Five weeks into the season, we are seeing a few unexpected teams struggling to get going due to injuries, or schemes. This week, I think there’s a great chance for some redemption for a few of the studs. Let’s call this a comeback, because I think there are a ton of value plays on some guys that have struggled so far this year. Last week, we gave Justin Fields one last chance, and that seems to have worked out very well. Let’s take a look at the players we are looking at for the main slate.
Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow $6,200
This season has been as tough as they come for Burrow, dealing with a seemingly debilitating calf injury, he has been one of the least productive players in all of fantasy. Getting healthier each week, stating he feels the best he has all season, going against an average defense in Arizona, this is your week Joe Burrow. Great opportunity to stack at $6,200 with an excellent chance to 4x and get you 25 points today.
Daniel Jones $5,800
Sticking with the redemption theme we have Daniel Jones. Coming off an 11 sack game where the Giants offense as a whole looked abysmal, there’s huge redemption opportunity here with a Dolphins defense that’s giving up almost 30 point a game. I expect there to be a lot of points in this game as the Giants will likely struggle to stop the explosive Tua led offense, Daniel Jones will have the ball in his hands a lot. At under $6000, Jones could post a 25 total today and get you that 4x value.
Matthew Stafford $5,600
Another game that I expect to have a lot of points, the Rams and the Eagles are the two highest paced teams in the league. There are going to be a lot of plays in this game, the Eagles are a very good run team, Stafford could throw the ball 50 times today. Cooper Kupp returns this week, insert Thanos meme here, giving Stafford a familiar weapon to go to in the red zone. Under $6,000 against an Eagles defense that’s giving up over 260 passing yards per game this year and over 22 points, 25 points seems very attainable.
Running Backs
David Montgomery $6,600
Coming off a huge game where he touched the ball 34 times, his price only went up $800 from last week. Jahmyr Gibbs is now doubtful for this game, as well as Amon Ra St. Brown, Montgomery could be in line for even more touches than last week. I don’t know if I can make a lineup and not include Montgomery today, while he might not get to 37 points again, 25 seems very possible. Carolina allows 136 yards per game on the ground, give me Montgomery today.
Joe Mixon $6,400
This could be the week Joe Mixon has that week. You know what week I’m talking about. Every year he has a game where after middling for a few weeks, scores two TDs and hits 100 yards. As mentioned before, the Arizona defense is not great, giving up 132 yards per game on the ground. I could see Mixon hitting pay dirt today as this offense gets back on track. I also could see more passing work for Mixon with Tee Higgins out today.
Breece Hall $5,400
Robert Saleh came out and said that the reigns are off for Hall, and he will no longer have a limited snap count. What a week to get such news, as the Jets take a trip out to Denver. A land where running backs run free, and touchdowns are handed out like candy on Halloween. I would expect a 20 touch day from Hall, and against this defense, should yield a very productive day at a very low price.
Bijan Robinson $7,700
Typically I don’t like to pay up for the top RB, because Christian McCaffery is so expensive. Bijan Robinson reminds me a lot of CMC in Carolina. Doesn’t have a very strong QB or passing catching options around him, yet seems to somehow find a way to make big plays happen. He needs to get you 30 points today to return that 4x, and he’s very capable against Houston today that is much better against the pass than the run.
Wide Receivers
Jaylen Waddle $7,500
Jaylen Waddle feels like the only player on Miami’s offense that hasn’t scored a touchdown this season. I believe they correct this stat today. The Giants defense gives up big plays and Waddle is one of the best big play guys in the league. Whether it’s a screen that goes for 50, or a reverse play where he rushes for 30 yards, Waddle will get in the end zone today. Another guy that’s got to get to 30 points for ROI, but he’s more than capable, and I believe will be a point to get him going.
Wan’Dale Robinson $3,000 Super value alert ?
Coming back from an ACL tear in week 11 last year, Robinson is really just getting his season going. This will be his third game of the year, and last week he looked like he was ready to break one. In a game where the Giants looked awful, Wan’Dale Robinson stood out. When could see double digit targets in a game we already said was going to be high scoring. Stack him with Danny Dimes today for a super cheap start for your lineups.
Zay Flowers $5,500
It seems on odd weeks Lamar Jackson throws the ball to Zay Flowers 10 times. The number 5 is odd right? Another player chasing his first touchdown of the season, today seems like a great day to get it. The Steelers defense is giving up over 400 yards per game this year, and there’s not a lot of options outside of Andrews and Jackson that scare you on this offense. I expect a huge target day for Flowers today.
Rams Receivers Cooper Kupp $8,600 Puka Nacua $7,700 Tutu Atwell $5,300
As mentioned earlier, the Eagles defense can be thrown on, and today I expect the Rams to throw, a lot. Priced as high as they are, it will be tough, although not impossible to pair Nacua and Kupp. I will likely try to build a lineup with all of the Rams in it, I also think the Eagles are on upset alert in this game. Kupp scores touchdowns, if you’re going to pick one, he would be my pick.
Rashee Rice $3,600
Another huge value alert, as we honestly are throwing a dart at one of these Chiefs receivers. Patrick Mahomes can make any receiver have a day in this offense and against the Swiss cheese Vikings secondary, there will be opportunities for these receivers. Rice is seeing more consistent targets and seems to be the most possession like receiver the Chiefs have. He would be the guy I would see getting in the end zone, but I could see a big play from Justin Watson, MVS, or Sky Moore.
Tight Ends
Sam LaPorta $5,000
With St. Brown and Gibbs out for this game, LaPorta is in a great spot to eclipse his season high 11 targets. That game he had 8 catches for 84 yards and a TD. A very similar stat line may be on tap today.
Dalton Schultz $3,400
Schultz hasn’t quite captured the magic he had in Dallas last season, but last week he got into the end zone for the first time and eclipsed 40 yards. Atlanta has a solid defense that can get after the QB, Schultz may have a big check down game as the rookie needs to get the ball out safely.
Taysom Hill $3,100
Last week, it appeared as if Derek Carr could not throw the ball very deep downfield. If Hill is used as a tight end, he may see a career high in catches. I’m banking on Hill getting more snaps rushing, and perhaps throwing a few passes today.
Defenses
Detroit Lions $3,800
Rookie QB on the road, check. Not a lot of weapons offensively that scare you, check. Averaging over 3 sacks a game, check. Great chance at a huge day.
Baltimore Ravens $4,200
Injured opposing QB in a division rival game where historically the defenses have shined lead me to believing the Ravens could grab a pick six today.
Houston Texans $3,500
Desmond Ridder is in competition as one of the worst looking QBs in the league. They are averaging a league worst 156 passing yards per game, outside of Bijan Robinson, not much scares you here. Another team with pick six potential today.
Leave a comment