It’s officially training camp season in the NFL. With the 2023-2024 season starting soon it’s time to start preparing for fantasy football drafts. We have covered various positions in the past in our fantasy football section and in this article, we will highlight quarterback sleepers. I have said it many times before but I like to wait on drafting a quarterback until the later rounds. You can find great value at this position late in fantasy drafts. Let’s now take a look at 3 quarterbacks who will outperform their ADP in 2023.
The current ADP below is for Half PPR scoring.
Derek Carr (Saints – QB) | ADP – 138 | QB – 22
Derek Carr had a somewhat down 2022 campaign with the Raiders. Carr had a respectable 4.8% TD percentage with Oakland last season but his INT percentage jumped to 2.8% which was the worst of his career. This was largely due to the Raiders defense which consistently blew large leads last season. Carr had to constantly try and bring his team from behind in 2nd halves which caused more forced throws from the quarterback.
Carr is now the signal caller for the New Orleans Saints and it’s a great situation for him. The Saints defense finished towards the top of the league last year and should be stout once again. This will take some of the pressure off Carr and his interceptions should come down.
There are also plenty of weapons for Carr on this Saints offense to utilize. Chris Olave is entering his second season and has already shown he can be an elite receiver. Michael Thomas is also back with the team and if he can stay healthy he will provide a great 1-2 punch with Olave. I am projecting Carr to finish next season with 4,000+ passing yards and 30+ touchdowns.
Sam Howell (Commanders – QB) | ADP – 181 | QB – 30
There is still a lot of mystery and intrigue around Washington Commanders quarterback Sam Howell. After all, he has only started one game in his young career and it was against the Cowboys in week 18 of 2022. If you’re on the fence about Howell, I would encourage you to watch that game tape closely. Howell made all the throws with accuracy and showed off his arm on several deep balls. He also showcased his running ability on a 9-yard touchdown run.
Howell will now get his chance as QB1 in Washington and the Commanders will give him every chance to succeed. We already know about the weapons but new offensive coordinator Eric Bienemy will have the biggest impact on Howell. He will find creative ways to get the ball in the play-makers hands and exploit matchups in their favor. You saw this time after time in Kansas City with Travis Kelce. The defenses knew it was coming and still couldn’t stop it. 2023 is a big year for Howell and I expect him to make a name for himself.
Kenny Pickett (Steelers – QB) | ADP – 168 | QB – 20
It took some time but Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett started to show his potential late last season. The rookie quarterback led the Steelers to 3 straight wins to close out the 2022 campaign. Pickett may not have the biggest arm but has shown he can throw an accurate deep ball. In fact, according to Deep Ball Project Pickett was the 2nd most accurate quarterback on deep throw accuracy.
Pickett also has the ability to utilize his legs which makes him an intriguing fantasy prospect. He finished last season with 237 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. If he can continue to develop as a passer I see Picket finishing inside the top 15 in fantasy in 2023.