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PFM TEAM COMPARISON

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: PFM Team Comparison

PFM rates the Tampa Bay Buccaneers higher than the Atlanta Falcons overall, with a slight advantage. The main reasons are the steadier quarterback room and the less uncertain coaching staff.

Current PFM Team Scores

ATL

Atlanta Falcons

76.6PFM Team Score#22 NFL
Slight edgeTB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

78.4PFM Team Score#20 NFL
Swap Teams Clear Comparison
PFM JUDGMENT

Why PFM Rates the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Higher

Quarterback is where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have their cleanest advantage. With Baker Mayfield, the offense has a better floor when the first answer stops working. The Atlanta Falcons are closest in defense, where the teams remain essentially even.

Tampa Bay also brings the less uncertain coaching staff. That is enough to keep the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ahead.

TEAM DNA COMPARISON

Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Across the Core Pillars

The farther a team reaches, the stronger the rating. Each category also calls out which team has the edge and the exact gap. Hover on desktop or tap on mobile to isolate one team.

ATLAtlanta Falcons
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Team DNA comparisonPFM category scores on a 0 to 100 scale. QB Stability: Atlanta Falcons 77.2, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.2, edge TB +3.0; Offense: Atlanta Falcons 78.2, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.8, edge TB +2.6; Defense: Atlanta Falcons 77.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.1, edge TB +0.6; Coaching Direction: Atlanta Falcons 74.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 76.6, edge TB +2.1; Roster Depth: Atlanta Falcons 77.8, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79.0, edge TB +1.2. Hover on desktop or tap on mobile to isolate one team at a time.
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ATLANTA’S BEST PUSHBACK

Defense Is Atlanta’s Only Close Fight

Atlanta's defense gives the team one place to push back. Atlanta sits only 0.6 points behind Tampa Bay in Defense, but close is not the same as an edge. Tampa Bay still has Baker Mayfield at quarterback and the deeper roster, two advantages the Falcons cannot match in this comparison.

COMPLETE COMPARISON

Where Each Team Has the Edge

PFM Team Score

ATL76.6
Atlanta Falcons 76.6
TB78.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.4
Slight Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Overall NFL Rank

ATL#22
Atlanta Falcons #22
TB#20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks higher

QB Stability

ATL77.2
Atlanta Falcons 77.2
TB80.2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.2
Clear Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Roster Strength

ATL77.8
Atlanta Falcons 77.8
TB79.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79.0
Slight Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Coaching Direction

ATL74.5
Atlanta Falcons 74.5
TB76.6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 76.6
Clear Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Recent Performance

ATL76.0
Atlanta Falcons 76.0
TB76.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 76.7
Slight Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Offense

ATL78.2
Atlanta Falcons 78.2
TB80.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.8
Clear Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Defense

ATL77.5
Atlanta Falcons 77.5
TB78.1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.1
Slight Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Franchise Direction

ATL75.4
Atlanta Falcons 75.4
TB74.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 74.8
Slight Atlanta Falcons edge

Explosiveness

ATL79.4
Atlanta Falcons 79.4
TB81.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 81.5
Clear Tampa Bay Buccaneers edge

Conference Rank

ATL#12
Atlanta Falcons #12
TB#10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks higher

Division Rank

ATL#2
Atlanta Falcons #2
TB#1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks higher

Outlook

ATLIn the Playoff MixTBIn the Playoff Mix
Same outlook
TEAM CONSTRUCTION

How These Teams Are Built Differently

Atlanta Falcons

Strongest Rating
Explosiveness
Category Edge
None in this matchup
Biggest Matchup Concern
QB Stability

Atlanta's strongest current rating is Explosiveness, but Tampa Bay still leads that category. The biggest problem in this matchup is QB Stability, where Tampa Bay owns the clearer advantage.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Strongest Rating
Explosiveness
Category Edge
QB Stability
Biggest Matchup Concern
Franchise Direction
SCHEDULE CONTEXT

Which Team Has the Tougher Road?

Atlanta Falcons

Full schedule rank: #25

Toughest stretch: Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings, Detroit Lions

Strongest opponents: Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions, San Francisco 49ers

View Atlanta Falcons Road Ahead

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Full schedule rank: #26

Toughest stretch: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions

Strongest opponents: Los Angeles Rams, Detroit Lions, Los Angeles Chargers

View Tampa Bay Buccaneers Road Ahead

Atlanta has the tougher Road Ahead at No. 25. The strongest opponents include Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions, and San Francisco 49ers. Tampa Bay also has the more favorable road, which adds to the steadier quarterback room and the less uncertain coaching staff.

View the complete all-32 Road Ahead

Ratings and Schedule Freshness

PFM ratings updated July 24, 2026. Schedule data updated June 29, 2026.

How to Read This Comparison

PFM Team Score determines the overall order. The Team DNA comparison puts five core pillars on the same 0–100 scale, while the full rows show every current category.

PFM compares overall team strength rather than predicting one matchup. Road Ahead adds schedule context without changing PFM Team Score.

See the complete PFM NFL Team Rankings and methodology.

PFM ratings updated
How PFM grades NFL teams