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Week 2 Fantasy Football Start/Sit: 7 Calls Backed by Matchup Data

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PFM Week 2 fantasy football Start/Sit graphic for seven lineup calls.

Week 1 gave me a few calls I want back. D’Andre Swift blew up after I put him on the sit list, Patrick Mahomes beat the Denver fade and Jake Ferguson never got the volume I expected. Parker Washington was one of the better hits. More important, we finally have real NFL snaps to work with.

I’m tightening the filter for Week 2. A ranking gap by itself is not enough. I want the player’s current role, strong independent expert data and a matchup I can exploit before I make the call. That leaves four starts and three sits I’m comfortable defending.

Scoring: These calls use my current Week 2 Half-PPR rankings. Rest-of-season rank is included so you can see when I’m making a one-week call instead of changing how I value the player for the year. See the full Week 2 fantasy football rankings.

My 7 Week 2 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Calls

Seven Week 2 lineup calls from my Half-PPR rankings
Player Week 2 RankWeek 2 ROS RankROS My Call
Parker Washington
WR · JAX
WR18WR36START
Dalton Kincaid
TE · BUF
TE6TE11START
Luther Burden III
WR · CHI
WR25WR25START
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
RB · WAS
RB29RB40START
Bo Nix
QB · DEN
QB18QB13SIT
Tony Pollard
RB · TEN
RB34RB27SIT
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · JAX
WR46WR31SIT*

*Thomas is the injury-sensitive call on this list. His shoulder and practice participation will need monitoring before Sunday. If his role or status changes enough to move the live Week 2 rankings, I’ll adjust with it.

PFM Start/Sit

Have a Different Week 2 Decision?

Use the PFM Start/Sit tool when your lineup comes down to two players. Pick the lineup spot and compare both names against the same Week 2 Half-PPR rankings behind this article. Then use the role and matchup as the tiebreaker when the ranks sit close together.

Compare Two Players See All Week 2 Rankings
START · WR · JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Parker Washington: Start the Role, Even in Denver

Week 2WR18
Rest of SeasonWR36
Opponent@ DEN

This is not an easy-matchup call. Denver is exactly the kind of defense that should make me question a fringe receiver. The problem is that Washington did not look like a fringe part of Jacksonville’s passing game in Week 1.

He led the Jaguars with six targets, a 26.1% target share and 43.3% of the team’s air yards while running a route on 70.8% of Trevor Lawrence’s dropbacks. FantasyPros’ most accurate Week 2 experts have him WR19. I have him WR18.

My Call Start Washington as a WR2 or strong WR3. The matchup lowers the ceiling, but the Week 1 role is too good for me to bench him for a shakier name.
START · TE · BUFFALO BILLS

Dalton Kincaid: Chase the Full-Time Role, Not the 130 Yards

Week 2TE6
Rest of SeasonTE11
Opponentvs. DET

I do not need Kincaid to repeat his 130-yard opener. What I want to keep is the role. He played 80.8% of Buffalo’s snaps, ran a route on 68.8% of the passing plays and drew a 20.7% target share. That is much closer to the full-time tight end usage fantasy managers have been waiting for.

The matchup gives me another reason to stay aggressive. Detroit allowed the second-most receiving fantasy points to tight ends in Week 1 and this should be one of the higher scoring games of week 2.

My Call Start Kincaid. I would rather bet on this role in a high-end Buffalo offense than stream around him because Week 1 efficiency is due to cool off.
START · WR · CHICAGO BEARS

Luther Burden III: Minnesota Is the Matchup to Attack

Week 2WR25
Rest of SeasonWR25
Opponentvs. MIN

Burden is one of the easier Week 2 calls because the rank, efficiency and matchup all point the same direction. He cleared 2.4 yards per route run in Chicago’s opener, and he was able to shake off the early fumble in last week’s win at Carolina. I have him WR25 this week.

Now he gets a Minnesota secondary that allowed 387 passing yards in Week 1. Christian Watson and Matthew Golden combined for 42.2 Half-PPR points against the Vikings, who gave up the most fantasy points to wide receivers in the opening week. I am not assuming one bad defensive game becomes a season-long trend, but this is exactly where I want to lean into Burden’s upside.

My Call Start Burden as a WR2 or flex. If your alternative lives in the WR30 range, I would rather attack Minnesota with the Chicago receiver.
START · RB · WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

Jacory Croskey-Merritt: The Volume Is Real Enough to Chase

Week 2RB29
Rest of SeasonRB40
Opponent@ DAL

I’m not starting Croskey-Merritt because I expect another RB17 finish. I’m starting him because Washington gave him 16 carries to Rachaad White’s seven, and the receiving work was close enough that he did not disappear when the offense went to the air.

Dallas allowed the fifth-most rushing yards in Week 1 after giving up the eighth-most fantasy points to running backs last season. That is enough volume and matchup support for me to use him as a back-end RB2 or flex.

My Call Start Croskey-Merritt if you need an RB2 or flex. I am betting on the lead-rusher role, not asking him to score a touchdown to make the decision viable. Also don’t forget what he did last season in week 17 vs. the Cowboys when he racked up 2 rushing touchdowns including a 72-yarder.
SIT · QB · DENVER BRONCOS

Bo Nix: Do Not Pay for the Rest-of-Season Rank Yet

Week 2QB18
Rest of SeasonQB13
Opponentvs. JAX

This is the kind of sit I should have made more often last week. Nix is still QB13 for me rest of season, but I do not need to force that season-long belief into the Week 2 lineup after Denver produced only 176 total yards in Kansas City.

The matchup issue is all about pressure. Nix was pressured on 45.5% of his Week 1 dropbacks and went 2-of-10 for five yards with an interception and two strip-sacks on those plays. Jacksonville’s pass rush was disruptive throughout its opener against Cleveland.

My Call Sit Nix in a one-quarterback league if you have a top-15 option. I still like him more for the season than this ranking suggests, but I want Denver to show it can handle pressure before I treat him like an automatic starter.
SIT · RB · TENNESSEE TITANS

Tony Pollard: A 51/51 Snap Split Is the Warning

Week 2RB34
Rest of SeasonRB27
Opponentvs. PHI

Pollard’s seven carries for 35 yards are not the main problem. The split with Tyjae Spears is. Both backs played 51% of Tennessee’s offensive snaps, and Pollard held only a modest early-down edge. On an offense that struggled to sustain drives, that is not enough control of the backfield for me to ignore the matchup.

Philadelphia held all three Washington running backs below 4.0 yards per carry in Week 1 and did not allow an explosive run. FantasyPros also put Pollard on its Week 2 risky-start list. I have him RB34, which is a bench range in most 10- and 12-team leagues unless your roster is already thin.

My Call Sit Pollard if you have a top-30 back or a stable wide receiver flex. I need either more snaps or a better offensive environment before I trust this workload.
SIT · WR · JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Brian Thomas Jr.: The Name Is Bigger Than the Week 2 Role

Week 2WR46
Rest of SeasonWR31
Opponent@ DEN

The Jacksonville receiver room gives us a good example of why I’m using role before name value this week. Washington led the team in targets and air yards. Thomas drew only three targets, ran a route on 54.2% of the passing plays and left the game with a shoulder injury.

Now Thomas gets Denver while managing that shoulder. Liam Coen said he is expected to be limited in practice this week, and my board has him WR46 compared with WR31 rest of season. That is a big enough one-week downgrade that I am not treating him like a lineup lock just because I still believe in the talent.

My Call Sit Thomas in a typical 12-team league unless your alternatives are weak. Recheck the shoulder before Sunday, but as of Wednesday I have Parker Washington 28 receiver spots higher.

What I’m Doing Differently in Week 2

Week 1 was a good reminder that a matchup should not carry the entire argument. Swift had a better role than I gave him credit for, and the Mahomes call asked one defensive matchup to outweigh too much quarterback talent. I am not repeating that process here.

Washington, Kincaid, Burden and Croskey-Merritt all have role evidence plus outside support. Nix, Pollard and Thomas all have a weekly ranking downgrade with a football reason behind it. That does not guarantee seven wins, but it gives every call more than one way to be right.

Ranks reviewed: September 16th, 2026. Week 2 Half-PPR rankings can move before kickoff as injury and availability news changes. Brian Thomas Jr. is the call on this list I would recheck most closely before Sunday.

Sources & Ranking Review
Written by
Justin Fuhr

Justin Fuhr is the owner of Pro Football Mania and a database engineer with experience building and maintaining data systems, performance models and analytical workflows. He created the PFM Team Score to compare NFL teams through quarterback stability, roster strength, coaching, recent performance, offense, defense and franchise direction.

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