elite weekly answer, and Joe Brady already knows how to build the offense around his arm and movement. The Bills are No. 8 because they have very few offensive limitations. Reaching No. 1 depends on the new defensive staff creating front pressure without leaving Christian Benford and the coverage exposed.

NFL Rank#8Current PFM ranking

AFC Rank#3Among AFC teams

QB Stability#2Josh Allen · No Questions Asked

Season OutlookPlayoff ContenderBuffalo enters with a Super Bowl ceiling because Josh Allen can solve games that drift away from the opening script. The new staff must give him more than a must-score possession by creating pressure without exposing the corners. A conference-title run is realistic, but an Allen-only offense would leave the Bills vulnerable before they get there.

Head coachJoe Brady

Offensive coordinatorPete Carmichael Jr.

Defensive coordinatorJim Leonhard

Offense90.5No. 1

Defense81.3No. 13

Coaching Direction72.5No. 27

PFM ROAD AHEAD

2026 Buffalo Bills Strength of Schedule

Buffalo owns one of the tougher schedules in the league because Los Angeles Chargers, New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams form the hardest part of it. PFM has the schedule No. 5 with an opponent average of 81.6 and 7 games against current top-10 teams. The road is not difficult from start to finish, but the stretch around Los Angeles Chargers, New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams leaves little room for an off week.

Difficulty Rank#5No. 1 is toughest

Opponent PFM Avg.81.6Average across opponents

Next 3 Avg.85.2Upcoming opponents

Top-10 Matchups7Games vs. current top 10

Away games left9

Top-10 road opponents4

Week 1

at Houston Texans84.8 PFM · #10

Sep 13 · 1:00 pm

AwayTop 10

Week 2

vs. Detroit Lions86.8 PFM · #4

Sep 17 · 8:15 pm

HomeTop 10

Week 3

vs. Los Angeles Chargers84.0 PFM · #11

Sep 27 · 1:00 pm

Home

Toughest remaining opponent: Los Angeles Rams at 90.7 PFM.

See all 32 NFL strength of schedule rankings View Buffalo Bills’ full schedule breakdown

PFM Reporter

Gardner-Johnson Avoids Major Injury

Reported

C.J. Gardner-Johnson suffered a lower calf strain during Buffalo's August 1st practice after being helped off and carted to the locker room.

The diagnosis is better than the initial concern, but his availability still matters for a secondary that added him to bring range, aggression and turnover production. Buffalo will remain on the watch list until the team provides a return timeline and he resumes practice.

By Justin Fuhr

Analysis updatedAugust 2, 2026

Sources: NFL news roundup: Falcons sign OL Matthew Bergeron to $96M extension; Broncos to explore adding Taysom Hill

Around the League

League Context

Closest Team DNA Match

Built Like Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore RavensMatch distance: 2.75 rating points

Shared profile: Roster Strength and Defense.

Buffalo builds multiple pressure looks around coverage and the defensive front, while Baltimore uses coverage and the defensive front to disguise pressure by changing fronts. The connection in Defensive Rating and Roster Strength is support beyond the headline defender, from the rush to the coverage and the depth behind both. Buffalo separates on offense, where a steadier answer comes through the offensive line after the first approach is taken away.

Where they separate: Offense. Bills hold the stronger current rating.

View Ravens dashboard Compare the teams

Division Pressure

AFC East

New England is Buffalo's closest AFC East threat after its 2025 breakthrough. Josh Allen still gives the Bills the division's strongest answer, but the new defensive front has to pressure Drake Maye without handing him easy coverage tells.